Criteo S.A.

NasdaqGS:CRTO 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$1.0b

Criteo 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

Criteo 의 수익은 연간 11% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 5.3% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 5.7% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 15% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

5.3%

이익 성장률

5.67%

EPS 성장률

Media 이익 성장31.5%
매출 성장률-11.0%
향후 자기자본이익률14.98%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트06 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And AI Commerce Data Partnerships May Support Repricing

Criteo's analyst price target has been reduced by $1.00 as analysts update their views in light of recent Street research that includes several lowered targets from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of lower price targets for Criteo, including changes from firms such as JPMorgan and several other brokerages.

CRTO: GenAI Commerce Partnerships And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their average Criteo price targets by a mid single digit dollar amount, with cuts ranging from $1 to $12, as they factor in sector wide concerns around smaller ad platforms and compare the company with peers tied more directly to GenAI and GPU related themes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with several price target trims clustered around concerns about smaller ad platforms and investor focus on GenAI and GPU related themes.

Criteo is a profitable, cash-generative commerce data platform trading at or below its liquidation value, with Retail Media re-acceleration

Investment Thesis The stock trades near or below the bear-case DCF intrinsic value (~$33), meaning you are paying for a business in secular decline and getting the Retail Media growth optionality largely for free Retail Media’s underlying CexT grew 16% in 2025 ex-scope changes; as the $75M headwind anniversaries in late 2026, reported growth should re-accelerate and likely re-rate the multiple Management has retired ~$871M in shares since 2018 and continues buying at ~$28/share, compounding per-share value even if aggregate FCF is flat The Luxembourg redomiciliation removes the primary structural barrier to acquisition; at $35–42/share a takeout is both fair to shareholders and strategically rational for a PE buyer or holding company The commerce data asset — 5B SKUs, $1T+ in observed transactions, 90% client retention — is 20 years in the making and cannot be replicated quickly by any credible acquirer or competitor Risk Considerations A single large retailer reducing scope cost $75M in annual revenue; the top-10 clients represent ~20% of revenue, making the thesis vulnerable to one or two more relationship deteriorations Performance Media (~$915M of CexT) faces structural headwinds from walled garden dominance and potential client in-housing; if it declines faster than Retail Media grows, total CexT could shrink rather than stabilize 2026 capex steps up to ~$175M (from $101M in 2025) for data center renewal, compressing near-term FCF to ~$130–150M and limiting the buyback pace precisely when the stock may be cheapest Criteo’s independence is its value proposition to retailers — any acquisition by a strategic player that competes with retailers (Amazon, Walmart, Google) would trigger customer attrition and destroy the core asset it was purchased for Agentic commerce (MCP, conversational shopping) is the growth narrative but is pre-revenue and depends on AI assistant providers adopting Criteo’s APIs rather than building their own commerce data layers​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

CRTO: GenAI Commerce And Buybacks Will Offset Lower Multiple Concerns

Criteo's updated analyst price target has moved lower from $35.75 to about $29.95 as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple following a series of Street target cuts across major firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on Criteo has clustered around lower price targets, with several firms trimming their numbers by single digit dollar amounts and a few cutting targets by double digits.

CRTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On AI Commerce And Margin Execution

Our updated analyst price target for Criteo moves to $18 from $25, reflecting a series of recent target cuts across the Street as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, even as they model less steep revenue contraction than before. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Criteo has leaned cautious, with a series of price target reductions across multiple firms.

CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And Commerce Data May Support Repricing

Analysts have reduced their price target on Criteo from $51.00 to $43.00. The change reflects updated views that factor in slightly softer revenue and margin assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a series of Street target cuts across multiple firms.

CRTO: GenAI Commerce Efforts And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Criteo to about US$34 from US$36, reflecting a cautious view on smaller ad platforms as investors focus more on companies tied to GenAI or GPU enabled returns on capital. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with the price target adjusted to US$34.

CRTO: Retail Media Progress And Buybacks Will Support Upside Beyond 2026

Our updated fair value estimate for Criteo nudges down slightly from US$35.92 to US$35.75 per share. This reflects a blend of cautious analyst price target revisions around retail media growth, slower client ramp ups into Q4, and differing views on how smaller ad platforms will be valued relative to larger GenAI and GPU focused peers.

CRTO: Retail Media Execution And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026

Narrative Update on Criteo Analysts recently nudged their price targets on Criteo higher, with one moving to US$29 from US$27 and another to US$42 from US$41. They cited solid Q3 results, strength in retail media, and performance ahead of expectations for net revenue and EBITDA, despite softer Q4 guidance tied to slower client ramp timing.

