Aldar Properties PJSC Just Missed EPS By 17%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a good week for Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 5.1% to د.إ7.65. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at د.إ5.6b, although statutory earnings per share came in 17% below what the analysts expected, at د.إ0.14 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Aldar Properties PJSC

After the latest results, the eight analysts covering Aldar Properties PJSC are now predicting revenues of د.إ25.9b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a substantial 24% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 24% to د.إ0.80. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of د.إ25.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of د.إ0.77 in 2025. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of د.إ7.93, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Aldar Properties PJSC, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at د.إ8.60 and the most bearish at د.إ6.80 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Aldar Properties PJSC'shistorical trends, as the 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 21% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 13% annually. So although Aldar Properties PJSC is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Aldar Properties PJSC's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at د.إ7.93, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Aldar Properties PJSC analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aldar Properties PJSC you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.