Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Earnings

NasdaqGS:GO
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Grocery Outlet Holding as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Grocery Outlet Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:GO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Grocery Outlet Holding.

Is There Enough Growth For Grocery Outlet Holding?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Grocery Outlet Holding would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 31% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Grocery Outlet Holding is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Grocery Outlet Holding's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Grocery Outlet Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Grocery Outlet Holding has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Grocery Outlet Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.