Foncière Volta (EPA:SPEL) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it’s not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we’ll focus on whether this year’s statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Foncière Volta (EPA:SPEL).

We like the fact that Foncière Volta made a profit of €43.3m on its revenue of €107.0m, in the last year. One positive is that it has grown both its profit and its revenue, over the last few years.

See our latest analysis for Foncière Volta

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:SPEL Earnings and Revenue History July 15th 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. Today, we’ll discuss Foncière Volta’s free cashflow relative to its earnings, and consider what that tells us about the company. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Foncière Volta.

Examining Cashflow Against Foncière Volta’s Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company’s free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company’s average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company’s profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it’s worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That’s because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2019, Foncière Volta had an accrual ratio of -0.26. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €82m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €43.3m. Notably, Foncière Volta had negative free cash flow last year, so the €82m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

Our Take On Foncière Volta’s Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Foncière Volta produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Foncière Volta’s statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we’ve only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Foncière Volta, you’d also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we’ve identified 2 warning signs with Foncière Volta, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Foncière Volta’s profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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