The Home Depot, Inc.

NYSE:HD 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$311.8b

Home Depot 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 2/6

Home Depot (는) 각각 연간 7.1% 및 3.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 7.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 102.5% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

7.1%

이익 성장률

7.12%

EPS 성장률

Specialty Retail 이익 성장9.9%
매출 성장률3.7%
향후 자기자본이익률102.53%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트22 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Aug 28

Analysts Are Updating Their The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

The Home Depot, Inc. ( NYSE:HD ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 19

Home Depot: Solid Q1 Earnings, But I'm Waiting For $270 To Buy

Summary Home Depot delivered Q1 beats on revenue and EPS but faces macro headwinds from elevated interest rates and stagnant housing turnover. HD's 2026 guidance is conservative, projecting adjusted EPS growth up to 4% and sales growth of 2.5–4.5%, reflecting pressured operating margins. Despite a 30% stock price decline, HD trades at a premium ~20x forward earnings, leaving a limited margin of safety for new buyers. I rate HD a Hold, with fair value around $273/share; my preferred trade at present is selling cash-secured puts for a $270/share entry price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 04

HD: Pro Ecosystem Acquisitions And 2026 Plan Will Support Recovery

Analysts have raised the Home Depot price target by $3. This reflects Q4 results that topped many expectations, renewed confidence in the company's long-term positioning in retail, and ongoing progress in its PRO ecosystem and acquisition driven growth initiatives.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18

HD: Pro Ecosystem And Acquisitions Will Drive Post Storm Demand Recovery

Home Depot's analyst fair value estimate is essentially unchanged at about $408. The slight adjustment reflects updated views on the discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, a flat profit margin outlook, and a small tweak to the future P/E as analysts factor in recent Q4 results, FY26 guidance, and ongoing Pro ecosystem and acquisition initiatives.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 04

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

The analyst price target for Home Depot has been nudged lower by about $2 to reflect a fair value update to $408.18, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations following a wave of recent Q4 driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home Depot clusters around a constructive view on long term earnings power, balanced by some caution on the near term macro backdrop and valuation after the Q4 run up.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21

HD: Pro Platform And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

Home Depot's analyst price target has been lifted by several firms into a roughly $375 to $454 range, with analysts pointing to resilient Q4 results, affirmed FY26 guidance, and ongoing share gains in home improvement as key supports for their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Home Depot centers on how the company is executing through a mixed macro backdrop, the credibility of its FY26 targets, and what that means for valuation after Q4 earnings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

Our Home Depot fair value estimate increases from $398.00 to about $410.27, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following Q4 results and updated models that point to steadier home improvement trends and slightly stronger profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have generally raised their price targets for Home Depot following Q4 results, pointing to stable execution, resilience in home improvement demand and an outlook they view as supportive of higher valuations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20

HD: AI Tools And Pro Trends Will Shape Post Weather Headwind Positioning

Our updated analyst price target for Home Depot moves slightly higher to $398, reflecting modest tweaks to our fair value, discount rate and margin assumptions as analysts point to steady transaction trends into Q4, despite subdued comparable sales expectations and recent weather related pressure on Pro activity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Home Depot is mixed, with some bullish analysts lifting targets and others trimming them slightly as they recalibrate expectations ahead of Q4 earnings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 06

HD: Wholesale Expansion And AI Tools Will Support Post Headwind Share Positioning

Our updated Home Depot narrative reflects a slightly lower analyst price target of about $394 per share, as analysts broadly recalibrated their models. They are balancing recent target cuts tied to softer near term trends with fresh upward revisions from firms citing longer term earnings drivers and share gain potential.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 22

HD: Wholesale Expansion And Tech Investments Will Support Post Headwind Share Gains

Analysts made only a small adjustment to their Home Depot fair value estimate, trimming the target by less than US$1 as they fine tuned assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple in light of mixed recent price target moves on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home Depot reflects a mix of optimism on the long term and caution around the nearer term, with several firms trimming price targets after Q3 results and guidance, while others have recently raised their targets.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 08

HD: Ongoing Investments And Wholesale Expansion Will Support Post Headwind Share Gains

Analysts have trimmed their Home Depot price targets, with cuts such as US$455 to US$430 and US$475 to US$430, reflecting softer near term demand, recent earnings misses, and the expected impact of lower margin wholesale mix. They still see the company well positioned for a future housing recovery and share gains when conditions improve.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 13

