Vipshop Holdings Limited

NYSE:VIPS 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$6.8b

Vipshop Holdings 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 0/6

Vipshop Holdings (는) 각각 연간 1.1% 및 1.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 3.5% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 15.7% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

1.1%

이익 성장률

3.48%

EPS 성장률

Multiline Retail 이익 성장16.8%
매출 성장률1.7%
향후 자기자본이익률15.72%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트21 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Nov 23

Vipshop Holdings Limited Just Beat EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Vipshop Holdings Limited ( NYSE:VIPS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • 2h

Vipshop: Staying Bullish After Q1 Profit Beat

Summary Vipshop Holdings remains a 'Buy' based on my assessment of its quarterly performance and full-year outlook. VIPS's 1Q2026 EBIT and EPS exceeded their respective consensus estimates by 5% and 2%, respectively. I anticipate that VIPS can return to positive revenue and earnings growth in FY2026. The key levers include an optimized marketing strategy, online-to-offline expansion, asset monetization, and AI-driven cost savings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 01

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 10% Yield Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Vipshop by around $0.18 to approximately $20.06. The revision reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent target changes from firms that cited stable earnings, cash flow and yield appeal alongside modest target reductions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 17

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 2026 Yield Will Support Income-Focused Upside

Vipshop's updated fair value estimate has moved to $25.24 from $24.28, reflecting analysts' mixed price target revisions around $20 to $22 that cite steady earnings, cash flow, and an appealing yield profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have leaned into Vipshop's income appeal and steadier execution, updating their work to reflect what they describe as more stable earnings, cash flow and a relatively high yield profile.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 02

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 2026 Yield Will Support Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for Vipshop Holdings is now approximately $24.28, a slight change from about $24.26, as analysts balance recent target reductions at JPMorgan and Barclays with more supportive views on stable earnings, cash flow, and yield highlighted in the recent Nomura upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Vipshop centers on how resilient earnings, cash generation, and yield assumptions fit with the current share price, even as some large firms trim price targets at the margin.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 19

VIPS: Stable Earnings And High 2026 Yield Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Vipshop to $24.26 from $25.09, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher profit margin expectations, and updated P/E targets informed by recent price target revisions from $18.50 to $20 and $22. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vipshop highlights a cluster of constructive views, with bullish analysts pointing to income potential, earnings resilience, and updated price targets that remain above the latest fair value estimate.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 05

VIPS: Stable Earnings And High Yield Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have inched their average price target on Vipshop higher to about $20.24, helped by supportive views on stable earnings, cash flow and yield, even though individual targets range from $20 to $22. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to what they describe as stable earnings and cash flow as key supports for the current valuation, arguing that this visibility helps justify price targets around US$20 to US$22.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 19

VIPS: Future Execution And P/E Support Will Drive Fair Value Ahead

Analysts have lifted their price target on Vipshop Holdings to $22 from $21, reflecting adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and future P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$22 target as support for the view that current pricing still leaves room for upside if the company delivers on execution.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 04

VIPS: Reorganization And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Share Price

Analysts have nudged their fair value view on Vipshop higher, with recent price target increases to $21 and $22 supporting a modest uplift, driven by slightly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone around Vipshop, with price targets nudged higher as analysts revisit their assumptions for revenue, margins, and forward P/E.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 21

VIPS: Reorganization And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target for Vipshop to about US$25.09 from US$24.73, citing recent target increases from US$19 to US$21 and from US$21 to US$22, along with updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Vipshop have leaned constructive, with higher price targets and supportive commentary around the company’s execution and business reorganization.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 07

VIPS: Rising Confidence In Reorganization Will Expose Execution Weaknesses

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Vipshop has moved higher, supported by recent Street research that lifted targets to US$21 and US$22. Analysts highlight improving efficiency from the company’s reorganization and expectations for steadier growth and profitability over time.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 15

VIPS: Reorganization Will Support Stronger Margins And Lift Future Earnings Multiple

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Vipshop Holdings' fair value estimate has been raised by analysts from approximately $22.57 to $24.73 as they factor in slightly stronger revenue growth, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and continued benefits from the company reorganization and steady growth outlook into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight growing optimism around Vipshop Holdings as bullish analysts raise their price targets and reiterate constructive views on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 30

