Ciena 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Ciena (는) 각각 연간 33.2% 및 18.2% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 32.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 35.2% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
33.2%
이익 성장률
32.91%
EPS 성장률
| Communications 이익 성장 | 23.5% |
| 매출 성장률 | 18.2% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 35.17% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 06 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 01
Ciena Corp.: Buy As Backlog To Cash Is Rolling
Summary Ciena is positioned as the leading pure-play optical networking provider for hyperscaler-driven AI data center expansion. CIEN's backlog surged to $7 billion in Q1, up from $5 billion last quarter and under $3 billion in 2023, fueling rapid cash generation. Despite a premium valuation (forward PE 120x), I rate CIEN a buy, citing robust industry tailwinds and accelerating backlog conversion. CIEN’s hyperscaler focus entails higher risk and customer concentration, but its unmatched exposure to AI infrastructure offers superior long-term upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 29
CIEN: AI Data Center Momentum Will Ultimately Face P/E Multiple Compression
Ciena's updated analyst price target has moved higher to around $378 from about $341, as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly different discount rate, modestly adjusted profit margin expectations, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by recent research citing AI driven optical demand, strong data center positioning, and solid order trends across key customers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ciena highlights a mix of optimism around AI driven optical demand and data center exposure, alongside more tempered views on valuation and supply constraints.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15
CIEN: AI Networking Hype Will Face Future Multiple Compression Risk
Ciena's updated analyst price target has increased significantly to $340.94 from $237.13. Analysts cite stronger AI-driven networking demand, a larger optical opportunity, higher long-term revenue growth and margin assumptions, and expectations for a richer future P/E multiple as key factors supporting this move.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 01
CIEN: AI Data Center Buildout Will Support Optical Networking Upside
Narrative Update on Ciena The analyst price target for Ciena has been lifted from $305 to $470 as analysts factor in expectations for higher revenue, stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple supported by recent research highlighting AI infrastructure demand, robust optical orders, and improved margin performance. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Ciena has leaned positive, with a series of price target revisions, rating upgrades, and fresh initiations that highlight how analysts are framing the company around AI infrastructure, data center connectivity, and execution in its core optical business.
새 내러티브 • Mar 19
Ciena Corporation (CIEN): The Optical Backbone of the AI Revolution
Ciena Corporation (CIEN) is currently one of the most explosive stories in the networking sector, closing the March 18, 2026, session at $385.26 USD , a robust 4.11% daily gain. The stock has been on a tear, surging over 73% in the last three months as it effectively "outperforms" many of its hardware peers in the early 2026 trading cycle.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 17
CIEN: AI Optical Euphoria Will Eventually Face Supply And Delivery Constraints
Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Ciena to $191.58 from $119.13, reflecting updated assumptions around AI driven optical networking demand, stronger profitability expectations, and higher projected future P/E multiples after a broad wave of price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Ciena has leaned positive, with multiple firms lifting price targets and highlighting themes such as AI driven optical demand, data center buildouts, and strong interest from cloud and telco customers.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 03
CIEN: Extended Rally Will Confront AI Supply Constraints And Execution Hurdles
Analysts have raised their average price targets on Ciena into a range of $280 to $380, citing stronger confidence in revenue growth potential tied to AI data center demand and new optical technologies. Market-based estimates now imply a fair value of about $119 and a forward P/E of roughly 33x, with slightly lower profit margin assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
CIEN: Extended Rally Will Face Pressure As Execution Risks Intensify
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Ciena from about $90.71 to roughly $126.51, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following recent sector research and a valuation reset after the stock’s sharp advance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around optical and photonics peers has come with recalibrated expectations, and that more cautious tone has spilled over to Ciena.분석 기사 • Feb 11
Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump
Ciena Corporation ( NYSE:CIEN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 03
CIEN: AI Optical Tailwinds Will Face Valuation And Execution Headwinds
Analysts kept their long term fair value view on Ciena steady at about $237 per share, making only slight tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. They are balancing prior upgrades tied to AI and hyperscale optical demand with a more cautious stance after the stock's strong run and a recent rating shift to Neutral.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 19
CIEN: Hyperscale AI Optical Demand And IT Spending Will Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ciena to US$200 from US$120, citing expectations for solid results supported by hyperscale and AI driven optical demand, as well as ongoing infrastructure spending in IT hardware and networking. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to Ciena as a key beneficiary of rising demand for optical networking tied to hyperscale data centers and AI related workloads.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05
