Stock Analysis

Compass Group (LON:CPG) Share Prices Have Dropped 46% In The Last Year

LSE:CPG
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Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. Unfortunately the Compass Group PLC (LON:CPG) share price slid 46% over twelve months. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 8.4%. Notably, shareholders had a tough run over the longer term, too, with a drop of 33% in the last three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 17% in the last 90 days.

See our latest analysis for Compass Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Unfortunately Compass Group reported an EPS drop of 12% for the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 46% share price fall. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
LSE:CPG Earnings Per Share Growth August 5th 2020

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

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What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Compass Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Compass Group's TSR, which was a 45% drop over the last year, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Compass Group shareholders are down 45% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.4%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3.1%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Compass Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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