VIPS: Recent Reorganization And Share Buybacks Will Drive Fair Value Ahead

The average analyst price target for Vipshop Holdings has been raised from $19.08 to $19.73, as analysts cite positive effects from the company's recent reorganization and a continued steady growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates reveal a mixed yet overall positive sentiment among analysts following Vipshop Holdings' latest results and corporate restructuring.
분석 기사 • Nov 23

Vipshop Holdings Limited Just Beat EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Vipshop Holdings Limited ( NYSE:VIPS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 16

VIPS: Future Earnings Prospects And Discount Rate Will Shape Fair Value

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vipshop Holdings slightly, increasing it from $19.03 to $19.08 per share. This reflects minor adjustments to discount rate assumptions and forward earnings projections.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01

VIPS: Share Buybacks And Steady Financials Will Support Recovery Prospects

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vipshop Holdings from $19.02 to $19.03, citing updated valuation metrics and recent modest improvements in key financial indicators. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent upward revision in price targets, which signals increased confidence in the company’s ongoing execution and stability.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 17

China Outlet Expansion And AI Investments Will Drive Success

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Analysts have raised their price target for Vipshop Holdings by $1, reflecting revised fair value estimates and updated considerations of discount rates and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have raised their price targets, indicating increased confidence in the company’s valuation and earnings outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03

China Outlet Expansion And AI Investments Will Drive Success

Analysts have increased their price target for Vipshop Holdings from $18.17 to $18.90. They cite modest improvements in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts as the reason for this adjustment.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 16

Expanding 'Made For VIP' Line And AI Tech Will Elevate Customer Experiences

Vipshop Holdings’ analyst price target has been raised to $17.64, reflecting improved bullish sentiment on core business momentum and profitability relative to peers, despite modest downward revisions to near-term revenue and profit forecasts amid ongoing product-specific headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge continued mild improvement in GMV and revenue year-over-year, supporting share price upside at an attractive valuation.
분석 기사 • Jul 24

Vipshop Holdings Limited's (NYSE:VIPS) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Vipshop Holdings Limited's ( NYSE:VIPS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.2x might make it look like a strong...
분석 기사 • Jul 03

Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
분석 기사 • Jun 11

Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 24

Vipshop: Fundamental Challenges Remain

Summary Vipshop's 4Q24 revenue beat consensus, but underlying fundamentals remain weak, with flat GMV growth and declining active buyers and orders. Overreliance on Super VIP membership and the apparel segment poses risks, while non-apparel categories underperform despite government subsidies. Lack of global exposure limits growth potential compared to peers like PDD and Alibaba; better cash allocation towards overseas markets is recommended. VIPS' current valuation is compelling at less than 6x forward earnings, but caution is advised until stable GMV recovery is evident; prefer PDD and Meituan. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

Vipshop: Stock Repurchase Program, Massive Headcount Growth, And Extremely Cheap

Summary Vipshop Holdings Limited shows strong FCF growth, benefits from China's stimulus, and has a significant stock repurchase program, making it a clear buy. Despite a challenging 2024, VIPS's agreements with well-known brands and substantial hiring indicate potential for future net income and FCF growth. Risks include related party transactions and incorporation in the Cayman Islands, but VIPS's valuation appears attractive compared to competitors. My valuation model suggests a fair price of $18 per share, with VIPS trading at a discount relative to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
새로운 내러티브 • Nov 20

SVIP Growth And AI Innovations Brighten Prospects But Revenue Decline And Competition Cast Shadows

Vipshop's growth in SVIP memberships and strategic initiatives to enhance customer engagement could boost revenue and customer loyalty.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Vipshop: A Paradox Of Attractive Valuations And Deteriorating Fundamentals

