Aldar Properties PJSC Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Aldar Properties PJSC is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.3% and 15.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.7% in 3 years.

Key information

16.3%

Earnings growth rate

17.4%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	5.3%
Revenue growth rate	15.9%
Future return on equity	14.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	30 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

A Look At The Fair Value Of Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)

Jun 08

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)

Feb 19

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 57% Share Price Gain

Jan 28

Is Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) A Risky Dividend Stock?

Jan 11

What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)?

Dec 24

Are Aldar Properties PJSC's (ADX:ALDAR) Statutory Earnings A Good Guide To Its Underlying Profitability?

Dec 06

Aldar Properties PJSC's (ADX:ALDAR) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Coorect Its Share Price?

Nov 17

Benign Growth For Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) Underpins Its Share Price

Sep 15

Should You Use Aldar Properties PJSC's (ADX:ALDAR) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Aug 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ADX:ALDAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AED Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	26,040	6,847	4,310	N/A	4
12/31/2025	22,532	5,518	2,953	3,507	6
12/31/2024	19,308	4,482	2,321	3,667	7
3/31/2024	16,711	4,410	3,880	4,729	N/A
12/31/2023	14,161	3,819	2,860	3,590	N/A
9/30/2023	12,897	3,505	5,604	6,184	N/A
6/30/2023	12,153	3,241	1,430	2,877	N/A
3/31/2023	11,582	2,899	3,162	5,231	N/A
12/31/2022	11,200	2,893	4,147	6,301	N/A
9/30/2022	10,322	2,756	3,580	5,647	N/A
6/30/2022	9,696	2,725	5,224	6,273	N/A
3/31/2022	9,218	2,441	5,487	5,744	N/A
12/31/2021	8,576	2,316	5,684	5,800	N/A
9/30/2021	8,855	2,259	4,036	4,128	N/A
6/30/2021	8,861	2,212	4,644	4,772	N/A
3/31/2021	8,676	2,175	1,432	1,555	N/A
12/31/2020	8,392	1,932	1,290	1,400	N/A
9/30/2020	7,980	1,787	883	1,037	N/A
6/30/2020	7,491	1,744	425	555	N/A
3/31/2020	7,140	1,731	1,717	1,848	N/A
12/31/2019	7,148	1,984	1,169	1,303	N/A
9/30/2019	6,834	1,726	1,825	1,915	N/A
6/30/2019	6,726	1,763	1,398	1,483	N/A
3/31/2019	6,581	1,739	-36	66	N/A
12/31/2018	6,287	1,856	-206	-107	N/A
9/30/2018	6,347	1,678	235	409	N/A
6/30/2018	6,230	1,855	-276	-109	N/A
3/31/2018	6,073	2,029	749	900	N/A
12/31/2017	6,181	1,996	N/A	1,871	N/A
9/30/2017	5,723	2,582	N/A	1,200	N/A
6/30/2017	6,241	2,732	N/A	2,195	N/A
3/31/2017	6,583	2,769	N/A	2,162	N/A
12/31/2016	6,237	2,782	N/A	2,108	N/A
9/30/2016	5,951	2,789	N/A	1,693	N/A
6/30/2016	5,229	2,676	N/A	2,813	N/A
3/31/2016	4,638	2,617	N/A	4,737	N/A
12/31/2015	4,586	2,537	N/A	6,034	N/A
9/30/2015	4,730	2,489	N/A	6,989	N/A
6/30/2015	4,922	2,434	N/A	6,003	N/A
3/31/2015	6,011	2,341	N/A	3,944	N/A
12/31/2014	6,551	2,225	N/A	6,662	N/A
9/30/2014	6,606	1,971	N/A	4,807	N/A
6/30/2014	6,407	1,799	N/A	5,231	N/A
3/31/2014	5,475	2,545	N/A	6,001	N/A
12/31/2013	5,380	2,246	N/A	4,417	N/A
9/30/2013	5,634	2,053	N/A	5,736	N/A
6/30/2013	6,070	1,851	N/A	4,579	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALDAR's forecast earnings growth (16.3% per year) is above the savings rate (14.3%).

Earnings vs Market: ALDAR's earnings (16.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the AE market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALDAR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ALDAR's revenue (15.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the AE market (6.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALDAR's revenue (15.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALDAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.7%).

