Originally published by the Woodworth Contrarian Fund here: https://www.woodworth.fund/news/swiped-left-by-wall-street-the-bmbl-rebound-trade Bumble looks like another “dead app” stock at first glance—revenue rolling over, consensus price targets drifting down, and big tech funds ghosting it like a bad first date. Under the hood, it is a turnaround in mid‑flight: cutting costs hard, consolidating assets like Fruitz and Geneva, and putting the founder back in charge at a price that bakes in way more heartbreak than the current business performance justifies. From busted IPO to rebound candidate When Bumble went public in February of 2021, it was the market’s shiny new match—women‑first, high‑growth, all vibes.Read more
Key Takeaways The online dating market is declining as the post-COVID-19 Pandemic growth runs its course. Bumble’s stock performance has been abysmal despite the industry's and the broad market's growth after the IPO.Read more
Key Takeaways Moving users into higher-monetizing segments and leveraging AI-driven efficiencies could sharply boost revenue and expand margins much faster than expected. Direct billing, international expansion, and non-dating offerings position Bumble for sustained topline growth and new high-margin revenue streams.Read more
Key Takeaways Emphasis on higher quality users and organic growth exposes Bumble to slowing user acquisition, higher marketing costs, and reduced monetization in core markets. Long-term demographic shifts, regulatory pressures, and alternative relationship technologies threaten market size, revenue growth, and profitability.Read more
Key Takeaways Focused strategy on user engagement and safety features aims to enhance user retention, boosting conversion rates and revenue growth. Streamlining resources towards core offerings and optimizing monetization strategies supports operational efficiency and improved earnings potential.Read more
Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products. The company operates apps, including Bumble, a dating app built with women at the center, where women make the first move; Badoo, the web and mobile free-to-use dating app; Bumble BFF and Bumble Bizz Modes that have a format similar to the date mode requiring users to set up profiles and matching users through yes and no votes, similar to the dating platform; and Bumble for Friends, a friendship app where people in all stages of life can meet people nearby and create meaningful platonic connections, as well as Geneva app where users can create and join chat, forum, audio, video, and broadcast rooms. The company was founded in 2020 in and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