Summary Vipshop's Q3 2024 results were in line with consensus, but deteriorating fundamentals suggest further risks heading into 2025 amid a soft macro backdrop. Despite attractive valuation multiples, VIPS faces sustainability issues due to supply and demand side risks, and declining GMV and user metrics. VIPS's reliance on excess inventory from brands and competition from other channels like PDD and Tmall pose significant threats to its business model. Our DCF analysis implies VIPS is fairly valued with no upside, recommending investors seek higher growth opportunities in companies like PDD. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 07

Vipshop: Large Data Sets, FCF Growth, And Undervalued

Summary Vipshop Holdings Limited is significantly undervalued, with a fair price estimate of $36 per share, driven by strong user growth and brand partnerships. The company's AI-powered searches, diverse product channels, and extensive logistics network are key catalysts for future net sales and free cash flow growth. VIPS' strategic promotions and robust inventory management system enhance its competitive edge, offering significant discounts and efficient operations. Potential risks include changes in data privacy regulations, economic conditions in China, and online regulatory challenges, which could impact future growth and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 22

Vipshop: The Struggle Continues

Summary VIPS reported poor Q2 2024 results with revenue, active customers, and orders all down, leading to a weak Q3 guidance. Despite challenges, VIPS saw positive developments in increased gross margin and decreased operating expenses during the quarter. VIPS announced an upsized share repurchase program, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder-friendly capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 19

Vipshop: Cheap But A Tough Year Ahead

Summary VIPS stock down 18% since December 2023 due to short-term challenges and unexpected competition. Abnormal weather in China and intense price wars impacting VIPS' business fundamentals in 2024. SVIP members remain loyal, dividends and share buyback program support valuation, maintaining "buy" rating for VIPS. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 21

Vipshop: Significantly Undervalued With A Unique Model

Summary Vipshop Holdings stock has outperformed the S&P 500 by 25% over the last 5 years, with a potential double-digit upside. VIPS is a prominent online discount retailer in China, known for its unique flash sale model and focus on branded products. The company has solid financial fundamentals, including strong revenue growth, profitability, and a strong balance sheet, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 04

In Tight Times, Vipshop Wows Investors With Dividend Policy

Summary Vipshop said it will pay $250 million to investors this year under a newly announced dividend policy, equaling a relatively low payout ratio of about 23%. The company looks relatively well situated to weather China’s economic downturn due to its focus on bargain-priced clothing and relatively small average order size. VIPS is quite a conservative company financially and looks quite good at controlling costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:VIPS - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (CNY Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/2025105,9207,2425,3887,454N/A
9/30/2025106,6707,100N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2025105,9756,925N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2025107,0437,366N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2024108,4217,7405,5669,129N/A
9/30/2024109,8718,245N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2024111,9618,408N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2024112,9668,575N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2023112,8568,1179,18414,415N/A
9/30/2023109,9397,398N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2023108,7887,876N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2023105,4447,062N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2022103,1526,2997,41710,520N/A
9/30/2022105,5265,480N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2022108,8334,422N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2022113,9064,231N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2021117,0604,6813,1666,745N/A
9/30/2021118,7035,707N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2021116,9616,323N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2021111,4646,768N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2020101,8585,9079,54911,820N/A
9/30/202095,4034,922N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202091,8364,553N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202090,4693,829N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201992,9944,017N/A12,290N/A
9/30/201989,7593,250N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201987,9772,603N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201985,9722,471N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201884,5242,129N/A5,746N/A
9/30/201882,5702,113N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201880,0522,223N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201876,8301,927N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201772,9121,950N/A981N/A
9/30/201767,7632,044N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201764,4522,049N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201760,3752,114N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201656,5912,037N/A2,831N/A
9/30/201651,5121,775N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201648,1811,749N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201643,7601,697N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201540,2031,590N/A1,915N/A
9/30/201534,7161,433N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201531,3751,283N/AN/AN/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: VIPS 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(1.1%)이 saving rate(3.5%) 미만입니다.

수익 vs 시장: VIPS 의 연간 수익(1.1%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: VIPS 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: VIPS 의 수익(연간 1.7%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: VIPS 의 수익(연간 1.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: VIPS의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 15.7%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/21 07:50
종가2026/05/21 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Vipshop Holdings Limited는 47명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 20명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Alicia YapBarclays
Jiong ShaoBarclays