Is There Now An Opportunity In Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH)?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH), which is in the hospitality business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Texas Roadhouse’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Texas Roadhouse

Is Texas Roadhouse still cheap?

Texas Roadhouse appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company’s price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 25.4x is currently well-above the industry average of 18.76x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Furthermore, Texas Roadhouse’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach levels around its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What kind of growth will Texas Roadhouse generate?

NasdaqGS:TXRH Past and Future Earnings June 22nd 2020
NasdaqGS:TXRH Past and Future Earnings June 22nd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 44% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Texas Roadhouse. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? TXRH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe TXRH should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TXRH for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for TXRH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Texas Roadhouse. You can find everything you need to know about Texas Roadhouse in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Texas Roadhouse, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.