Introducing Ovintiv (TSE:OVV), The Stock That Collapsed 95%

It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really big losses can really drag down an overall portfolio. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Ovintiv Inc. (TSE:OVV); the share price is down a whopping 95% in the last three years. That would certainly shake our confidence in the decision to own the stock. And over the last year the share price fell 93%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 88% in the last 90 days.

We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

Check out our latest analysis for Ovintiv

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Ovintiv became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Ovintiv has increased its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

TSX:OVV Income Statement, March 24th 2020
TSX:OVV Income Statement, March 24th 2020

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

Advertisement

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 32% in the twelve months, Ovintiv shareholders did even worse, losing 92% (even including dividends) . Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 44% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Ovintiv better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Ovintiv has 6 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About TSX:OVV

Ovintiv

Operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in North America.

Undervalued with slight risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

JO
Jolt_Communications
ZENA logo
Jolt_Communications on ZenaTech ·

ZenaTech: A big bet on the rise of AI drones and drones-as-a-service

Fair Value:US$6.8566.1% undervalued
22 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
TR
tripledub
INTU logo
tripledub on Intuit ·

A Wonderful Business at a Not-So-Wonderful Price

Fair Value:US$50013.5% undervalued
19 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
FA
A1AKK logo
FA_Trader on A1 A.K. Koh Group Berhad ·

A1 A.K. Koh Group Berhad: A simple local food story that could ride on Visit Malaysia 2026

Fair Value:RM 0.3343.9% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
KA
AII logo
kaladorm on American Integrity Insurance Group ·

Priced for worse weather, but undervalued even for a high hurricane season

Fair Value:US$37.1948.9% undervalued
9 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

BR
BrandonM84
LWLG logo
BrandonM84 on Lightwave Logic ·

Pre Commercialization optimism

Fair Value:US$14.546.0% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
GE
MBRIGHT logo
Germaine on Meta Bright Group Berhad ·

Meta Bright’s TTOP Acquisition Could Mark a Strategic Leap into Energy Infrastructure

Fair Value:RM 0.5173.5% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FA
HEKTAR logo
FA_Trader on Hektar Real Estate Investment Trust ·

Hektar REIT: Outlook is getting more interesting as retail stabilises and diversification starts to kick in

Fair Value:RM 0.499.2% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

YA
SOFI logo
Yang_ on SoFi Technologies ·

SoFi Technologies: The Apex Aggregator and the Infrastructure of the Modern Financial System

Fair Value:US$22.9830.9% undervalued
49 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
36 users have liked this narrative
PD
VRT logo
pdixit1 on Vertiv Holdings Co ·

The Infrastructure AI Cannot Be Built Without

Fair Value:US$408.6438.2% undervalued
40 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
ZA
PME logo
ZayaanS on Pro Medicus ·

Pro Medicus: The Market Is Confusing a Lumpy Quarter With a Broken Business

Fair Value:AU$196.7840.2% undervalued
33 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative