Schwab Strategic Trust - Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF Stock Price

Fair value estimated using a forward earnings + PE re-rating approach anchored to end-of-2026 price targets. Starting price (6/16/2026): $33.96 Earnings Growth: Blended EPS growth of ~21% (weighted consensus across top holdings — AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, TSLA, AVGO, COST, LLY). This reflects strong AI-driven revenue acceleration and margin expansion across the fund's mega-cap growth core. PE Re-Rating: Applied a -5 turn de-rating from current fund-level PE of 34.6x down to ~29–31x forward, reflecting valuation normalization as rates remain elevated and growth premium compresses slightly. Dividend: Added ~$0.07 for 2 remaining quarterly dividends in H2 2026 (~$0.036 each). Base Case Fair Value: ~$35.68–$38.00 (+5% to +12% upside from current price) Bull Case: EPS +26%, PE 32–35x → Price Target $40–42 (+18% to +24%) Bear Case: EPS +12%, PE 22–25x → Price Target $28–30 (-12% to -18%) This methodology deliberately discounts the SWS DCF model output ($120.43) as it relies on 5-year revenue projections (Revenue $59.6B, Margin 28%) that may overestimate long-term ETF-level earnings power. The forward PE + earnings approach better reflects near-term price discovery for a passively managed large-cap growth ETF.