Criteo: Amazon Risks Are Real, But Cheap Multiples Warrant A Buy

Dec 17

CRTO: Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Through 2026

Analysts modestly raised their price targets on Criteo, with recent moves to about $29 and $42 per share, citing solid Q3 results, continued retail media growth, and supportive read throughs from broader ad tech M&A, despite near term softness in Q4 guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research following the Q3 print reflects a generally constructive stance on Criteo, with moderate target price increases and a focus on the durability of its retail media growth, tempered by near term execution risks.

CRTO: Ongoing Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Into 2026

Analysts have raised their price targets on Criteo shares, with some increasing estimates by $1 to $2. They cite solid third quarter results and ongoing momentum in retail media, although the outlook for the fourth quarter is lighter.

CRTO: Retail Media Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Near-Term Headwinds

Analysts have modestly raised their price targets for Criteo, with increases ranging from $2 to $1 per share. They cite the company's solid third-quarter performance and continued progress in retail media, despite a lighter Q4 outlook.

CRTO: Share Repurchases And Retail Media Partnerships Will Drive Outperformance Ahead

Analysts have adjusted their average price target for Criteo downward from $38.17 to $35.92. This change is attributed to solid recent results; however, it is offset by lighter guidance and slower-than-expected client growth, which is impacting near-term retail media performance.

Earnings Working Against Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Share Price Following 27% Dive

May 28
Earnings Working Against Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Share Price Following 27% Dive

Does Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

May 04
Does Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Is Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) A Risky Investment?

Apr 15
Is Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) A Risky Investment?

Criteo: Steady Growth With Retail Media Potential

Mar 13

Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

Mar 05
Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

We Like The Quality Of Criteo's (NASDAQ:CRTO) Earnings

Feb 15
We Like The Quality Of Criteo's (NASDAQ:CRTO) Earnings

Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Jan 10
Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Criteo S.A.: Still Worth Investing In

Dec 18

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Nov 15
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely

Oct 28
Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Using Debt Safely

Oct 10
These 4 Measures Indicate That Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Using Debt Safely
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Decisive Partnerships And AI Propel Growth Amid Challenges

Enhanced advertising capabilities due to Google's revised cookie policy and partnerships with companies like Microsoft could improve Criteo's revenue and market position.

Criteo: Riding Retail Media Advertising Tailwinds

Aug 21

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Aug 11
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) With Shares Advancing 26%

Jul 24
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) With Shares Advancing 26%

We Discuss Why Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Jun 19
We Discuss Why Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Criteo: Good Momentum, But Still Undervalued

May 17

We Think Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

May 08
We Think Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NasdaqGS:CRTO - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20281,307122231N/A6
12/31/20271,24413218633510
12/31/20261,1821191293199
3/31/20261,918114179297N/A
12/31/20251,945145208311N/A
9/30/20251,957168221320N/A
6/30/20251,946137193288N/A
3/31/20251,935142225306N/A
12/31/20241,933112180258N/A
9/30/20241,947101158250N/A
6/30/20241,957102122212N/A
3/31/20241,95472104196N/A
12/31/20231,94953108224N/A
9/30/20231,948875188N/A
6/30/20231,925797210N/A
3/31/20231,951-23112223N/A
12/31/20222,0179192256N/A
9/30/20222,10667137197N/A
6/30/20222,16884146206N/A
3/31/20222,224133165218N/A
12/31/20212,254134166221N/A
9/30/20212,262106144199N/A
6/30/20212,22488145199N/A
3/31/20212,11079138206N/A
12/31/20202,07372118185N/A
9/30/20202,06468130201N/A
6/30/20202,11682111193N/A
3/31/20202,20787132212N/A
12/31/20192,26291N/A223N/A
9/30/20192,27987N/A249N/A
6/30/20192,28585N/A256N/A
3/31/20192,29488N/A243N/A
12/31/20182,30089N/A261N/A
9/30/20182,304104N/A254N/A
6/30/20182,339106N/A266N/A
3/31/20182,34499N/A286N/A
12/31/20172,29791N/A245N/A
9/30/20172,18978N/A238N/A
6/30/20172,04971N/A220N/A
3/31/20171,91578N/A179N/A
12/31/20161,79982N/A153N/A
9/30/20161,62981N/A149N/A
6/30/20161,53872N/A122N/A
3/31/20161,43064N/A115N/A
12/31/20151,32360N/A137N/A
9/30/20151,34348N/A133N/A
6/30/20151,22856N/A144N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: CRTO 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(5.3%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: CRTO 의 연간 수익(5.3%)이 US 시장(16.1%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: CRTO 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: CRTO 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -11%).

고성장 매출: CRTO 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -11%).

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: CRTO의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 15%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/06 02:10
종가2026/05/06 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Criteo S.A.는 30명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 10명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Mark ZgutowiczBenchmark Company