PolyOne Corporation (NYSE:POL), which is in the chemicals business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$35.00 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$30.55. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether PolyOne’s current trading price of US$32.06 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at PolyOne’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What’s the opportunity in PolyOne?
The stock is currently trading at US$32.06 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 39% compared to my intrinsic value of $23.12. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that PolyOne’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will PolyOne generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -1.7% expected next year, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for PolyOne. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? If you believe POL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on POL for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Price climbed passed its true value, in addition to a risky future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on PolyOne. You can find everything you need to know about PolyOne in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in PolyOne, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.
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