Stock Analysis

We're Not Counting On Acciona (BME:ANA) To Sustain Its Statutory Profitability

BME:ANA
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Acciona (BME:ANA).

While Acciona was able to generate revenue of €7.95b in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of €356.7m was more important. As shown in the chart below, it did manage to grow its revenue over the last three years, although its profit has been pretty flat.

Check out our latest analysis for Acciona

BME:ANA Income Statement June 23rd 2020
BME:ANA Income Statement June 23rd 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article, will discuss how unusual items and a spike in non operating revenue have impacted Acciona's most recent results. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

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Operating Revenue Or Not?

At most companies, some revenue streams, such as government grants, are accounted for as non-operating revenue, while the core business is said to produce operating revenue. Oftentimes, non-operating revenue spikes are not repeated, so it makes sense to be cautious where non-operating revenue has made a very large contribution to total profit. Importantly, the non-operating revenue often comes without associated ongoing costs, so it can boost profit by letting it fall straight to the bottom line, making the operating business seem better than it really is. It's worth noting that Acciona saw a big increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. Indeed, its non-operating revenue spiked from €7.99b last year to €7.95b this year. If that non-operating revenue fails to manifest in the current year, then there's a real risk the bottom line profit result will be impacted negatively. In order to better understand a company's profit result, it can sometimes help to consider whether the result would be very different without a sudden increase in non-operating revenue.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that spike in non-operating revenue, it's also important to note that Acciona's profit was boosted by unusual items worth €96m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Acciona's Profit Performance

In its last report Acciona benefitted from a spike in non-operating revenue which may have boosted its profit in a way that may be no more sustainable than low quality coal mining. Furthermore, unusual items also made a nice positive contribution to its profit, which may well drop next year (all else being equal) if these phenomena are not repeated. Considering all this we'd argue Acciona's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Acciona at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Acciona.

Our examination of Acciona has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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