AppLovin 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 6/6
AppLovin (는) 각각 연간 21.6% 및 20.9% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 22.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 92.6% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
21.6%
이익 성장률
22.92%
EPS 성장률
| Software 이익 성장 | 19.6% |
| 매출 성장률 | 20.9% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 92.58% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 15 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 15
AppLovin's Breakout Is Nearly Here - Robust Performance Metrics & Bullish Support
Summary APP's dominant ad mediation position, vertical SSP/DSP integration, and expansion into new verticals underpin their highly successful ad-tech prospects at a time of AI boom. Beyond the promising FQ2'26 guidance, the ad-tech company is likely to deliver robust H2'26 numbers, attributed by the potentially robust uptake of AXON 2.0 upon public launch. APP has also demonstrated their accelerating, profitable growth trends through the Rule of 144.2% outperformance in FQ1'26 (+5.7 points YoY), across revenue growth and adj EBITDA margins. Valuations remain compelling at EV/EBITDA of 22.91x and 3Y PEG of 0.72x, with potential P/E re-rating to historical levels triggering an expanded upside potential to my bull-case LTPT of $892.40. APP remains a Great Buy here, with the uptrend technical support and the bottoming trading volumes implying a potential breakout in the near-term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 14
APP: Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside At Current Pricing
Analysts are keeping their $860.00 price target for AppLovin unchanged, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that largely offset each other in their updated models. What's in the News From January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, AppLovin repurchased 2,170,000 shares, representing 0.64%, for US$1,004.46m.
새로운 내러티브 • May 13
AXON's E-Commerce Expansion Will Unlock AppLovin's Next Growth Chapter
AppLovin has quietly built one of the most profitable AI software platforms in the public markets. The core thesis is simple: AXON, the company's proprietary AI advertising engine, is expanding beyond its proven mobile gaming foundation into e-commerce — a transition that could dramatically expand the total addressable market and re-rate the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 29
APP: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside At Current Pricing
Analysts now see AppLovin's fair value holding at $860, with a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher revenue growth outlook near 40%, a stable profit margin around 72%, and a marginally lower future P/E closer to 34. Together, these factors support a steady price target narrative rather than a major reset.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15
APP: Ongoing Buybacks And Strong 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for AppLovin slightly, by about $5 per share. This reflects updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that remain broadly consistent with prior views.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 01
APP: Share Buybacks And 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Support Balanced Return Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target on AppLovin from $476.89 to $429.35, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple as the main factors behind the revision. What's in the News AppLovin reported that between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 it repurchased 660,000 shares, representing 0.19% of its shares, for US$409.49 million under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 18
APP: Share Repurchases And Margin Outlook Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now see higher upside for AppLovin, lifting the fair value estimate from $650.00 to $860.00 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News AppLovin completed a buyback tranche between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, repurchasing 660,000 shares for $409.49 million, equal to 0.19% of its shares under the existing program (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 04
APP: Higher 2026 Guidance And Strong Margins Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have lowered their AppLovin price target to $651.43 from $737.21 as they incorporate updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple, which reflects a more balanced view of the company’s risk and return profile. What's in the News AppLovin issued earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, with total revenue expected to be in the range of $1.745 billion to $1.775 billion (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
APP: Higher 2026 Revenue Outlook And Rich Margins Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AppLovin to $476.89 from $530.78, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AppLovin issued new earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, setting expected total revenue in a range of US$1.745b to US$1.775b (Key Developments).분석 기사 • Feb 04
AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) Shares Slammed 25% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 03
APP: Ongoing Buybacks And Rich Margins Will Likely Keep Shares Rangebound
Analysts now see lower upside for AppLovin, trimming their price expectations from about US$544.25 to roughly US$530.78, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News AppLovin issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, with expected revenue in a range of US$1,570m to US$1,600m.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 20
