We're Watching These Trends At Costamp Group (BIT:MOLD)

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Costamp Group (BIT:MOLD) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Advertisement

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Costamp Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.028 = €1.3m ÷ (€91m - €44m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

Thus, Costamp Group has an ROCE of 2.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 4.2%.

View our latest analysis for Costamp Group

roce
BIT:MOLD Return on Capital Employed September 8th 2020

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Costamp Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Costamp Group's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Costamp Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 9.3% over the last four years. However it looks like Costamp Group might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

Another thing to note, Costamp Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 49%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Bottom Line On Costamp Group's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Costamp Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last year, the stock has given away 28% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Costamp Group (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should know about.

While Costamp Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

When trading Costamp Group or any other investment, use the platform considered by many to be the Professional's Gateway to the Worlds Market, Interactive Brokers. You get the lowest-cost* trading on stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Oil routes are being dismantled one by one. The durable winner could be the North American energy left standing.

136
R
Rob_Curious

The durable premium you describe does not really exist for crude in a liquid market. This scenario, in almost a similar form, is happening thrice this year.

marcus_reid
marcus_reid

Persistent volatility raises the hurdle rate on every long-lived energy investment, which suppresses the supply response that would eventually fix the problem. The instability is self-perpetuating in a way the price level is not.

Andrew Legget

Are social media stocks the new Big Tobacco?

Are social media stocks the new Big Tobacco? cover
Greater regulatory scrutiny is catching up with digital platforms, posing a rising risk for social media stocks. But as Big Tobacco discovered, that's not always a bad outcome for shareholders.
14

About BIT:MOLD

Costamp Group

Costamp Group S.p.A. manufactures and sells casting dies for automotive and industrial applications.

Undervalued with proven track record.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CE
Ceazar
SPAI logo
Ceazar on Sparc AI ·

When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem

Fair Value:CA$5.2541.1% undervalued
194 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
29 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
Emerging Author
AROC logo
composite32 on Archrock ·

AI Needs Power. Power Needs Gas. Gas Needs Compression: The Archrock Investment Thesis

Fair Value:US$44.8831.9% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
Emerging Author
AEIS logo
John_Eric on Advanced Energy Industries ·

AEIS Is Firing on Every Cylinder. My Problem Is the Safety Factor.

Fair Value:US$567.8655.9% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
IS
LRCX logo
isidrohg on Lam Research ·

The Memory Shortage Is Lam's Order Book — Whether It Persists Or Resolves

Fair Value:US$423.8536.1% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

CL
Clive_Thompson
UG logo
Clive_Thompson on Upside Gold ·

Upside Gold - New Technical Report Expected in Q1 2027 Could Re-Rate The Stock.

Fair Value:CA$1.552.7% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FR
FRAGMENTS
SITC logo
FRAGMENTS on SITE Centers ·

SITE Centers Trades Around $2.90. It Had $238.9 Million of Cash. One $129.6 Million Decision Changes the Outcome.

Fair Value:US$3.313.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WA
UUE logo
waioa on UUE Holdings Berhad ·

UUE Holdings Expands Into High-Voltage Power Infrastructure Through Strategic JV

Fair Value:RM 1.559.7% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8329.9% undervalued
1450 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8919.4% undervalued
1628 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32724.0% undervalued
1644 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

AN
TPG0 logo
anthony_x0j2w on Platform Group SE KGaA ·

Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

1
|
0