Did Changing Sentiment Drive Arcimoto’s (NASDAQ:FUV) Share Price Down By 26%?

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Arcimoto, Inc. (NASDAQ:FUV) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 12% in the last month. But that doesn’t change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact, the price has declined 26% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

View our latest analysis for Arcimoto

We don’t think Arcimoto’s revenue of US$96,985 is enough to establish significant demand. You have to wonder why venture capitalists aren’t funding it. As a result, we think it’s unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. Investors will be hoping that Arcimoto can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress – and share price – will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt.

Our data indicates that Arcimoto had US$1,333,744 more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in March 2019. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But since the share price has dived -26% in the last year, it looks like some investors think it’s time to abandon ship, so to speak. You can see in the image below, how Arcimoto’s cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

NasdaqCM:FUV Historical Debt, July 8th 2019
NasdaqCM:FUV Historical Debt, July 8th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn’t even have revenue. There’s no way to know its value easily. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? I’d like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

While Arcimoto shareholders are down 26% for the year, the market itself is up 7.2%. While the aim is to do better than that, it’s worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. It’s worth noting that the last three months did the real damage, with a 27% decline. This probably signals that the business has recently disappointed shareholders – it will take time to win them back. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares – and the price they paid.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.