Shift4 Payments, Inc.

NYSE:FOUR 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$3.5b

Shift4 Payments 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 5/6

Shift4 Payments (는) 각각 연간 41.9% 및 13.5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 39.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 43% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

41.9%

이익 성장률

39.85%

EPS 성장률

Diversified Financial 이익 성장8.1%
매출 성장률13.5%
향후 자기자본이익률42.96%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트07 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • May 01

FOUR: Hospitality Partnerships And Share Repurchases Will Support A More Balanced Outlook

Shift4 Payments' updated analyst price targets have generally shifted lower in recent months, with cuts such as BTIG trimming its target from $80 to $70 and Morgan Stanley reducing its view from $80 to $50 as analysts factor in slower organic revenue growth, mixed Q4 results, cautious 2026 guidance, and lower peer multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shift4 Payments has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and moving to more neutral or negative ratings following mixed Q4 results and a softer outlook for 2026.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 16

FOUR: Slower Organic Trends But AI Partnerships And Buybacks Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Shift4 Payments slightly, reflecting a modest fair value adjustment to about $65.73 as multiple firms reduced targets in response to slower organic growth, softer revenue yield and more cautious long term guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shift4 Payments points to a split view, with several firms cutting ratings or targets while others still see upside if management can execute on its plans and growth initiatives.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 02

FOUR: Slower Organic Trends And 2026 Reset Will Unlock Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed Shift4 Payments' average price targets across the Street, with cuts ranging from about $3 to $40, reflecting concerns about slower organic growth, softer near term trends, and a more cautious outlook on 2026 guidance, even as many still highlight multiple growth levers and potential shareholder value creation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shift4 Payments highlights a split view, with bearish analysts focused on slower organic growth and softer near term trends, while bullish analysts point to multiple avenues for execution and shareholder value creation despite reduced targets.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 19

FOUR: Slower Organic Trends Will Set Up Long Term Upside Potential

Analysts have reset expectations on Shift4 Payments, with the implied fair value estimate moving from about $95.86 to $65.96 as they factor in slower organic revenue growth, softer profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple following a broad round of price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shift4 Payments reflects a wide range of opinions, with most firms cutting price targets but diverging on how much weight to put on slower organic growth, Q4 execution, and the updated 2026 outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 05

FOUR: Stablecoin Platform And Hospitality Softness Will Shape A More Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update: Shift4 Payments Analysts have reset expectations for Shift4 Payments, with our fair value estimate moving from $65.00 to $50.00 as they factor in softer organic revenue growth, lower revenue yield, increased discount rates, reduced profit margin assumptions, and a much higher future P/E multiple following a series of price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shift4 Payments has turned more cautious, with a series of price target cuts and rating changes that frame a more risk aware outlook on the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 19

FOUR: Stablecoin And Sports Deals Will Counter Softer Hospitality Expectations

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Shift4 Payments by about $10 to $101. This reflects softer near term expectations, especially around hotel RevPAR, and related estimate cuts heading into the next earnings report.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

FOUR Stock: 26% Revenue Growth Vs. F-Grade Momentum | 2-Minute Analysis

Summary Is Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR), the $5.2 billion integrated payments leader, a buy, hold, or sell? Find out why the Quant system remains cautious despite strong revenue growth and bullish analyst support in this episode of 2-Minute Analysis! Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 05

FOUR: Stablecoin And Sports Deals Will Offset Hospitality Weakness Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Shift4 Payments by single digit dollar amounts, citing softer near term hospitality trends, slightly lower organic volume expectations, and modestly reduced long term revenue and profit forecasts, even as they acknowledge the company's recent execution and ongoing growth drivers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Shift4 Payments has tilted more cautious, with a series of price target cuts and at least one downgrade reflecting increased focus on execution risks and softer expectations tied to the hospitality and restaurant verticals.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 22

FOUR: Cautious Long Term Margins Offset By New Stablecoin And Sports Deals

Analysts cut their fair value estimate for Shift4 Payments to about $65.00 from roughly $96.14, citing a mix of lower price targets across the Street, a higher discount rate, and revised assumptions for long term margins and P/E multiples, even as revenue growth expectations were adjusted higher. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Shift4 Payments has leaned more cautious, with a series of reduced price targets and at least one downgrade.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 07

FOUR: Stablecoin Settlement Platform And Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Shift4 Payments to about $121.55 from roughly $120.86. This reflects modestly lower revenue growth assumptions, a higher projected profit margin, and recent Street price target reductions that factor in macro uncertainty, softer hospitality and restaurant expectations, and mixed contributions from acquisitions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 24

