Did You Manage To Avoid Marchex’s (NASDAQ:MCHX) 21% Share Price Drop?

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it’s worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn’t blame long term Marchex, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCHX) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 21% over a half decade. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 17% in the last three months. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

See our latest analysis for Marchex

Given that Marchex didn’t make a profit in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over half a decade Marchex reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 14% for each year. That’s definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. It seems pretty reasonable to us that the share price dipped 4.5% per year in that time. This loss means the stock shareholders are probably pretty annoyed. Risk averse investors probably wouldn’t like this one much.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGS:MCHX Income Statement, February 14th 2020
NasdaqGS:MCHX Income Statement, February 14th 2020

If you are thinking of buying or selling Marchex stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there’s a difference between Marchex’s total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we’ve covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Marchex’s TSR, which was a 6.6% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Marchex shareholders lost 19%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.4% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we’ve spotted with Marchex (including 1 which is can’t be ignored) .

Of course Marchex may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.