APP: Heavy Buybacks And Lofty Margins Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for AppLovin to $544.25, a modest move from $538.97. The change reflects refreshed assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06
APP: Rich Buybacks And Margin Assumptions Will Likely Overstretch Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on AppLovin from US$318.43 to US$538.97, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. They now view these assumptions as more supportive of a higher fair value range.분석 기사 • Dec 19
Subdued Growth No Barrier To AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) With Shares Advancing 31%
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 17
APP: Share Repurchases And Index Additions Will Support Future Measured Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on AppLovin by about 9 dollars to roughly 737 dollars per share, citing slightly stronger long term revenue growth assumptions and a modest uptick in expected valuation multiples, despite a marginally lower projected profit margin. What's in the News AppLovin completed a major share repurchase tranche, buying back 1,187,000 shares in the third quarter of 2025.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 03
APP: Expanded Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Bullish Momentum
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AppLovin by about 1 percent to approximately 728.25 dollars, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth, marginally improved profit margins, and a still elevated but easing future earnings multiple. What's in the News AppLovin expanded its share repurchase activity, completing the buyback of 76.6 million shares, or about 21.4% of shares outstanding, for roughly 4.18 billion dollars, including 1.19 million shares repurchased in the latest quarter for 510.29 million dollars (company buyback update).내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 19
APP: Share Buyback Authorization Will Drive Increased Bullish Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for AppLovin from $649.96 to $718.71, citing improved profit margins and a lower discount rate as key drivers for the updated valuation. What's in the News AppLovin completed the repurchase of over 76.6 million shares, representing 21.42% of its outstanding shares for $4.18 billion.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01
APP: Index Additions And Profit Margin Gains Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for AppLovin from $646.30 to $649.96, citing expectations for higher revenue growth and improved profit margins in the future. What's in the News AppLovin has been added to several major indices, including the S&P Global 1200, S&P 500 Growth, S&P Composite 1500, and S&P 500 (Key Developments) The company was added to the S&P 500 Equal Weighted and S&P 500 Software & Services (Industry Group) indices (Key Developments) AppLovin was removed from the Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index (Key Developments) The company repurchased 732,000 shares, bringing the total buyback to over 75 million shares under the program announced in 2022 (Key Developments) Earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025 was provided, with expected revenue between $1,320 million and $1,340 million (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $646.30 to $649.96.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 18
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
Narrative Update: AppLovin Analyst Price Target Revised Upward Analysts have raised their fair value price target for AppLovin from $613.59 to $646.30, citing improved revenue growth projections and a slight increase in expected profit margins. What's in the News AppLovin Corporation was added to the S&P Global 1200 index (Key Developments) AppLovin joined the S&P 500 Equal Weighted index (Key Developments) The company was dropped from the Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index (Key Developments) A repurchase of 732,000 shares was completed between April and June 2025, marking over 21% completed under the buyback program (Key Developments) The company issued earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025, with expected revenue between $1,320 million and $1,340 million (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target increased from $613.59 to $646.30, reflecting a higher valuation outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
AppLovin's analyst price target has been revised upward by analysts, increasing from $517.81 to $613.59. This reflects continued optimism about the company's revenue growth and future earnings outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 17
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
The upward revision in AppLovin’s price target reflects a modest increase in its expected future P/E multiple while revenue growth forecasts remain largely unchanged, resulting in a new consensus target of $517.81. What's in the News Repurchased 732,000 shares for $270.03 million from April to June, completing the buyback of 75.45 million shares (21.07%) for $3.67 billion.분석 기사 • Sep 05
Investors Appear Satisfied With AppLovin Corporation's (NASDAQ:APP) Prospects As Shares Rocket 32%
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period...내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 02
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
AppLovin’s valuation outlook remains stable, with both its future P/E and discount rate essentially unchanged, resulting in only a slight increase in the consensus analyst price target from $493.19 to $499.14. What's in the News Repurchased 732,000 shares for $270.03 million, completing 75,452,556 shares or 21.07% under the buyback program since February 2022.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
It's Time To Start Loving AppLovin Shares Again!
