Stock Analysis

Exide Industries Limited's (NSE:EXIDEIND) Has Had A Decent Run On The Stock market: Are Fundamentals In The Driver's Seat?

NSEI:EXIDEIND
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Exide Industries' (NSE:EXIDEIND) stock is up by 7.7% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Exide Industries' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Exide Industries

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Exide Industries is:

9.0% = ₹5.9b ÷ ₹65b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Exide Industries' Earnings Growth And 9.0% ROE

It is quite clear that Exide Industries' ROE is rather low. Still, the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.0% so that's certainly interesting. Having said that, Exide Industries' net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to stay low.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Exide Industries' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 6.1% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:EXIDEIND Past Earnings Growth August 17th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Exide Industries is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Exide Industries Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (implying that the company keeps 70% of its income) over the last three years, Exide Industries has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Exide Industries has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

In total, it does look like Exide Industries has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. You can do your own research on Exide Industries and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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