CIEN: Hyperscale And AI Optical Demand Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update on Ciena The analyst price target for Ciena has moved from US$150 to US$305. This change reflects analysts' updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple, supported by recent research citing data center and AI driven optical demand, stronger networking fundamentals, and the Nubis acquisition.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 21
CIEN: AI Data Center Tailwinds Will Meet Rising Execution And Cost Risks
Analysts have raised their price target on Ciena by approximately $70 to about $200, reflecting higher expected revenue growth, improved profit margins, and accelerating AI and data center driven optical demand, including benefits from the Nubis acquisition. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight a broad reset higher in expectations, with multiple firms lifting targets into the $175 to $200 range as conviction grows around Ciena's ability to monetize AI and data center demand while integrating Nubis to enhance its optical portfolio.분석 기사 • Dec 21
Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Stocks Shoot Up 29% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Ciena Corporation ( NYSE:CIEN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 07
CIEN: AI Optical Momentum Will Struggle To Sustain Recently Elevated Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ciena to $167 from $152.63, citing stronger hyperscale and AI driven optical demand, rising data center investment, and the margin and growth tailwinds expected from the Nubis acquisition. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see Ciena as a primary beneficiary of accelerating hyperscale and AI driven optical demand, with rising data center investment and the Nubis acquisition underpinning expectations for durable double digit growth and margin expansion.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 23
CIEN: Share Price Momentum Will Face Headwinds If Execution Stumbles Amid AI Hype
Ciena's analyst price target has been raised from $142.06 to $152.63. Analysts cite the company's strengthening position in AI-driven data center markets and continued momentum in hyperscale optical demand as key factors in the upward revision.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 07
CIEN: Recent Share Price Rally Will Face Pressure From Overstretched Expectations
Ciena's analyst price targets have risen significantly in recent updates. This reflects growing optimism around the company's expanding data center exposure and healthy sector momentum.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 24
Cloud And AI Networking Demand Will Drive New Market Opportunities
Ciena’s analyst price target has increased by approximately $9 to $142, as analysts point to accelerating data center investment, margin expansion, and strong networking sector momentum as key drivers of this upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity has signaled a strong shift in sentiment around Ciena, with price target upgrades and ratings changes highlighting both opportunities and risks facing the company as it navigates the evolving networking and data center landscape.분석 기사 • Oct 15
Optimistic Investors Push Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Despite an already strong run, Ciena Corporation ( NYSE:CIEN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 10
Cloud And AI Optical Networks Will Unlock New Opportunities
Ciena's analyst price target has increased from $127.22 to $132.69, as analysts point to the company's expanding data center opportunities and recent strategic initiatives as key drivers behind the upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have highlighted both optimism and caution from the analyst community regarding Ciena’s prospects, following a series of upgrades, price target increases, and timely strategic moves.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 26
Cloud And AI Optical Networks Will Unlock New Opportunities
Analysts have raised Ciena's price target following strong Q3 results, robust AI and cloud-driven demand, and strategic acquisitions, though some caution that valuation now reflects much of this momentum; as a result, the consensus price target has increased from $123.97 to $127.22. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets following Ciena's strong fiscal Q3 results, significant order growth, and an improved revenue growth outlook for FY26 (notably raised to 17%, well above consensus).내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 11
Cloud And AI Optical Networks Will Unlock New Opportunities
Analysts raised their price target on Ciena to $123.97 following exceptional Q3 results, upward revisions to long-term revenue guidance driven by robust AI/cloud demand, and improved backlog visibility, though some caution remains on valuation after the stock's major rally. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Ciena's Q3 results exceeding expectations on both revenue and earnings, with a "strong beat and raise" quarter and the highest order quarter in company history.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27
Growing AI And Cloud Demand Will Drive Future Market Share With WaveLogic 6 Extreme
Analysts have raised Ciena’s price target to $87.50 on surging demand from cloud providers and AI-driven infrastructure upgrades, though concerns over margin compression and limited earnings growth temper enthusiasm. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight surging demand for optical transmission and fiber infrastructure, driven by increasing data speeds and AI adoption, boosting Ciena’s revenue growth outlook.분석 기사 • Aug 26
Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have price-to-sales...분석 기사 • Aug 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) Is Using Debt Extensively
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Feb 26
Ciena Q1 Earnings Preview: AI And Data Center Spending Needs To Be Strong
