Stock Analysis

Introducing Focus Minerals (ASX:FML), A Stock That Climbed 33% In The Last Five Years

ASX:FML
Source: Shutterstock

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, long term Focus Minerals Limited (ASX:FML) shareholders have enjoyed a 33% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 3.2% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 6.4% in the last year.

View our latest analysis for Focus Minerals

Given that Focus Minerals didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over the last half decade Focus Minerals' revenue has actually been trending down at about 24% per year. Even though revenue hasn't increased, the stock actually gained 5.8%, per year, during the same period. It's probably worth checking other factors such as the profitability, to try to understand the share price action. It may not be reflecting the revenue.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:FML Earnings and Revenue Growth July 28th 2020

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Focus Minerals has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 6.4% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 5.8% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Focus Minerals (1 is a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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