Stock Analysis

    Is H. Lundbeck A/S' (CPH:LUN) Latest Stock Performance A Reflection Of Its Financial Health?

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    H. Lundbeck (CPH:LUN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to H. Lundbeck's ROE today.

    Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

    View our latest analysis for H. Lundbeck

    How To Calculate Return On Equity?

    The formula for ROE is:

    Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

    So, based on the above formula, the ROE for H. Lundbeck is:

    14% = ø1.9b ÷ ø14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

    The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every DKK1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn DKK0.14 in profit.

    Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

    Thus far, we have learnt that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

    A Side By Side comparison of H. Lundbeck's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

    At first glance, H. Lundbeck seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 10.0% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for H. Lundbeck's significant 57% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

    Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that H. Lundbeck's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 11% in the same period, which is great to see.

    CPSE:LUN Past Earnings Growth May 29th 2020
    CPSE:LUN Past Earnings Growth May 29th 2020

    Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is LUN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether LUN is currently mispriced by the market.

    Is H. Lundbeck Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

    H. Lundbeck has a three-year median payout ratio of 46% (where it is retaining 54% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that H. Lundbeck is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

    Additionally, H. Lundbeck has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 31% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in H. Lundbeck's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 17%, over the same period.

    Summary

    Overall, we are quite pleased with H. Lundbeck's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.