ORCL logo

Oracle Corporation Stock Price

NYSE:ORCL Community·US$530.0b Market Cap
  • 8 Narratives written by author
  • 7 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 1160 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

ORCL Share Price Performance

US$184.29
-22.75 (-10.99%)
US$242.10
Fair Value
US$184.29
-22.75 (-10.99%)
23.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$242.10
Fair Value
Price US$184.29
AnalystConsensusTarget US$242.10
Edward_Sterling US$373.13
TickerTickle US$389.81

ORCL Community Narratives

·
Fair Value US$242.1 23.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

ORCL: Accelerating AI Cloud Demand Will Drive Upside Through Major Multi-Year Contracts

10users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
402users have followed this narrative
·
Fair Value US$373.13 50.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

Oracle: The AI Capex Spree Is Consuming the Cash Machine

3users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
9users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$389.81 52.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

15users have liked this narrative
5users have commented on this narrative
71users have followed this narrative
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Oracle

Oracle - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 1.5/17 +2 ✅✅ Projected Operating Margin: 37.59% +2 ✅✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 30.67% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 9.00% -2 ❌❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 12.00% (greater than ROIC) +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +0.00% +2 ✅✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 26.79% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 4.92% +0.5 ✅ Moody's Debt Rating: Baa2 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -2 ❌❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: Very High Business Valuation To calculate the intrinsic value of the company I'll use multiple methods: Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) - Intrinsic value is estimated by projecting its free cash flows over the next 10 years and discounting them to present value using the estimated cost of capital ; EPS Growth - the fair value is estimated by projecting the Earnings Per Share CAGR for the next 5 Years and then, given its current and historic values of PE, come up with a PE for the 5th Year. This will give us its price 5 Years from now using the formula: Price = EPS x PE that we then discount using the estimated cost of capital; Historical P/S - we assume mean reversion to the historical P/S values; Historical EV/EBITDA - we assume mean reversion to the historical EV/EBITDA values; Historical P/E - we assume mean reversion to the historical P/E values.Read more

View narrative
US$192.59
4.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
A weighted average between: - DCF - EPS Growth - Historical P/S - Historical EV/EBITDA - Historical P/E
US$373.13
50.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
25.13% p.a.
Profit Margin
25.26%
Future PE
37.96x
Price in 2031
US$582.51
ORCL logo
Oracle

Oracle: The AI Infrastructure Story Hiding in Plain Sight

Most investors think the artificial intelligence boom belongs to chipmakers like NVIDIA or cloud giants such as Microsoft. But training and running AI models requires far more than chips.Read more

View narrative
US$119.97
53.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
4.55% p.a.
Profit Margin
30%
Future PE
25x
Price in 2031
US$184.57
US$212
13.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
14.39% p.a.
Profit Margin
21.16%
Future PE
40.65x
Price in 2029
US$303.46
US$368.8
50.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
44.82% p.a.
Profit Margin
24.09%
Future PE
31.73x
Price in 2029
US$481.72
US$155
18.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
26.46% p.a.
Profit Margin
16.77%
Future PE
28.72x
Price in 2029
US$202.22
US$242.1
23.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
38.74% p.a.
Profit Margin
21.38%
Future PE
26.68x
Price in 2029
US$316.11

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

ORCL logo

Oracle - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation

Fair Value: US$192.59 4.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
1 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
ORCL logo

Oracle: The AI Capex Spree Is Consuming the Cash Machine

Fair Value: US$373.13 50.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
9 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
ORCL logo

Oracle: The AI Infrastructure Story Hiding in Plain Sight

Fair Value: US$119.97 53.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
7 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential and good value.

2 Risks
3 Rewards

Oracle Corporation Key Details

US$67.4b

Revenue

US$23.0b

Cost of Revenue

US$44.3b

Gross Profit

US$27.4b

Other Expenses

US$17.0b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
May 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
5.91
65.82%
25.21%
300.9%
View Full Analysis

About ORCL

Founded
1977
Employees
162000
CEO
Michael Sicilia
WebsiteView website
www.oracle.com

Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business’ infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company’s cloud and license business’ infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Recent ORCL News & Updates

Analysis Article Jun 17

Oracle (ORCL) Stock Could Be 49.5% Undervalued Despite Cloud Capex Concerns

Oracle stock reacts as investors reassess recent performance Oracle (ORCL) stock is drawing attention as investors weigh its recent share performance against the company’s current financial profile, which includes revenue of US$67.36b and net income of US$16.98b. See our latest analysis for Oracle. At a share price of US$188.33, Oracle has seen its share price return fall 2.24% over the past day and 8.49% over the past week. However, its 90 day share price return of 23.17% and 3 year total...
Seeking Alpha Jun 17

Oracle: Transition To Hyperscaler Has Greater Risk Than Reward

Summary Oracle is pivoting from a cash-generative SaaS model to a hyperscaler with a $400bn data center build-out anchored by a $300bn OpenAI contract. This transformation will consume all cash flow for four years, add $100bn in debt, and require $33bn in new equity, significantly increasing leverage and execution risk. ORCL’s consolidated gross margin is projected to fall from 70% to 48% by 2030, with best-case forecasts hinging on timely execution and OpenAI’s viability as a fee payer. I rate ORCL a sell, citing high risks, uncertain SaaS resilience, and a 2027 price target of $164, implying 9% downside versus consensus. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

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