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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 18%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$613.59
3.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
US$590.11
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1Y
306.1%
7D
0.5%

AppLovin's analyst price target has been revised upward by analysts, increasing from $517.81 to $613.59. This reflects continued optimism about the company's revenue growth and future earnings outlook.

What's in the News

  • AppLovin has been added to the S&P Global 1200, marking a significant milestone for the company (Key Developments).
  • The company was recently included in the S&P 500, S&P 500 Growth, and several other major indices, including the S&P Composite 1500 and S&P 500 Information Technology (Key Developments).
  • AppLovin was removed from the Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index (Key Developments).
  • The company completed a repurchase of 732,000 shares, contributing to a total buyback of over 75 million shares, or 21.07 percent of its outstanding shares since February 2022 (Key Developments).
  • AppLovin provided earnings guidance for Q3 2025 with expected revenue between $1,320 million and $1,340 million (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $517.81 to $613.59, reflecting an improved outlook.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.47% to 8.50%, suggesting a minor adjustment to perceived risks or costs of capital.
  • The Revenue Growth Forecast has edged up from 22.32% to 22.36%.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate has decreased moderately from 59.41% to 57.88%.
  • The Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio has grown from 36.65x to 44.57x, indicating higher anticipated earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.