Century Aluminum Company

NasdaqGS:CENX 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$5.6b

Century Aluminum 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

Century Aluminum은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 31%와 16.1% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 33.3%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

31.0%

이익 성장률

33.31%

EPS 성장률

Metals and Mining 이익 성장13.5%
매출 성장률16.1%
향후 자기자본이익률n/a
애널리스트 커버리지

Low

마지막 업데이트11 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Century Aluminum: A Decade-Long Growth Runway

Summary Century Aluminum is the largest domestic producer of primary aluminum in the United States, operating smelters in Kentucky, South Carolina, and Iceland. At the time of purchase, CENX shares were trading at approximately 6.1x our 2026E EBITDA and roughly 2.1x trailing twelve-month sales. Century's role in reducing American dependence on imported aluminum from higher-carbon foreign sources provides an additional sustainability dimension. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20

CENX: Section 232 Tariffs Will Support Future Cash Flows

Century Aluminum's updated analyst price target has moved from $66 to about $79, with analysts pointing to refreshed views on fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions as key drivers of the shift. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Century Aluminum clusters around higher price targets and updated views on earnings power, with analysts reworking their models for aluminum pricing, premiums and upcoming capital spending.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06

CENX: Section 232 Tariffs And Oklahoma Smelter Plans Will Shape Future Cash Flows

Narrative Update: Century Aluminum Analyst Targets Analysts have lifted their average price target on Century Aluminum to $69. They cite updated supply and demand work that points to a wider projected aluminum deficit, firm Midwest Premiums, and potential earnings support from elevated power costs and new smelter plans in Oklahoma.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 22

CENX: Section 232 Tariffs Will Support Future Cash Flows For Oklahoma Project

Century Aluminum's updated fair value estimate of $66, up from $63.33, reflects analysts' higher price targets in the $68 to $69 range as they factor in tighter aluminum supply, firm Midwest premiums, and anticipated EBITDA strength ahead of new smelter investments. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows bullish analysts lifting their price targets into the high $60s as they factor in updated aluminum market views and company specific guidance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07

CENX: Section 232 Tariffs And Oklahoma Smelter Project Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update: Century Aluminum Analyst Price Target Shift The analyst price target for Century Aluminum has moved from about $59 to roughly $63. Analysts point to stronger Q1 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $215 million to $235 million and expectations for solid cash generation supported by elevated Midwest Premiums ahead of new smelter capex in Oklahoma.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20

CENX: Revised Risk Assumptions And Tariffs Will Shape Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Century Aluminum by $27 to $59, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, margins, and future P/E that refine their view of the stock’s valuation and risk profile. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around the new US$59 price target focuses less on short term trading moves and more on how updated assumptions about discount rates, margins, and future P/E feed into Century Aluminum’s longer term risk and reward profile.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 05

CENX: Updated Assumptions Around Margins And Risk Will Drive Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Century Aluminum from US$50 to US$59, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that they report are reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$59 target as better aligned with their updated assumptions on revenue growth, indicating they now model a stronger earnings power for Century Aluminum than in prior research.
새로운 내러티브 • Jan 29

Bullish View Expects New U.S. Greenfield Smelter To Transform Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Century Aluminum Century Aluminum produces primary aluminum and related products for customers in the U.S. and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
분석 기사 • Jan 29

Earnings Tell The Story For Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) As Its Stock Soars 26%

Century Aluminum Company ( NASDAQ:CENX ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 21

CENX: Emissions Exemption And Updated Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Return Profile

Analysts have raised their price target on Century Aluminum from US$40 to US$50. They cite updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which they believe better reflect the stock's current risk and return profile.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06

CENX: Emissions Exemption And Operational Disruption Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have revised their price target on Century Aluminum from US$36 to US$40, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that result in a higher estimated fair value. What's in the News U.S. President Donald Trump granted a two year compliance exemption from a Biden era rule that had imposed stricter limits on copper smelter emissions, with Century Aluminum mentioned alongside other listed peers in the aluminum space (Reuters).
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14

