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UPM-Kymmene OyjHLSE:UPM Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie €13.5b
1d geleden bijgewerkt
Prijs aandeel
n/a
1Y10.3%
7D5.3%
1D5.4%
Portefeuillewaarde
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Bekijk

UPM-Kymmene Oyj

HLSE:UPM Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: €13.5b

  • Bedrijfsoverzicht
  • Waardering
  • Toekomstige groei
  • Prestaties in het verleden
  • Financiële gezondheid
  • Dividend
  • Beheer
  • Eigendom
  • Andere informatie
  • Aandelencommunity

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM) Aandelenoverzicht

UPM-Kymmene Oyj is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief in de op bossen gebaseerde bio-industrie in Europa, Noord-Amerika, Azië en internationaal. Meer informatie

UPM fundamentele analyse
Sneeuwvlok Score
Waardering3/6
Toekomstige groei2/6
Prestaties in het verleden4/6
Financiële gezondheid4/6
Dividenden4/6

Beloningen

Verhandeld tegen 46.5% onder onze schatting van de reële waarde

De winst zal naar verwachting met 17.31% per jaar groeien

De winst groeide het afgelopen jaar met 84.6%

Risicoanalyse

Het dividend van 5.86% wordt niet goed gedekt door de winst of de vrije kasstromen


UPM Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 44 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
3.6% overgewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystConsensusTarget
•5d ago

Biofuels And Operational Discipline Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

403
0
29
AN
AnalystLowTarget
39.9% overgewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystLowTarget
•19d ago

Heavy Investment Cycle And Wood Supply Risks Will Pressure Returns For Years

44
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
14.7% ondergewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Fibres South Ramp Up And Bioeconomy Expansion Will Drive Strong Long Term Upside

45
0
0

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
3.6% overgewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystConsensusTarget
•5d ago

Biofuels And Operational Discipline Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

403
0
29
AN
AnalystLowTarget
39.9% overgewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystLowTarget
•19d ago

Heavy Investment Cycle And Wood Supply Risks Will Pressure Returns For Years

44
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
14.7% ondergewaardeerd intrinsieke korting
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Fibres South Ramp Up And Bioeconomy Expansion Will Drive Strong Long Term Upside

45
0
0
View all narratives

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Concurrenten

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Market cap: €3.2b

Kemira Oyj

Symbol: HLSE:KEMIRA
Market cap: €2.5b

Suzano

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Market cap: R$58.2b

Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties

Overzicht van hoogtepunten, dieptepunten en veranderingen in de aandelenkoersen voor UPM-Kymmene Oyj
Historische aandelenkoersen
Huidige aandelenkoers€25.60
52 Week Hoogtepunt€27.94
52 Week Laag€21.72
Bèta0.23
1 maand verandering9.08%
3 maanden verandering3.73%
1 Jaar Verandering10.34%
3 jaar verandering-16.88%
5 jaar verandering-22.57%
Verandering sinds IPO230.38%

Recent nieuws en updates

User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Sep 04

UPM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Wood Costs And WISA Demerger Execution

The updated analyst price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj has shifted from €26.27 to €24.70 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside recent Street research that highlights downside earnings risk and concerns about valuation against softer pulp demand, even as some still point to potential benefits from lower Nordic wood costs and planned spinoffs. Analyst Commentary Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj shows a split view on the stock, with some analysts focusing on cost advantages and corporate actions, while others focus on softer pulp demand and earnings risk.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Aug 21

UPM: Weak Pulp Demand And Cost Execution Will Pressure Future Earnings

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's updated analyst fair value estimate has eased to €18.30 from €18.79, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and cautious commentary from analysts on earnings risk, pulp demand and valuation, even as views remain mixed across different firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on UPM-Kymmene Oyj point to a more cautious mood, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and highlighting risks around earnings, pulp demand and current valuation levels.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Aug 07

UPM: Wood Cost Relief And Plywood Spinoff Will Not Resolve Earnings Risk

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene Oyj by around €0.60 per share to about €18.79. This reflects lower published price targets alongside revised assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Sep 04

UPM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Wood Costs And WISA Demerger Execution

