Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A.'s (BIT:FILA) Earnings

BIT:FILA
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When close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. (BIT:FILA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 25.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini

Does F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

It's plausible that F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini's particularly high P/E ratio could be a result of tendencies within its own industry. The image below shows that the Commercial Services industry as a whole has a P/E ratio lower than the market. So we'd say there is practically no merit in the premise that the company's ratio being shaped by its industry at this time. In the context of the Commercial Services industry's current setting, most of its constituents' P/E's would be expected to be toned down. Whilst this can be a heavy component, industry factors are normally secondary to company financials and earnings.

BIT:FILA Price Based on Past Earnings July 9th 2020
BIT:FILA Price Based on Past Earnings July 9th 2020
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 200% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 44% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 6.9% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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