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Update shared on08 Aug 2025

Fair value Increased 13%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$25.50
12.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
20 Aug
US$22.21
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1Y
46.5%
7D
-4.5%

The upward revision in Century Aluminum’s price target reflects stronger profitability, as evidenced by the notable improvement in net profit margin and a more attractive forward P/E, raising the fair value estimate from $22.50 to $25.50.


What's in the News


  • Century Aluminum will restart over 50,000MT of idled production at its Mt. Holly, SC smelter, investing $50 million and creating 100+ new jobs.
  • Full production is expected by June 30, 2026, increasing U.S. domestic aluminum production by nearly 10%.
  • The restart is attributed to increased Section 232 tariffs on aluminum imports, now at 50%, and supportive energy arrangements with Santee Cooper.
  • An agreement in principle extends the current power supply contract through 2031, with final terms pending.
  • The Mt. Holly smelter's full capacity operation is projected to contribute over $890 million annually to South Carolina's economy.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Century Aluminum

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from $22.50 to $25.50.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Century Aluminum has significantly risen from 11.34% to 13.72%.
  • The Future P/E for Century Aluminum has fallen from 8.18x to 7.57x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.