Summary AppLovin's shares are undervalued due to a 50% drawdown, despite strong growth in its core in-game advertising business and promising expansion into e-commerce advertising. Three catalysts could drive a rerating: potential earnings surprise, a report refuting short-seller allegations, and the sale of the game studio business. AppLovin's Axon platform, leveraging AI for targeted advertising, has shown exceptional ROI for game developers and is gaining traction in e-commerce. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, AppLovin's strong profitability and growth prospects make it a compelling buy at current valuations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 28
AppLovin: A High-Growth Play In A Trillion-Dollar Market
Summary AppLovin has outperformed competitors like Unity and large tech firms by capturing significant market share in the mobile app ad space. Despite recent short-seller reports, AppLovin's growth prospects remain strong, with expected revenue growth of 21% and EPS growth of more than double that. The current valuation, with a forward P/E ratio of 41x and a PEG ratio of 0.77x, is justified given the growth rate. Investors should be prepared for volatility but consider the recent dip an attractive entry point for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 21
AppLovin: Misplaced Priorities And Wild Overvaluation
Summary AppLovin is poised to face fierce competition over the next few years, which will be difficult to overcome given questionable priorities in capital allocation. It is almost certain that a niche that allows AppLovin to generate close to 80% EBITDA margin will attract numerous competitors, including digital advertising monsters like Google and Meta. APP's valuation is disconnected from fundamentals, with forward P/E ratios higher than Nvidia's and the DCF model flagging massive overvaluation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
AppLovin's Stock Can't Outrun The Broader Selloff - Rating Downgraded
Summary I foresee continued downside for AppLovin, possibly testing the mid-$100s support levels, despite seeing no major changes in the company's internal operations. I believe AppLovin's premium valuation is unsustainable in a market downturn. Paying 39x operating cash flow doesn’t make sense compared to cheaper competitors like Unity. The stock has declined 5.6x more than the S&P 500 since February 20, indicating the potential for steeper losses if the broader selloff continues toward SPY’s $480 support. I am not particularly excited by the CEO's insider selling activity at the end of February. If the $900M app segment deal closes, I anticipate a temporary share price boost, but I believe macro pressures will ultimately outweigh investor enthusiasm. I downgrade APP stock to a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 13,353 | 8,919 | 9,296 | 8,834 | 17 |
| 12/31/2027 | 10,593 | 7,016 | 7,117 | 6,909 | 31 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,201 | 5,409 | 5,575 | 5,486 | 25 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,164 | 3,915 | 4,411 | 4,439 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,481 | 3,433 | 3,987 | 4,015 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,822 | 2,926 | 3,377 | 3,403 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,252 | 2,523 | 2,874 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,705 | 2,052 | 2,548 | 2,574 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,224 | 1,587 | 2,073 | 2,099 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,178 | 1,163 | 1,790 | 1,742 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,207 | 838 | 1,424 | 1,390 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,246 | 617 | 1,161 | 1,166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,842 | 456 | 998 | 1,062 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,032 | 104 | 833 | 881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,881 | 20 | 820 | 856 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,907 | -82 | 734 | 733 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,817 | -193 | 412 | 413 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,908 | -85 | 328 | 335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,922 | -108 | 278 | 285 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,815 | -73 | 261 | 268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,793 | 32 | 360 | 362 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,509 | -15 | 373 | 377 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,164 | -105 | 286 | 290 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,795 | -140 | 236 | 239 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,451 | -125 | 220 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 994 | 76 | N/A | 198 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 483 | -260 | N/A | 139 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: APP 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(21.6%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: APP 의 연간 수익(21.6%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: APP 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: APP 의 수익(연간 20.9%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: APP 의 수익(연간 20.9%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: APP의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 92.6%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/19 03:59 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/19 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
AppLovin Corporation는 49명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 31명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| David Mak | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Michael Hickey | Benchmark Company |
| Omar Dessouky | BofA Global Research |