SPCX logo

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:SPCX Community·US$1.9t Market Cap
  • 8 Narratives written by author
  • 5 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 579 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

SPCX Share Price Performance

US$135.00
-25.95 (-16.12%)
US$0.46
Fair Value
US$135.00
-25.95 (-16.12%)
29.2k% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$0.46
Fair Value
Price US$135.00
browser US$0.46
AnalystConsensusTarget US$213.50
woodworthfund US$50.00

SPCX Community Narratives

Fair Value
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Fair Value US$0.46 29.2k% overvalued intrinsic discount

SpaceX: A Sober Look at Catalysts, Risks, and Long‑Term Value After the IPO

5users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
95users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$213.5 36.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

AI Compute And Global Connectivity Expansion Will Reshape This Space Infrastructure Leader

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
49users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
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Fair Value US$50 170.0% overvalued intrinsic discount

WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
30users have followed this narrative
US$0.46
29.2k% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Set with the author's own calculation method
US$28.55
372.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Profit Margin
10.55%
Future PE
20x
Price in 2029
US$35.08
US$135
0% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Using Simply Wall St Future Multiple Valuator, for the stock to be Fairly Value today and be worth the offering price at US$135/share: - Approx. US$313B Revenue in 10 years - Net profit margin at 40% — Net income ~US$125B - PE multiple in 10 years at 30x (to deserve this multiple they would still grow earnings at around 10% in year 10) — Future market cap ~US$3.75T
US$135
0% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Profit Margin
10.67%
Future PE
16.76x
Price in 2031
US$523.19
US$50
170.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Profit Margin
10.55%
Future PE
16.5x
Price in 2031
US$160.15

Trending Discussion

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It would make my year if this went to $0.46

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I was right -15/7/2026 a return to the IPO price.

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Updated Narratives

SPCX logo

WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO

Fair Value: US$50 170.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
30 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
SPCX logo

SpaceX: A Sober Look at Catalysts, Risks, and Long‑Term Value After the IPO

Fair Value: US$0.46 29.2k% overvalued intrinsic discount
95 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
SPCX logo

The trap for retailers that can evaporate more than 80% of the value.

Fair Value: US$28.55 372.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
21 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

2 Risks
2 Rewards

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Key Details

US$23.0b

Revenue

US$11.1b

Cost of Revenue

US$12.0b

Gross Profit

US$20.8b

Other Expenses

-US$8.9b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
-0.65
51.87%
-38.57%
30.1%
View Full Analysis

About SPCX

Founded
2002
Employees
22000
CEO
Elon Musk
WebsiteView website
www.spacex.com

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It also provides launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and engages in the launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. Its company's Connectivity segment operates broadband data and communications network by various Starlink satellites in low-earth orbit, delivering connectivity to various consumers, enterprise, and government customers. The company's AI segment operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning a frontier LLM Grok; AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers; X, a real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform; and AI computational infrastructure. Space Exploration Technologies Corp. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Starbase, Texas.

Recent SPCX News & Updates

Seeking Alpha 7h

SpaceX's Possibilities Are Endless But It Is Still Too Early

Summary SpaceX (SPCX) commands a lofty valuation, driven by the 'Musk Premium' and high institutional interest, but faces skepticism over fundamentals. Starship delays are a key overhang, as its successful deployment is critical for cost reductions, new satellite constellations, and future growth. Starlink drives 62% of revenue with rapid user growth, but ARPU is declining and gross margins are pressured by high D&A and launch costs. I rate SPCX a Hold, citing early-stage execution risk, uncertain ROI on major projects, and the need to monitor Starship progress and datacenter deals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Aug 19

SPCX: AI And Tokenization Optionality Will Sustain Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed the Space Exploration Technologies fair value estimate to $213.50 from $223.00, as a slightly higher discount rate and lower projected profit margins outweighed stronger modeled revenue growth and a higher future P/E tied to ongoing enthusiasm for AI and tokenization driven demand, Starlink expansion, and Starship related optionality. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Space Exploration Technologies shows a wide spread of views on how sustainable the current valuation is and how much credit to give the company for AI, Starlink and Starship related optionality.
New Narrative Aug 19

Massive Starship Scale Up And AI Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Space Exploration Technologies Space Exploration Technologies develops and operates reusable launch vehicles, global satellite connectivity through Starlink and large scale AI compute infrastructure. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Recent updates

No updates