FOUR Stablecoin Expansion And Buyback Program Will Drive Future Upside

Shift4 Payments' fair value estimate has been revised down from about $151 to $121 per share, as analysts modestly trim long term revenue and EBITDA forecasts amid macro uncertainty, softer expectations in certain hospitality and restaurant verticals, and broadly lower Street price targets despite still solid organic growth and profitability trends. Analyst Commentary Despite a broad reset in price targets, Street commentary remains generally constructive on Shift4 Payments, with many bullish analysts emphasizing the company’s strong execution, durable growth profile, and attractive risk reward after recent share price volatility.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 10

FOUR: Upcoming Buyback And Sports Partnerships Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Shift4 Payments slightly lower, trimming them by a few dollars per share. This reflects modestly reduced long term growth and margin assumptions amid macro and vertical specific uncertainty, despite still robust underlying fundamentals.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 26

FOUR: Upcoming Buyback Authorization And Sports Expansions Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for Shift4 Payments, lowering it by less than $1 as they factor in moderate updates to growth estimates and profit margins because of near-term uncertainties in core verticals. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Shift4 Payments is mixed, with recent research reflecting both optimism about the company’s long-term prospects and caution surrounding near-term risks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 11

FOUR: Future Buyback Authorization And Sports Expansion Will Support Shareholder Return

Shift4 Payments' analyst price target has been lowered from approximately $106 to $97, as analysts cite strong core business momentum. However, they note this is tempered by further macroeconomic uncertainty and revised growth expectations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 28

Sector Uncertainty And Partnerships Will Shape Future Cashless Payment Expansion

Shift4 Payments' fair value estimate was revised slightly downward to $105.62 from $108.35. Analysts cited modestly lower growth and profit margin assumptions amid ongoing sector uncertainty and recent price target reductions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 13

International Acquisitions Will Drive New Cashless Payment Opportunities

Analysts have lowered their price target for Shift4 Payments by approximately $2 to $108.35. They cite near-term growth headwinds and slightly reduced profit margins, despite resilient core business performance and optimism for long-term revenue opportunities.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04

International Acquisitions Will Drive New Cashless Payment Opportunities

Despite mixed Q2 results, sector underperformance, and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty leading to near-term disappointment, analysts remain constructive on Shift4 Payments’ long-term growth prospects, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $110.62. Analyst Commentary Mixed Q2 results: Slight revenue beat and EBITDA in-line, but Q2 volume missed expectations, leading to short-term disappointment and recent stock underperformance.
분석 기사 • Apr 12

Here's Why We Think Shift4 Payments (NYSE:FOUR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

Shift4 Payments: This Is The Dip I Was Waiting For (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Shift4 Payments has dropped to $86 from around $100 since the last time I covered the stock, making it an attractive buy due to its attractive valuation and improving profitability. The company's software-plus-payments strategy strengthens its competitive edge by increasing switching costs and cross-selling potential. Recent improvements in return on equity and global expansion through Global Blue further enhance Shift4 Payments' growth prospects. Competitors like Adyen, Toast, and Block exist, but Shift4's growing profitability and strategic advantages make it a compelling investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Mar 08

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:FOUR) As Shares Slide 25%

Shift4 Payments, Inc. ( NYSE:FOUR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period...
분석 기사 • Jan 07

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s (NYSE:FOUR) Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.4x Shift4 Payments, Inc. ( NYSE:FOUR ) may be sending very bearish...
Seeking Alpha • Dec 20

Shift4 Payments Is A Growth Beast And A Reasonable Buy

Summary Shift4 Payments processes payments for over 200,000 businesses in the retail, hospitality, leisure, and restaurant industries, specializing in mobile payment solutions. The company's fundamentals are very good, and it is trading at a reasonable valuation at current price levels. The company faces intense competition, while the potential departure of its CEO adds an element of uncertainty. Further, the margin of safety when it comes to investing in Shift4 appears thin. I rate FOUR as a reasonable Buy, but I encourage investors to wait for a better entry price point for a higher margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 07

Shift4: CEO Departure A Big Risk For Investors?