The updated analyst price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj has shifted from €26.27 to €24.70 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside recent Street research that highlights downside earnings risk and concerns about valuation against softer pulp demand, even as some still point to potential benefits from lower Nordic wood costs and planned spinoffs. Analyst Commentary Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj shows a split view on the stock, with some analysts focusing on cost advantages and corporate actions, while others focus on softer pulp demand and earnings risk.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Aug 21

UPM: Weak Pulp Demand And Cost Execution Will Pressure Future Earnings

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's updated analyst fair value estimate has eased to €18.30 from €18.79, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and cautious commentary from analysts on earnings risk, pulp demand and valuation, even as views remain mixed across different firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on UPM-Kymmene Oyj point to a more cautious mood, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and highlighting risks around earnings, pulp demand and current valuation levels.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Aug 07

UPM: Wood Cost Relief And Plywood Spinoff Will Not Resolve Earnings Risk

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene Oyj by around €0.60 per share to about €18.79. This reflects lower published price targets alongside revised assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jul 24

UPM: Spinoffs And Joint Venture Moves Will Unlock Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene Oyj to €30.00 from €32.00, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets and updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj shows a split view, with some firms turning more cautious on the stock while others see room for upside based on company specific drivers and valuation.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jul 02

UPM: Lower Wood Costs And Spinoffs Will Struggle To Justify Current Price

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene Oyj slightly higher to €19.40 from €19.00, reflecting updated views on input costs, planned spinoffs, and valuation assumptions following recent Street price target revisions. Analyst Commentary on UPM-Kymmene Oyj Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj shows a split in views, with some banks highlighting potential benefits from lower Nordic wood costs and planned spinoffs, while others flag valuation and execution risks.
Analyse-artikel • Jun 18

UPM Kymmene Oyj (HLSE:UPM) Stock Could Be 26.9% Overvalued After Pulp Mill Shutdowns

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HLSE:UPM) has announced a temporary six week shutdown of its Kaukas pulp mill from 3 August 2026, with a potential similar measure at Pietarsaari planned for October. See our latest analysis for UPM-Kymmene Oyj. Against the backdrop of these planned pulp mill shutdowns, UPM-Kymmene Oyj’s share price has eased in recent months, with a 30 day share price return of down 5.89% and year to date share price return of down 4.06%. In comparison, the 1 year total shareholder return of...
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jun 18

UPM: Future Returns Will Depend On Wood Costs Spinoffs And Paper JV Execution

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's updated analyst price target of €26.27, a change of about €0.33 from the prior €25.94 fair value estimate, reflects mixed research views, as some analysts trim targets while others highlight potential benefits from lower Nordic wood costs and planned spinoffs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj shows a split view, with some analysts leaning positive on the stock's medium term prospects and others more cautious on execution risks and valuation levels.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jun 03

UPM: Future Returns Will Hinge On 2026 Cost Actions And Paper JV Execution

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj to about €25.94 from roughly €25.81, reflecting recent target cuts from several banks along with updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests the analyst community is split between cautious optimism and a more guarded stance on UPM-Kymmene Oyj, with several high profile firms adjusting price targets and ratings as new information on costs and valuation assumptions comes through.
Analyse-artikel • May 04

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

The quarterly results for UPM-Kymmene Oyj ( HEL:UPM ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Apr 22

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect 2026 Cost Savings And Execution Risk Balancing

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for UPM-Kymmene has edged down by about €0.32, as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, a small change in forecast P/E, and recent research that includes a lower target from JPMorgan, a neutral initiation, and a Hold upgrade with a €22.50 target citing meaningful 2026 cost improvements. Analyst Commentary Recent research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj points to a mix of caution and guarded optimism, with price targets and ratings shifting around updated assumptions on cost improvements and execution risk.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Apr 07

UPM: Future Returns Will Balance 2026 Cost Savings And Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene slightly higher to €26.13, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly stronger long term revenue and margin expectations, and recent research that includes a trimmed price target from one bank, a neutral initiation, and an upgrade to Hold with a higher €22.50 target, citing meaningful 2026 cost improvements. Analyst Commentary Recent research on UPM-Kymmene points to a mixed but constructive tone, with adjustments to price targets and ratings feeding into a slightly higher fair value estimate of €26.13.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Mar 24