Summary Ciena Corporation's Q1 '25 earnings report is expected to show flat revenue growth, with EPS estimates of $0.41 non-GAAP and $0.14 GAAP on $1.05B in revenues. Key focus areas include AI-driven demand, data center spending, and the performance of new products like WaveLogic 6 Extreme and Nano. Management's confidence in long-term growth (8%-11%) hinges on robust AI and data center investments by tech giants like Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet. CIEN's future outlook and backlog growth will be critical indicators of its ability to overcome recent revenue stagnation and capitalize on AI trends. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
Ciena Delivers Strong Q4 Earnings, But Valuation Demands Precision
Summary Ciena Corporation has shown impressive growth, with a nearly 100% YTD return and a strong annualized ROR of 15.12% since 2015. Ciena's advanced tech, like the WaveLogic 6 Extreme, addresses growing bandwidth demands, but profitability pressures and inventory management challenges persist. Long-term growth prospects in cloud and AI are promising, but the stock's current high price leaves little room for error. Despite strong performance and market enthusiasm, Ciena's high valuation and need for near-perfect execution make it a cautious "hold" for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 27
Ciena Corporation: Hold, Financials Are Weak Amid A Decisive Technical Turn
Summary I rate Ciena Corporation a hold due to decelerating growth, weak financial performance, and high inventory, despite recent technological advancements. The company's revenue has been on a consistent downward trajectory, with significant declines in backlog and high production costs impacting profitability. Technological advancements like WaveLogic 6 Extreme could boost financial performance, but market penetration and adoption need time to assess. Technical indicators suggest a possible consolidation or trend reversal, warranting patience before making any investment decisions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 9,699 | 1,389 | 1,277 | 1,532 | 11 |
| 10/31/2027 | 7,602 | 992 | 812 | 1,056 | 17 |
| 10/31/2026 | 6,177 | 663 | 534 | 657 | 17 |
| 1/31/2026 | 5,124 | 229 | 742 | 930 | N/A |
| 11/1/2025 | 4,770 | 123 | 665 | 806 | N/A |
| 8/2/2025 | 4,542 | 141 | 605 | 784 | N/A |
| 5/3/2025 | 4,265 | 105 | 292 | 451 | N/A |
| 2/1/2025 | 4,050 | 79 | 205 | 352 | N/A |
| 11/2/2024 | 4,015 | 84 | 378 | 515 | N/A |
| 7/27/2024 | 4,020 | 138 | 285 | 361 | N/A |
| 4/27/2024 | 4,146 | 154 | 447 | 529 | N/A |
| 1/27/2024 | 4,368 | 228 | 607 | 700 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 4,387 | 255 | 62 | 168 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 4,228 | 221 | -149 | -42 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 4,028 | 202 | -359 | -256 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 3,845 | 183 | -474 | -379 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 3,633 | 153 | -259 | -168 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 3,703 | 199 | 22 | 102 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 3,823 | 426 | 303 | 376 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 3,708 | 491 | 410 | 495 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 3,621 | 500 | 462 | 542 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 3,408 | 462 | 385 | 474 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 3,396 | 366 | 492 | 580 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 3,456 | 354 | 370 | 447 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 3,532 | 361 | 411 | 494 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 3,672 | 377 | 472 | 546 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 3,656 | 321 | 381 | 454 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 3,627 | 282 | 393 | 467 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 3,572 | 253 | N/A | 413 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 3,504 | 237 | N/A | 241 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 3,362 | 201 | N/A | 246 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 3,227 | 162 | N/A | 179 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 3,094 | -345 | N/A | 229 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 2,939 | 751 | N/A | 300 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 2,849 | 761 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 2,826 | 785 | N/A | 297 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 2,802 | 1,262 | N/A | 235 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 2,773 | 138 | N/A | 233 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 2,715 | 112 | N/A | 260 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 2,649 | 88 | N/A | 248 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 2,601 | 73 | N/A | 290 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 2,576 | 22 | N/A | 237 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 2,509 | 12 | N/A | 278 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 2,490 | 19 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 2,446 | 12 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 2,345 | -5 | N/A | 251 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: CIEN 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(33.2%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: CIEN 의 연간 수익(33.2%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: CIEN 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: CIEN 의 수익(연간 18.2%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: CIEN 의 수익(연간 18.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: CIEN의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 35.2%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/11 04:19 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/01/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/11/01 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Ciena Corporation는 35명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 17명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| James Kelleher | Argus Research Company |
| Timothy Long | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Kvaal | Barclays |