Stock Analysis

BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas' (BVMF:AGRO3) Sentiment Matching Earnings

BOVESPA:AGRO3
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas (BVMF:AGRO3) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Brazil have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas

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BOVESPA:AGRO3 Price Based on Past Earnings September 6th 2020
Keen to find out how analysts think BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 342% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 22% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

You might be able to find a better investment than BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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