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lululemon athletica inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:LULU Community·US$17.5b Market Cap
  • 10 Narratives written by author
  • 6 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 525 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

LULU Share Price Performance

US$145.85
-147.21 (-50.23%)
US$265.00
Fair Value
US$145.85
-147.21 (-50.23%)
45.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$265.00
Fair Value
Price US$145.85
SeanTho US$265.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$208.35
andre_santos US$266.14

LULU Community Narratives

SeanTho·
Fair Value US$265 45.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

China Is Growing 46%, The Stock Is Down 47%. Growth and Value Outside the US Market.

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AnalystConsensusTarget·
Fair Value US$208.35 30.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Renewed Market Caution Will Drive Momentum Shifts Amid Competitive Pressure

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andre_santos·
Fair Value US$266.14 45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

Lululemon - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

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lululemon athletica

Lululemon - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 4/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 18.84% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 4.73% +2 ✅✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 45.98% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.18% (lower than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -2.51% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 6.92% (lower than 10%) +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +2 ✅✅ Estimated Debt Rating: Aaa -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Business Valuation To calculate the intrinsic value of the company I'll use multiple methods: Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) - Intrinsic value is estimated by projecting its free cash flows over the next 10 years and discounting them to present value using the estimated cost of capital ; EPS Growth - the fair value is estimated by projected the Earnings Per Share CAGR for the next 5 Years and then, given its current and historic values of PE, come up with a PE for the 5th Year. This will give us its price 5 Years from now using the formula: Price = EPS x PE that we then discount using the estimated cost of capital; Historical EV/EBITDA - we assume mean reversion to the historical EV/EBITDA values; Historical P/E - we assume mean reversion to the historical P/E values; Historical P/S - we assume mean reversion to the historical P/S values.Read more

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US$266.14
45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
3.51% p.a.
Profit Margin
13%
Future PE
20x
Price in 2036
US$540.2
US$265
45.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
17.24% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.72%
Future PE
10.63x
Price in 2031
US$402.01
US$234.5
37.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
10.07% p.a.
Profit Margin
14%
Future PE
14.2x
Price in 2030
US$348.68
US$334.88
56.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
5% p.a.
Profit Margin
14%
Future PE
21x
Price in 2030
US$407.43
US$208.35
30.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
11.43% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.72%
Future PE
10.78x
Price in 2031
US$316
US$176.04
17.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
4.77% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.72%
Future PE
12.15x
Price in 2031
US$261.82
US$170
14.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
6.35% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.53%
Future PE
12.97x
Price in 2029
US$216.63
US$208.35
30.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
5.7% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.85%
Future PE
15.82x
Price in 2029
US$265.66

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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Lululemon - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Fair Value: US$266.14 45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU): Searching for a Floor After a "Brutal" Valuation Reset

Fair Value: US$208.35 30.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
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LULU logo

China Is Growing 46%, The Stock Is Down 47%. Growth and Value Outside the US Market.

Fair Value: US$265 45.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
5 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
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Snowflake Analysis

Flawless balance sheet and good value.

1 Risk
3 Rewards

lululemon athletica inc. Key Details

US$11.1b

Revenue

US$4.8b

Cost of Revenue

US$6.3b

Gross Profit

US$4.7b

Other Expenses

US$1.6b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Feb 01, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
13.66
56.60%
14.22%
0%
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About LULU

Founded
1998
Employees
39000
CEO
Meghan Frank
WebsiteView website
corporate.lululemon.com

lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China Mainland, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, and internationally. It offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for athletic activities, such as yoga, running, training, and other activities. The company also provides fitness-inspired accessories. It sells its products through company-operated stores; seasonal stores, pop-ups, university campus retailers, and yoga and fitness studios; outlets; Like New, a re-commerce program; and its e-commerce website. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Recent LULU News & Updates

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