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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Stock Price

NYSE:YMM Community·US$9.4b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 60 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

YMM Share Price Performance

US$9.21
-2.22 (-19.42%)
US$12.43
Fair Value
US$9.21
-2.22 (-19.42%)
25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$12.43
Fair Value
Price US$9.21
AnalystConsensusTarget US$12.43
AnalystHighTarget US$16.17
AnalystLowTarget US$9.10

YMM Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$12.43 25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

YMM: Future AI Matching And Logistics Trends Will Drive Strong Upside

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Fair Value US$16.17 43.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

E-Commerce And Urbanization Will Support Digital Logistics Expansion

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Fair Value US$9.1 1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount

Aging Demographics And Rival Infrastructure Will Foil Prospects

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US$16.17
43.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
16.21% p.a.
Profit Margin
42.57%
Future PE
17.24x
Price in 2029
US$20.75

Trending Discussion

No trending discussion available.

Updated Narratives

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YMM: Reset Expectations And 30-Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Fair Value: US$16.17 43.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
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YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Against A Reset Expectations Bar

Fair Value: US$9.1 1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
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YMM: Governance And Dividend Progress Will Support Returns Through 2026

Fair Value: US$12.43 25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
37 users have set this as their fair value
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Snowflake Analysis

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.

0 Risks
5 Rewards

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Key Details

CN¥12.6b

Revenue

CN¥1.9b

Cost of Revenue

CN¥10.7b

Gross Profit

CN¥6.6b

Other Expenses

CN¥4.1b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
3.98
85.01%
32.68%
0%
View Full Analysis

About YMM

Founded
2011
Employees
8251
CEO
Hui Zhang
WebsiteView website
www.fulltruckalliance.com

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers freight matching services, such as freight listing and brokerage services; and transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection, intelligent driving related services, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.

Recent YMM News & Updates

Narrative Update Jul 14

YMM: Reset Expectations And 30-Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Full Truck Alliance's analyst price target has been revised to $16.17 from $16.77, as analysts attribute the change to a lower assumed future P/E multiple, along with slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and profit margins following recent upgrades and new coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Full Truck Alliance shows a cluster of bullish opinions, with several banks raising ratings, setting new price targets, and highlighting potential upside after recent share price weakness and earnings forecast resets.
Seeking Alpha Jul 09

Full Truck Alliance: Upgrade To Buy As Valuation Narrative Reaches An Inflection Point

Summary Full Truck Alliance upgraded to BUY with an $11–$13/share target, implying 30–50% upside on 13x–15x forward P/E. YMM’s platform cleanup and governance reforms have improved business sustainability, with negative sentiment largely priced in after consensus revenue downgrades. Q1 saw accelerating fulfilled orders (+14.3% y/y), rising shipper MAUs (+12.7% y/y), and a healthier revenue mix favoring high-margin transaction services. Valuation is compelling at a 3-year low, supported by net cash (27% of market cap), a 4% dividend yield, and strong network effects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 30

YMM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Against A Reset Expectations Bar

Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Full Truck Alliance. The higher price target is informed by slightly stronger implied revenue growth, a small uptick in projected profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.

Recent updates

No updates