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect Cost Efficiencies And Execution Uncertainties

Analysts have made only a marginal adjustment to UPM-Kymmene Oyj's fair value estimate to €26.12, reflecting slightly different assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E. Recent research highlights meaningful cost improvements into 2026 and mixed price target moves, including the upgrade to Hold with a €22.50 target and a separate €0.30 reduction from another firm.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Mar 09

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect Fine Tuned Assumptions And Execution Risks

Narrative Update Analysts now see UPM-Kymmene’s fair value edging up by about €0.21 per share to €26.14, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent price target revisions such as JPMorgan’s €0.30 cut. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary circles around how the latest €0.30 cut in the price target fits with the updated fair value of €26.14 per share, and what that implies for execution risk and upside potential from here.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Feb 23

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect Fine Tuned Assumptions And Capacity Actions

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on UPM-Kymmene Oyj by about €0.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent research updates such as the €0.30 target cut cited by JPMorgan. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including the €0.30 target cut at JPMorgan, points to a modest recalibration rather than a wholesale shift in how the market views UPM-Kymmene Oyj.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Feb 08

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect Pulp Prices And Capacity Restructuring

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj by about €0.03, citing slightly more conservative assumptions on discount rates and revenue growth. The revised target still reflects firm profit margin expectations, future P/E considerations, and recent target cuts and rating changes from the Street.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jan 24

UPM: Future Returns Will Reflect Pulp Prices And Paper Mill Actions

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene up to €26.07 from €25.81, as recent price target cuts from €28.50 to €27.50 and from €26.70 to €26.20 and a downgrade to Equal Weight are paired with slightly updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on UPM-Kymmene shows a mix of optimism on execution and value, alongside caution around catalysts and near term momentum.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Jan 09

UPM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Pulp Prices And Mill Restructuring

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for UPM-Kymmene slightly to about €25.81 and lowered their price targets, as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following a series of reduced Street targets between €22 and €27.50. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj has tilted more cautious on near term upside, even as some firms maintain constructive views on the shares.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Dec 26

UPM: Future Returns Will Depend On Pulp Markets And Mill Restructuring Outcomes

Analysts have trimmed their price target on UPM Kymmene slightly, with fair value edging down by about EUR 0.12 to reflect a modestly lower long term revenue growth and profit margin outlook, as well as reduced pulp price driven upside. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM Kymmene reflects a more balanced risk reward profile, with adjustments to both ratings and price targets as analysts reassess pulp price leverage and the pace of earnings recovery.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Dec 11

UPM: Future Returns Will Depend On Pulp Prices And Project Execution Stability

Analysts have trimmed their price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj by approximately EUR 0.12 to reflect a slightly higher discount rate and marginally softer long term revenue growth expectations, even as profit margin and future P/E assumptions remain broadly stable. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene reflects a more nuanced stance, with several price target cuts but still a mix of constructive and cautious views on the company’s risk or reward profile.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Nov 27

UPM: Future Performance Will Depend On Pulp Price Recovery And Execution

The analyst price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj has been revised slightly lower from EUR 26.25 to EUR 25.91, as analysts cite the absence of a strong catalyst in the absence of a sustained pulp price recovery and recent downward adjustments across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj reflects a mixed outlook, with both optimism and caution among analysts.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Nov 12

UPM: Near-Term Market Challenges And Execution Will Shape Performance Outlook

The analyst price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj has been modestly reduced by EUR 0.48 to EUR 26.25, as analysts cite slightly lower expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment towards UPM-Kymmene Oyj has been mixed in recent updates, reflecting a nuanced outlook on the company’s near-term prospects.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Oct 29

Biofuels And Operational Discipline Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj from €27.13 to €26.73, citing adjustments to growth outlook and profit margin forecasts. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions on UPM-Kymmene Oyj remain divided, as recent changes to price targets reflect a combination of optimism about the company's positioning and caution regarding the evolving market environment.
User avatar
Narratiefupdate • Aug 30

Leuna Biorefinery And Biofuels Will Drive A Sustainable Future

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for UPM-Kymmene Oyj to €26.99, citing reduced near-term pulp price expectations and persistent demand uncertainty, while maintaining a generally positive long-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note a downgrade in near-term pulp price expectations, which impacts earnings outlook across the paper and packaging sector.
User avatar
Nieuw narratief • Nov 09

Innovative Strategies And Green Solutions Propel Future Growth Amidst Market Uncertainty

Optimization in Uruguay and leveraging advanced materials could boost UPM's profitability and revenue growth amid rising demand for CO2-free energy.