CENX: Supportive Trade Tariffs Will Drive Future Pricing Power And Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Century Aluminum to $37 from $36, citing stronger than expected aluminum pricing driven by resilient China demand and the company’s leverage to supportive U.S. trade tariffs. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that recent aluminum prices have outpaced prior forecasts, supporting upward revisions to revenue and EBITDA expectations and justifying the higher price target.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 29

CENX: Power Agreement Extension and 50% Tariff Support Will Drive Future Gains

Analysts have reaffirmed Century Aluminum's fair value target at $36.00, citing improving profit margins and favorable aluminum market conditions as key factors that support their outlook. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions regarding Century Aluminum's prospects reflect a careful balance of optimism about the company’s positioning in the current market environment and caution around certain industry trends.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 15

CENX: Aluminum Price Strength and 50% Tariff Support Will Drive Upside Momentum

Century Aluminum's analyst price target has been increased from $30.67 to $36.00. Analysts point to stronger-than-expected aluminum prices and favorable tariff impacts as key factors behind the upward revision.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01

CENX: Recent Tariff Expansions And China Demand Will Shape Aluminum Outlook

Analysts have reduced Century Aluminum’s fair value estimate by $1.00 to $30.67 per share, citing shifting aluminum price trends, slightly higher discount rates, and recent research highlighting both supportive tariffs as well as stronger-than-expected demand in China. Analyst Commentary Industry experts have weighed in on Century Aluminum’s outlook, leading to new research coverage and updated valuations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 18

Mt Holly Restart And US Smelter Will Drive Aluminum Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for Century Aluminum to $31.67 from $29, citing stronger aluminum prices and improved profit margin forecasts as key drivers for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Century Aluminum reflect evolving perspectives on the company’s future, with notable shifts in analyst sentiment following improved market conditions for aluminum and company-specific advantages.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03

Mt Holly Restart And US Smelter Will Drive Aluminum Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for Century Aluminum from $27 to $29 per share. They cite improved revenue growth outlook and favorable market updates as key factors behind the revision.
분석 기사 • Sep 20

Investors Appear Satisfied With Century Aluminum Company's (NASDAQ:CENX) Prospects As Shares Rocket 26%

Despite an already strong run, Century Aluminum Company ( NASDAQ:CENX ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 10

Mt Holly Restart And US Smelter Will Drive Aluminum Expansion

The upward revision in Century Aluminum's price target reflects stronger fundamentals, with analysts now expecting both higher revenue growth and improved net profit margins, resulting in a new consensus fair value of $27.00. What's in the News Canada is expected to maintain its 25% import tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum products, which directly impacts Century Aluminum (CENX) (Bloomberg, 2025-08-22).
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 08

Mt Holly Restart And US Smelter Will Drive Aluminum Expansion

The upward revision in Century Aluminum’s price target reflects stronger profitability, as evidenced by the notable improvement in net profit margin and a more attractive forward P/E, raising the fair value estimate from $22.50 to $25.50. What's in the News Century Aluminum will restart over 50,000MT of idled production at its Mt. Holly, SC smelter, investing $50 million and creating 100+ new jobs.
분석 기사 • Aug 06

The Return Trends At Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX) Look Promising

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...
분석 기사 • Jun 10

Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Century Aluminum Company ( NASDAQ:CENX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period...
분석 기사 • May 16

Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Century Aluminum's Long-Term Strategy Is Solid But Economic Uncertainty Weighs

Summary Growing US protectionism is validating Century Aluminum's strategy of high domestic US production levels. Century has a solid strategy of vertical and horizontal integration, which includes its Jamalco acquisition and planned new US smelter. The Midwest Premium continues to rise, but macroeconomic concerns and investor caution may impact the stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 02