Summary Shift4 has shown impressive growth, with revenue increasing from $766M to $2.5B since 2020, driven by strategic investments and acquisitions. Jared Isaacman's leadership and unique background in technology and aviation have been pivotal, but his potential departure for a NASA role poses a risk. Shift4 dominates the hospitality industry with cost-effective POS solutions, expanding market share and securing new contracts in hotels and international markets. Despite potential leadership changes, Shift4's strong double-digit growth potential, acquisition-driven focus, and favorable market conditions make it a compelling investment before 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 18

Shift4 Payments: Waiting For A Dip To Catch The Next Rip

Summary Shift4 Payments is reasonably valued with high growth potential, expanding profit margins, and a strong return on equity. The company's competitive advantage lies in its "software plus payments" strategy, extensive software integrations, and successful acquisitions like Givex, which enhance its moat. Financially robust, Shift4 has raised its guidance, showing impressive revenue and EBITDA growth. Despite the positive outlook, I rate Shift4 as a Hold for now, as the stock has rallied 80% in a short period, and it's near a resistance. The stock will soon be added to the S&P 400 MidCap Index, which sent shares higher in after-hours trading on Friday. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Nov 15

Earnings Miss: Here's What Shift4 Payments, Inc. (NYSE:FOUR) Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Shift4 Payments, Inc. ( NYSE:FOUR ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Shift4 Payments: International Expansion Continues And The Stock Is Cheap

Summary During Q1 2024 the CEO of FOUR was buying shares aggressively and the Q2 results finally came out to find out the reason for his excitement. The company continues to maintain organic growth of 25% + acquisitions. It also expects to expand aggressively into Africa and Asia soon. Despite this news and having raised the guidance, the stock is trading at 17 times EV/EBITDA and 13 times FCF. Something cheap in my opinion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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새 내러티브 • Aug 27

Expanding Global Footprint And Diverse Offerings Set To Elevate Earnings And Market Position

Expansion into stadiums, hotels, and international markets, coupled with acquisitions like Revel and Vectron, aims to boost future revenue and EBITDA.
분석 기사 • Aug 14

Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s (NYSE:FOUR) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.9x Shift4 Payments, Inc. ( NYSE:FOUR ) may be sending very bearish...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 27

Shift4 Payments: Undervalued, But The Prolonged Search For A Buyer Makes It A Pass

Summary From a pool of sell-side analysts' price targets and relative valuation against other integrated payment providers, FOUR is undervalued. M&A has been a massive company growth component, paying more than $1 billion in total considerations since 2021 and making goodwill account for a third of their total assets. Adding the complexity of integrating all the acquisitions, the prolonged process of finding a buyer for themselves, and seeing peers such as Toast performing better, makes them a hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 13

Shift4 Payments: The CEO Is Buying, And So Am I

Summary Shift4 has seen volatility this year after rumors of being sought to be bought by Fiserv and Amadeus. Its CEO called off negotiations, pointing out that the price offered was low. Making my own projections, I agree with him. My valuation suggests potential for 280% upside by 2030, with the CEO buying more than $10 million in shares, indicating a positive outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:FOUR - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20286,6833486601,0183
12/31/20275,80823764688313
12/31/20265,14014152773113
3/31/20264,45362391672N/A
12/31/20254,18080373634N/A
9/30/20253,878168299541N/A
6/30/20253,611208304512N/A
3/31/20253,472223282482N/A
12/31/20243,331232311500N/A
9/30/20243,149126267432N/A
6/30/20242,915106243402N/A
3/31/20242,72592223382N/A
12/31/20232,56586199346N/A
9/30/20232,397102274423N/A
6/30/20232,269111-17376N/A
3/31/20232,13997-63324N/A
12/31/20221,99475-105275N/A
9/30/20221,85536-240133N/A
6/30/20221,686-15-3082N/A
3/31/20221,530-24-5341N/A
12/31/20211,368-49-823N/A
9/30/20211,179-53-6713N/A
6/30/20211,016-48-609N/A
3/31/2021807-52-527N/A
12/31/2020767-19-294N/A
9/30/2020758-18-3211N/A
6/30/2020737-36-2711N/A
3/31/2020776-43-1526N/A
12/31/2019731-57N/A27N/A
12/31/2018561-55N/A26N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: FOUR 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(41.9%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: FOUR 의 연간 수익(41.9%)이 US 시장(16.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: FOUR 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: FOUR 의 수익(연간 13.5%)이 US 시장(연간 11.5%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: FOUR 의 수익(연간 13.5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: FOUR의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 43%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/07 12:06
종가2026/05/07 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

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패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
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시장 가격30년
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지분 구조10년
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경영진10년
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분석가 소스

Shift4 Payments, Inc.는 34명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 19명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Ramsey El-AssalBarclays
John CoffeyBarclays
Mark PalmerBenchmark Company