Rendement voor aandeelhouders

UPMFI ForestryFI Markt
7D5.3%1.6%2.9%
1Y10.3%0.7%25.9%

Rendement versus industrie: UPM overtrof de Finnish Forestry industrie, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement 0.7 % opleverde.

Rendement versus markt: UPM presteerde slechter dan Finnish Market, dat het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 25.9 % opleverde.

Prijsvolatiliteit

Is UPM's price volatile compared to industry and market?
UPM volatility
UPM Average Weekly Movement3.6%
Forestry Industry Average Movement3.5%
Market Average Movement4.6%
10% most volatile stocks in FI Market7.7%
10% least volatile stocks in FI Market2.6%

Stabiele aandelenkoers: UPM heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de Finnish markt.

Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 4% ) van UPM is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.

Over het bedrijf

OpgerichtWerknemersCEOWebsite
187113,665Massimo Reynaudowww.upm.com

UPM-Kymmene Oyj is, samen met haar dochterondernemingen, actief in de op bossen gebaseerde bio-industrie in Europa, Noord-Amerika, Azië en internationaal. Het is actief via de segmenten UPM Fibres, UPM Energy, UPM Raflatac, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, UPM Plywood en Other Operations. Het bedrijf levert naaldhout-, berken- en eucalyptuspulp voor tissuepapier, speciaal papier en grafisch papier en verpakkingen; gezaagd hout voor de schrijnwerk-, verpakkings-, meubel-, plannings- en bouwindustrie; en hernieuwbare diesel op houtbasis en hernieuwbare nafta voor de transport- en petrochemische industrie.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Samenvatting

Hoe verhouden de winst en inkomsten van UPM-Kymmene Oyj zich tot de beurswaarde?
UPM fundamentele statistieken
Marktkapitalisatie€13.50b
Inkomsten(TTM)€624.00m
Inkomsten(TTM)€9.52b
21.6x
Koers/Winstverhouding
1.4x
P/S-verhouding

Is UPM overgewaardeerd?

Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyse

Inkomsten en omzet

Belangrijkste winstgevendheidsstatistieken uit het laatste winstverslag (TTM)
UPM resultatenrekening (TTM)
Inkomsten€9.52b
Kosten van inkomsten€8.36b
Brutowinst€1.16b
Overige uitgaven€536.00m
Inkomsten€624.00m

Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten

Jun 30, 2026

Volgende inkomensdatum

Oct 28, 2026

Winst per aandeel (EPS)1.18
Brutomarge12.18%
Nettowinstmarge6.55%
Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding37.6%

Hoe presteerde UPM op de lange termijn?

Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijking

Dividenden

5.9%
Huidig dividendrendement
127%
Uitbetalingsratio

Betaalt UPM een betrouwbaar dividend?

Zie UPM dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarks
Wanneer moet je UPM kopen om een aanstaand dividend te ontvangen?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj dividenddata
Ex Dividend DatumOct 29 2026
Betaaldatum dividendNov 06 2026
Dagen tot Ex-dividend49 days
Dagen tot dividendbetaaldatum57 days

Betaalt UPM een betrouwbaar dividend?

Zie UPM dividendgeschiedenis en benchmarks

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/09/09 09:34
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/09/09 00:00
Inkomsten2026/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
  • SEC-formulier 10-K
  • SEC-formulier 10-Q
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
  • Onderzoeksrapporten van analisten
  • Blue Matrix
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
  • ICE Marktgegevens
  • SEC-formulier S-1
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
  • SEC-formulier 4
  • SEC-formulier 13D
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
  • SEC-formulier 10-K
  • SEC-formulier DEF 14A
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen
  • SEC-formulier 8-K

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

UPM-Kymmene Oyj wordt gevolgd door 27 analisten. 15 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Ramchandra KamathBarclays
Pallav MittalBarclays

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