Century Aluminum: A Value-Oriented Trump Trade

Summary Trump's tariffs on aluminum are set to transform the earnings power of Century Aluminum, causing a potential tripling of pre-tax profits. After the company's transformation, I believe it is worth $91 per share given the analog of BlueScope Steel. I recommend investors buy CENX stock, given its discount to estimated fair value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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새로운 내러티브 • Sep 14

Green Economy And Debt Reduction Fuel Growth, Yet Shrinking Margins And Market Challenges Loom Ahead

Strategic government actions and a favorable market for aluminum due to electrification and lightweighting trends are expected to positively impact Century Aluminum's revenue.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 03

Century Aluminum Remains Sensitive To Highly Competitive Market

Summary Century Aluminum's Q1 net income was driven by a one-time gain, not ongoing profitability, making its current valuation misleading. The company’s operations are highly sensitive to aluminum prices and raw material costs, posing significant risks. Century Aluminum's heavy reliance on a single customer and lack of cash reserves limit its flexibility and growth potential. Despite recent optimism, without a clear catalyst, the stock is overvalued compared to industry peers and is best viewed as a hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 10

Century Aluminum: Looming Capex Requirements And Weak Fundamentals

Summary Century Aluminum's stock price has increased by 89% YoY, most likely due to a spike in LME aluminum prices. In my view, the underlying company fundamentals are poor and do not justify a sustained outperformance compared to its peers at the moment. A simple model suggests a ~26% downside to the stock's fair-value. However, the strong correlation with spot aluminum markets suggests a short position could be a speculative bet. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NasdaqGS:CENX - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20284,0211,2741,244N/A2
12/31/20274,0191,1971,1793,6713
12/31/20263,4321,1659043,2183
3/31/20262,54334927181N/A
12/31/20252,5284085185N/A
9/30/20252,52581-3741N/A
6/30/20252,432111-2259N/A
3/31/20252,365113-1163N/A
12/31/20242,220319-107-25N/A
9/30/20242,102306-1983N/A
6/30/20242,108219-1104N/A
3/31/20242,123229-1991N/A
12/31/20232,185-4311106N/A
9/30/20232,203-175-708N/A
6/30/20232,295-94-116-45N/A
3/31/20232,576-69-86-12N/A
12/31/20222,777-14-6026N/A
9/30/20222,907148-1035N/A
6/30/20222,85157-1792N/A
3/31/20222,522-10-7923N/A
12/31/20212,213-167-148-65N/A
9/30/20211,943-263-50-2N/A
6/30/20211,754-269-146-117N/A
3/31/20211,628-261-56-41N/A
12/31/20201,605-1233043N/A
9/30/20201,651-932455N/A
6/30/20201,697-5569115N/A
3/31/20201,768-491974N/A
12/31/20191,837-81N/A18N/A
9/30/20191,888-141N/A-14N/A
6/30/20191,932-141N/A-64N/A
3/31/20191,929-100N/A-58N/A
12/31/20181,893-66N/A-69N/A
9/30/20181,84032N/A-58N/A
6/30/20181,75972N/A18N/A
3/31/20181,67860N/A30N/A
12/31/20171,58945N/A52N/A
9/30/20171,495-157N/A73N/A
6/30/20171,428-235N/A18N/A
3/31/20171,366-251N/A12N/A
12/31/20161,319-252N/A38N/A
9/30/20161,363-127N/A15N/A
6/30/20161,484-125N/A-5N/A
3/31/20161,681-146N/A-69N/A
12/31/20151,950-59N/A32N/A
9/30/20152,11753N/A142N/A
6/30/20152,163156N/A260N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: CENX 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(31%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: CENX 의 연간 수익(31%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: CENX 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: CENX 의 수익(연간 16.1%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: CENX 의 수익(연간 16.1%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: CENX의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/16 07:11
종가2026/05/15 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

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분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Century Aluminum Company는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 3명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
David GaglianoBarclays
Paretosh MisraBerenberg
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research