Central Depository Services (India) Limited’s (NSE:CDSL) price-to-earnings (or “P/E”) ratio of 38.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 15x and even P/E’s below 7x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it’s justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Central Depository Services (India) has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Central Depository Services (India)
Is There Enough Growth For Central Depository Services (India)?
Central Depository Services (India)’s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that’s expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.8% gain to the company’s bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 34% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.9% over the next year. That’s shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it’s alarming that Central Depository Services (India)’s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company’s business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Central Depository Services (India)’s P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Central Depository Services (India)’s analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn’t impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren’t likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 2 warning signs for Central Depository Services (India) you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Central Depository Services (India). So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E’s below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.
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