Aldar Properties PJSC Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased to د.إ5.33

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target raised to د.إ2.63

Analysts update estimates

Price target raised to د.إ2.41

Recent updates

Aldar Properties Unveils Athlon, A First-Of-Its-Kind 'Active Living' Concept in Dubai

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Aldar Properties PJSC to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 29, 2024

Aldar Properties PJSC, Annual General Meeting, Mar 19, 2024

Aldar Properties PJSC, Annual General Meeting, Mar 19, 2024

Now 21% overvalued

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Dividend increased to د.إ0.17

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: د.إ0.49 (vs د.إ0.37 in FY 2022)

Aldar Properties PJSC Recommends Dividend for 2023

Aldar Properties Unveils New Exclusive Residential Community

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired London Square Limited.

Aldar Properties PJSC Announces the Launch of Nikki Beach Residences

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Aldar Properties PJSC to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 30, 2023

Aldar Properties PJSC Announces the Launch of Gardenia Bay

Aldar Properties PJSC Appoints Faisal Falaknaz as Group Sustainability Officer

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Aldar Properties Announces the Launch of the Second Building At the Source

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired 75% stake in Basatin Landscaping LLC.

GEMS Education Reportedly Considers Options for the Business

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: د.إ0.086 (vs د.إ0.085 in 1Q 2022)

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Aldar Properties Unveils its New Urban Collection with Manarat Living - a Design-Led Concept on Saadiyat Island

Aldar Properties PJSC Announces Executive Changes

Aldar Properties Launches The Sustainable City Yas Island, a Sustainability- Centric Community Offering a New Way of Life for Residents in Abu Dhabi

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) and Mubadala Investment Company PJSC agreed to acquire 25-storey Al Maryah Tower in Al Maryah Island for AED 450 million.

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Aldar Properties Announces the Launch of Saadiyat Lagoons

Aldar Properties PJSC to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 27, 2022

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired Spark Security Services for AED 125 million.

Aldar Launches Yas Park Gate on the Doorstep of A First of Its Kind Family Park in Abu Dhabi

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (NYSE:APO) acquired additional 11.1% stake in Aldar Investment Properties LLC from Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) for approximately $400 million.

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired DoubleTree by Hilton Resort & Spa Marjan Island for AED 810 million.

Price target increased to د.إ5.33

Aldar Properties Launches Yas Golf Collection, Latest Community on the Iconic Yas Island in Abu Dhabi

Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC (ADX:ALPHADHABI) acquired additional unknown minority stake ldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR).

Aldar Properties PJSC Launches Apartments at Grove District

A Look At The Fair Value Of Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)

Now 20% undervalued

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Aldar Properties Appoints ADQ Chief Executive Officer Mohamed Alsuwaidi and IHC Executive Sofia Lasky to Its Board of Directors

Aldar Properties Launches Fay Alreeman with Villas Available from AED 2.7 Million

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired RIXOS BAB AL BAHR for AED 770 million.

Insufficient new directors

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Aldar Properties PJSC Recommends Dividend for the Period Ended December 31,2021

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR)

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Aldar Properties PJSC to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Feb 09, 2022

Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) acquired Al Hamra Mall for AED 410 million.

Aldar Properties Launches Project to Reduce Energy Consumption by 20% Across 80 of its Assets

An investor consortium led by Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) including Abu Dhabi Developmental Holding Company PJSC completed the acquisition of a 85.52% stake in Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) (CASE:OCDI).

Consensus forecasts updated

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS د.إ0.06 (vs د.إ0.054 in 3Q 2020)

Aldar to Launch Magnolias at Yas Acres

Consensus forecasts updated

Aldar Properties PJSC Launches Saadiyat Reserve the Dunes

Aldar Properties AnnounceS That Noya Luma, the Third Phase of Its Highly Successful Noya Development on Yas Island, Sold Out Within Four Hours

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS د.إ0.069 (vs د.إ0.038 in 1Q 2020)

Aldar Properties to Invest in Fifth Wall Proptech Fund

An investor consortium led by Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) submitted a preliminary non-binding offer to acquire not less than 51% stake in Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) (CASE:OCDI) for EGP 3.5 billion.

Aldar Properties PJSC, Annual General Meeting, Mar 24, 2021

Al Dar Properties PJSC Announces Resignation of Mansour Mohamed Al Mulla as Director

Time Out Group plc Enters into A Management Agreement with Leading Real Estate Developer, Aldar Properties

Aldar Properties Announces New Group Operating Model