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GEO logo

The GEO Group, Inc. Stock Price

NYSE:GEO Community·US$4.1b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 50 Fair Values set on narratives written by author
Author Program NEWCreate Narrative

GEO Share Price Performance

US$31.76
10.32 (48.13%)
​
US$37.75
Fair Value
US$31.76
10.32 (48.13%)
15.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$37.75
Fair Value
Price US$31.76
AnalystConsensusTarget US$37.75
AnalystHighTarget US$40.00
AnalystLowTarget US$31.00
Sat, 22 Aug 26
Fair ValueUS$37.75
Share Pricen/a

GEO Community Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget's
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$37.75 15.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
26users have followed this narrative
AN
AnalystHighTarget
AnalystHighTarget's
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$40 20.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

Aging US Demand And Global Outsourcing Will Reshape Corrections Services

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
3users have followed this narrative
AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget's
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$31 2.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
1users have followed this narrative
GEO logo
GEO Group
15.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

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AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 22 Aug
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GEO logo
GEO Group
2.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief

View narrative
AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget
Updated 8 Aug
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GEO logo
GEO Group
20.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

Aging US Demand And Global Outsourcing Will Reshape Corrections Services

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AN
AnalystHighTarget
AnalystHighTarget
Updated 11 Jul
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Trending Discussion

No trending discussion available.

Recently Updated Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GEO logo

GEO: ICE Contracts And Asset Strength Will Shape Bullish 2026 Outlook

Fair Value: US$37.75 15.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
26 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
0 likesusers have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystLowTarget
GEO logo

GEO: Pricing Gains And New ICE Contracts Offset Census And Policy Risks

Fair Value: US$31 2.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
1 fair value setusers have set this as their fair value
0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
0 likesusers have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystHighTarget
GEO logo

GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And ICE Detention Exposure Will Drive Future Upside

Fair Value: US$40 20.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
0 likesusers have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Good value with proven track record.

4 Risks
2 Rewards
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group, Inc. Key Details

US$2.8b

Revenue

US$2.1b

Cost of Revenue

US$736.3m

Gross Profit

US$444.8m

Other Expenses

US$291.5m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
2.26
26.04%
10.31%
101.8%
View Full Analysis

About GEO

Founded
1984
Employees
18000
CEO
George Zoley
WebsiteView website
www.geogroup.com

The GEO Group, Inc. a diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. It operates through four segments: The U.S. Secure Services segment; The Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment; The Reentry Services segment; and The International Services segment. The company provides U.S.-based secure services business; monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; and treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; secure services operations. It also offers support services, including secure custody services, food services, residential car, health and mental health care, facility management, and physical plant maintenance. The GEO Group, Inc. was established in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Recent GEO News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 18

GEO Group: The Sustainability Of The Growth Surge Is In Doubt

Summary The GEO Group has rallied higher in 2026 with the stock almost doubling in value, but the pace seems to have slowed to a crawl more recently. Growth has surged in 2026, especially in terms of earnings, and GEO could even be undervalued relative to growth if this continues. There is reason to doubt whether GEO will be able to maintain the current rate of growth over the longer term. Growth is likely to stay strong short-term, but beyond that is a question mark, which is why I am neutral on GEO with a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

No updates

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