HD: Ongoing Investments And New Tools Will Support Post Headwind Share Gains

We are trimming our Home Depot fair value estimate by about $5 to reflect the Street wide reset in price targets, as analysts factor in weaker near term demand, modestly lower growth and margins, and a slightly higher discount rate, even as they largely maintain positive long term ratings on the stock. Analyst Commentary Street commentary on Home Depot has shifted more cautious in the near term but remains broadly constructive on the company’s long-term earnings power and market share opportunity.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 29

HD: Ongoing Investments Will Support Share Gains After Consumer Headwinds Fade

Home Depot's analyst price target has been lowered, with most estimates now in the $375 to $445 range, as analysts cite near-term headwinds including weaker consumer demand, pressured margins, and a tougher housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Home Depot highlights a mix of cautious and optimistic outlooks, reflecting challenges in the near term but confidence in the company’s longer-term prospects.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 15

HD: Accelerating Demand Momentum Will Support Broad-Based Gains In 2025

Home Depot’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $437.81 to $433.12. Analysts cite a more challenging near-term outlook for the home improvement sector and delayed recovery expectations, balanced against some signs of improving demand.
분석 기사 • Sep 12

Earnings Not Telling The Story For The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD)

The Home Depot, Inc.'s ( NYSE:HD ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.8x might make it look like a sell right now...
분석 기사 • Aug 28

Analysts Are Updating Their The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results

The Home Depot, Inc. ( NYSE:HD ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27

Advanced Supply Chain And Digital Tools Will Transform Remodeling

Analysts have raised Home Depot’s price target as Q2 results showed strengthening demand, robust e-commerce growth, and ongoing Pro initiatives, with optimism tied to potential rate cuts, now valuing shares at $437.56. Analyst Commentary Q2 results indicated improved underlying demand, with momentum carrying into early Q3 and broad-based category strength, including the strongest e-commerce growth since mid-2022.
분석 기사 • Aug 01

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Home Depot fair value estimate is US$319 With US$368 share...
분석 기사 • Jul 19

Some Investors May Be Worried About Home Depot's (NYSE:HD) Returns On Capital

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 16

Home Depot: Resist The Temptation Of Buying The Dip

Summary As expected, Home Depot's share price has come under severe pressure in recent months. The 12% drop, however, does not seem to fully account for broader market risks and the deterioration of business fundamentals. Home Depot's expected returns remain quite low, and I expect the stock to continue to underperform the broader equity market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 31

Home Depot: I Will Buy When It Dips

Summary Home Depot, Inc. ended the year strongly with stable topline performance, high cash reserves, and manageable debt, despite market challenges. The company still has a lot of growth prospects and effective strategies to support its expansion. Stock valuations and technical indicators suggest caution before taking a position. I recommend holding Home Depot, Inc. for now, waiting for a price dip to find a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 24

Home Depot: Warnings Signs Are Building As The Company Prepares For Q4 Earnings

Summary The Home Depot, Inc.'s strong performance during the post-COVID housing boom is waning, with recent economic data indicating a slowdown in the housing market and elevated interest rates. The company's third-quarter earnings report showed declining average ticket size, comparable sales, and operating margins, signaling weakening core business performance. HD stock's valuation at 25.84x projected forward GAAP earnings is high, with analysts expecting only 6-8% EPS growth over the next six years. Investors should be cautious ahead of Home Depot's upcoming earnings report, given disappointing consumer spending and broader economic slowdown indicators. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 17

Home Depot - Time To Take Profits (Again)

Summary Home Depot is a mature company with limited growth prospects, and its current stock price is overpriced relative to its intrinsic value. The company's operating margins have resumed their pre-pandemic decline, and recent acquisitions raise concerns about management's capital discipline. Despite strong historical performance, insider trading activity suggests insiders believe HD shares have been overpriced for some time. I recommend investors consider selling some HD stock now and waiting for a lower price before buying again. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

Home Depot: Long-Term Tailwind Weighed By Near-Term Visible Headwinds

Summary I am neutral on Home Depot stock due to strong long-term tailwinds but significant near-term headwinds, particularly elevated interest rates impacting consumer and Pro demand. Home Depot benefits from aging U.S. housing stock and rising consumer interest in home renovations, supporting long-term growth prospects. Current macroeconomic conditions, including high interest rates, are negatively affecting big-ticket discretionary spending and Pro customer financing, posing near-term challenges. Market optimism has led to a high forward P/E of 26x, leaving limited upside and potential for de-rating if near-term results falter. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 18

