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Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C.'s (DFM:DFM) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
When close to half the companies in the United Arab Emirates have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C. (DFM:DFM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C.How Is Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 147%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 203% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.1% per year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 3.7% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C with six simple checks.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DFM:DFM
Dubai Financial Market P.J.S.C
Operates the Dubai stock exchange and related clearing house in Dubai.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.