Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Trading At Estimated Discounts Of Up To 48.3% Below Intrinsic Value

ASX:DRO
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The Australian market has recently experienced a mixed performance, with the ASX200 closing flat at 8,548 points and sectors like Energy leading gains while Staples lagged behind. In this environment of sectoral shifts and corporate developments, identifying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value can offer potential opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on price discrepancies.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Tasmea (ASX:TEA)A$3.12A$6.0448.3%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.93A$4.9240.4%
Ridley (ASX:RIC)A$2.86A$5.6449.3%
Praemium (ASX:PPS)A$0.66A$1.1642.9%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)A$0.86A$1.5544.7%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.19A$2.0341.5%
Nuix (ASX:NXL)A$2.26A$4.0343.9%
Fenix Resources (ASX:FEX)A$0.285A$0.4739.5%
DroneShield (ASX:DRO)A$1.77A$3.4248.2%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$19.11A$33.8843.6%

Click here to see the full list of 35 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

DroneShield (ASX:DRO)

Overview: DroneShield Limited develops, commercializes, and sells hardware and software technology for drone detection and security in Australia and the United States, with a market cap of A$1.55 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Aerospace & Defense segment, amounting to A$58.01 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.2%

DroneShield, trading at A$1.77, is significantly undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis with a fair value estimate of A$3.42. The company's revenue is forecast to grow 32.6% annually, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth rate of 5.6%. While it is expected to become profitable within three years, its projected Return on Equity remains modest at 11.1%. Recent events include the upcoming Annual General Meeting scheduled for May 28, 2025.

ASX:DRO Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025
ASX:DRO Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025

Superloop (ASX:SLC)

Overview: Superloop Limited, with a market cap of A$1.50 billion, operates as a telecommunications and internet service provider in Australia through its subsidiaries.

Operations: Superloop Limited generates revenue through three primary segments: Business (A$103.63 million), Consumer (A$316.02 million), and Wholesale (A$60.05 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 40.4%

Superloop, trading at A$2.93, is substantially undervalued with a fair value estimate of A$4.92 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a recent A$7.8 million loss, the company has improved its financial position and is generating strong cash flows after completing major capital expenditures. Superloop's revenue growth forecast of 13.5% annually outpaces the Australian market average, and it aims to become profitable within three years while pursuing strategic acquisitions to bolster growth further.

ASX:SLC Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025
ASX:SLC Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025

Tasmea (ASX:TEA)

Overview: Tasmea Limited offers shutdown, maintenance, emergency breakdown, and capital upgrade services in Australia with a market cap of A$735.14 million.

Operations: Revenue Segments (in millions of A$): Shutdown services: 450, Maintenance services: 620, Emergency breakdown services: 300, Capital upgrade services: 530.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.3%

Tasmea, trading at A$3.12, is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate of A$6.04 based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company has shown robust earnings growth of 75.3% over the past year and forecasts suggest continued strong performance with revenue expected to grow by 21% annually, outpacing the Australian market average. However, despite recent profitable growth guidance and a special dividend announcement, Tasmea's high debt level raises concerns about financial stability.

ASX:TEA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025
ASX:TEA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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