Is TELUS Corporation's (TSE:T) 4.4% Dividend Worth Your Time?

Today we'll take a closer look at TELUS Corporation (TSE:T) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With TELUS yielding 4.4% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. It would not be a surprise to discover that many investors buy it for the dividends. Before you buy any stock for its dividend however, you should always remember Warren Buffett's two rules: 1) Don't lose money, and 2) Remember rule #1. We'll run through some checks below to help with this.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on TELUS!

TSX:T Historical Dividend Yield, January 31st 2020
TSX:T Historical Dividend Yield, January 31st 2020
Advertisement

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 77% of TELUS's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. It's paying out most of its earnings, which limits the amount that can be reinvested in the business. This may indicate limited need for further capital within the business, or highlight a commitment to paying a dividend.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. With a cash payout ratio of 369%, TELUS's dividend payments are poorly covered by cash flow. Paying out such a high percentage of cash flow suggests that the dividend was funded from either cash at bank or by borrowing, neither of which is desirable over the long term. TELUS paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough free cash flow to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were TELUS to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Is TELUS's Balance Sheet Risky?

As TELUS has a meaningful amount of debt, we need to check its balance sheet to see if the company might have debt risks. A quick check of its financial situation can be done with two ratios: net debt divided by EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation), and net interest cover. Net debt to EBITDA measures total debt load relative to company earnings (lower = less debt), while net interest cover measures the ability to pay interest on the debt (higher = greater ability to pay interest costs). TELUS is carrying net debt of 3.46 times its EBITDA, which is getting towards the upper limit of our comfort range on a dividend stock that the investor hopes will endure a wide range of economic circumstances.

We calculated its interest cover by measuring its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), and dividing this by the company's net interest expense. With EBIT of 4.51 times its interest expense, TELUS's interest cover is starting to look a bit thin.

Consider getting our latest analysis on TELUS's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. TELUS has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. The dividend has been stable over the past 10 years, which is great. We think this could suggest some resilience to the business and its dividends. During the past ten-year period, the first annual payment was CA$0.95 in 2010, compared to CA$2.33 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.4% a year over that time.

Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination.

Dividend Growth Potential

While dividend payments have been relatively reliable, it would also be nice if earnings per share (EPS) were growing, as this is essential to maintaining the dividend's purchasing power over the long term. Earnings have grown at around 7.4% a year for the past five years, which is better than seeing them shrink! Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that TELUS's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. First, we think TELUS has an acceptable payout ratio, although its dividend was not well covered by cashflow. Earnings per share growth has been slow, but we respect a company that maintains a relatively stable dividend. Ultimately, TELUS comes up short on our dividend analysis. It's not that we think it is a bad company - just that there are likely more appealing dividend prospects out there on this analysis.

Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 12 analysts we track are forecasting for TELUS for free with public analyst estimates for the company.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure.

Gold miners still look inexpensive because the market thinks we're near the top of the cycle. Given what's happening to the dollar, I'm not so sure. cover
1617
ST
steve_investor

Is it a safer bet on gold to have just exposure to ETFs?

MA
marcus_l38oa

Between 2003 and 2011, gold nearly went 5x. Dollar went weak too. The gold companies did bad. It is worth noting that between 2003 and 2011, there was 2008! I will leave it your inference and research.

About TSX:T

TELUS

Operates as a telecommunications company in Canada and internationally.

Undervalued average dividend payer.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RI
Rick_Orford
FJET logo
Rick_Orford on Starfighters Space ·

The 1960s Fighter Jet That Could Crack Open a $20 Billion Satellite Market

Fair Value:US$522.0% undervalued
61 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
MELI logo
John_Eric on MercadoLibre ·

MercadoLibre and the Spreadsheet Trick That Decides Everything

Fair Value:US$7.31k73.7% undervalued
111 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
RC
PYPL logo
rcb9 on PayPal Holdings ·

Ten Percent More Volume, One Percent More Transaction Margin

Fair Value:US$70.8913.2% undervalued
16 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
HE
HedgeY
MU logo
HedgeY on Micron Technology ·

Micron - The Memory Bottleneck Behind the AI Supercycle

Fair Value:US$1.25k22.7% undervalued
44 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

AN
andre_santos
MCD logo
andre_santos on McDonald's ·

McDonald's - A Fundamental Valuation

Fair Value:US$233.6716.0% overvalued
38 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
OL
ETN logo
OLetourneau on Eaton ·

Electrical Infrastructure Rail

Fair Value:US$37711.2% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AN
andrei9868
LOW logo
andrei9868 on Lowe's Companies ·

Digital Tools and Acquisitions Will Capture Underserved Pro Markets

Fair Value:US$25515.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
NVDA logo
oscargarcia on NVIDIA ·

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value:US$28023.3% undervalued
343 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
CU
MSFT logo
CubanEros on Microsoft ·

A wonderful business at reasonable price.

Fair Value:US$419.9115.1% overvalued
190 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
KI
AMZN logo
KiwiInvest on Amazon.com ·

Amazon's high growth, high tech segments propel its profits, while traditional segments plod along

Fair Value:US$475.0945.6% undervalued
219 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

HA
HarishPK
EVER logo
HarishPK on EverQuote ·

Feedback welcome!

3
|
0
MA
MRNA logo
Madave on Moderna ·

Aged like wine

2
|
0