Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Indo Thai Securities Ltd.'s (NSE:INDOTHAI) Performance Completely

NSEI:INDOTHAI
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider Indo Thai Securities Ltd. (NSE:INDOTHAI) as an attractive investment with its 6.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For instance, Indo Thai Securities' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Indo Thai Securities

Where Does Indo Thai Securities' P/E Sit Within Its Industry?

An inspection of average P/E's throughout Indo Thai Securities' industry may help to explain its low P/E ratio. The image below shows that the Capital Markets industry as a whole has a P/E ratio similar to the market. So it appears the company's ratio isn't really influenced by these industry numbers currently. Ordinarily, the majority of companies' P/E's would be supported by the general conditions within the Capital Markets industry. Still, the strength of the company's earnings will most likely determine where its P/E shall sit.

NSEI:INDOTHAI Price Based on Past Earnings June 26th 2020
NSEI:INDOTHAI Price Based on Past Earnings June 26th 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Indo Thai Securities will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Indo Thai Securities' Growth Trending?

Indo Thai Securities' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing the recent medium-term upward earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for contraction of 2.8% shows it's a great look while it lasts.

With this information, we find it very odd that Indo Thai Securities is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Indo Thai Securities currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year earnings growth is beating forecasts for a struggling market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. One major risk is whether its earnings trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough market conditions. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because this relative performance should normally provide a boost to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Indo Thai Securities (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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