The Home Depot Is An Iconic American Company, But It's Overvalued (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Home Depot's stock has recently underperformed the S&P 500. Its slower growth offers stability but lacks upside, with a 5-year EV CAGR forecast of -0.22%. The Buffett Indicator (208% of GDP) signals market-wide overvaluation. HD's intrinsic EV is ~40% below its current level, showing a -62% margin of safety. Strong management ethos and investments in the Pro Ecosystem (45% of sales) ensure long-term stability. However, current valuations suggest Sell for prudent investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 17

Home Depot Q3 Earnings: Doing The Best It Can Against All Odds

Summary Home Depot's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, driven by hurricane-related sales and the integration of SRS Distribution, leading to an upward revision of FY24 guidance. Despite positive Q3 results, high interest rates and elevated mortgage rates continue to defer larger remodeling projects, posing a significant headwind for Home Depot's growth. The SRS acquisition appears promising, contributing significantly to sales and aligning with Home Depot's strategy to emphasize the Pro segment, though its full impact will take time. Given the current valuation and macroeconomic challenges, I maintain a HOLD rating on Home Depot, as the stock shows little-to-no upside potential at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:HD - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
1/31/2029185,32216,97816,89121,51517
1/31/2028177,49715,63315,47520,00032
1/31/2027170,97714,42716,68120,30932
5/3/2026166,59214,01214,31518,032N/A
2/1/2026164,68314,15612,64616,325N/A
11/2/2025166,18914,58213,92717,649N/A
8/3/2025165,05414,62914,23017,872N/A
5/4/2025162,95214,63915,19418,638N/A
2/2/2025159,51414,80616,32519,810N/A
10/27/2024154,59614,61016,63019,872N/A
7/28/2024152,08914,77216,77819,873N/A
4/28/2024151,83014,87017,88721,055N/A
1/28/2024152,66915,14317,94621,172N/A
10/29/2023153,71415,70417,76221,033N/A
7/30/2023154,87616,23316,26919,638N/A
4/30/2023155,75216,74713,12016,440N/A
1/29/2023157,40317,10511,49614,615N/A
10/30/2022157,29117,09510,16113,206N/A
7/31/2022155,23916,88510,83513,806N/A
5/1/2022152,56516,51911,30414,050N/A
1/30/2022151,15716,43314,00516,571N/A
10/31/2021147,69915,93812,11314,810N/A
8/1/2021144,41515,24111,48413,957N/A
5/2/2021141,35014,76617,01119,412N/A
1/31/2021132,11012,86616,37618,839N/A
11/1/2020125,63112,49018,01920,309N/A
8/2/2020119,31811,82717,50919,973N/A
5/3/2020112,10410,97412,12814,711N/A
2/2/2020110,22511,242N/A13,687N/A
11/3/2019110,93411,105N/A13,795N/A
8/4/2019110,01311,203N/A13,674N/A
5/5/2019109,63711,230N/A13,770N/A
2/3/2019108,20311,121N/A13,165N/A
10/28/2018105,59510,556N/A12,326N/A
7/29/2018104,3199,854N/A12,076N/A
4/29/2018101,9649,020N/A11,448N/A
1/28/2018100,9048,630N/A12,031N/A
10/29/201799,2288,595N/A11,605N/A
7/30/201797,3568,399N/A10,768N/A
4/30/201795,7208,168N/A10,711N/A
1/29/201794,5957,957N/A9,783N/A
10/30/201693,3687,684N/A9,926N/A
7/31/201692,0337,440N/A10,316N/A
5/1/201690,3907,233N/A9,605N/A
1/31/201688,5197,009N/A9,373N/A
11/1/201586,7016,917N/A9,361N/A
8/2/201585,3986,729N/A8,891N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: HD 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(7.1%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: HD 의 연간 수익(7.1%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: HD 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: HD 의 수익(연간 3.7%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: HD 의 수익(연간 3.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: HD의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 102.5%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/25 22:53
종가2026/05/22 00:00
수익2026/05/03
연간 수익2026/02/01

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
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시장 가격30년
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  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
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경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
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주요 개발10년
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분석가 소스

The Home Depot, Inc.는 61명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 32명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Michael LasserBarclays