Stock Analysis

Apex Frozen Foods Limited's (NSE:APEX) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

NSEI:APEX
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Apex Frozen Foods' (NSE:APEX) recent performance, when its stock has declined 13% over the past month. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Apex Frozen Foods' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Apex Frozen Foods

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Apex Frozen Foods is:

15% = ₹606m ÷ ₹4.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.15 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Apex Frozen Foods' Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, Apex Frozen Foods' ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to Apex Frozen Foods' decent 17% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing Apex Frozen Foods' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 19% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:APEX Past Earnings Growth July 30th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Apex Frozen Foods fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Apex Frozen Foods Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Apex Frozen Foods' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 9.6% (implying that it retains 90% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

While Apex Frozen Foods has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Apex Frozen Foods' performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Apex Frozen Foods.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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