Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) 주식 개요
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RCL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$297.03
FV
4.2% 저평가 내재 할인율7.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
37
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. 경쟁사
가격 이력 및 성과
| 과거 주가 | |
|---|---|
| 현재 주가 | US$284.63 |
| 52주 최고가 | US$366.50 |
| 52주 최저가 | US$232.10 |
| 베타 | 1.78 |
| 1개월 변동 | 7.19% |
| 3개월 변동 | -5.54% |
| 1년 변동 | 8.67% |
| 3년 변동 | 224.92% |
| 5년 변동 | 201.26% |
| IPO 이후 변동 | 3,019.23% |
최근 뉴스 및 업데이트
Seeking Alpha • May 14
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Buying The Dip
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises remains best-in-class in the cruise industry, supported by strong fundamentals and growing popularity. Despite a negative ROIC-to-WACC ratio, RCL boasts a high return on equity, earnings, and revenue, underpinning its premium valuation case. Short-term stock underperformance is viewed as a buying opportunity for long-term dividend growth investors. Debt remains a risk, but the stock is now trading near fair value given a conservative DCF approach based on earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 04
RCL: Mixed Street Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Keep Upside In Check
Royal Caribbean's updated analyst price target has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from $286.04 to $268.88 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a recent mix of target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Royal Caribbean shows a mix of views, but the pattern of price target resets stands out.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 14
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Buying The Dip
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises remains best-in-class in the cruise industry, supported by strong fundamentals and growing popularity. Despite a negative ROIC-to-WACC ratio, RCL boasts a high return on equity, earnings, and revenue, underpinning its premium valuation case. Short-term stock underperformance is viewed as a buying opportunity for long-term dividend growth investors. Debt remains a risk, but the stock is now trading near fair value given a conservative DCF approach based on earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • May 04
RCL: Mixed Street Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Keep Upside In Check
Royal Caribbean's updated analyst price target has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from $286.04 to $268.88 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a recent mix of target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Royal Caribbean shows a mix of views, but the pattern of price target resets stands out.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20
RCL: 2026 Margin Profile And Cash Returns Will Support Further Upside
Analyst price targets for Royal Caribbean Cruises have been revised lower by about $13, reflecting updated expectations for slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin profile, a somewhat reduced future P/E, and a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises shows a mixed but active debate on where the shares should trade, with several large firms adjusting their price targets both higher and lower in quick succession.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 05
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Enduring Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts maintained the Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate at $425.00 and slightly adjusted underlying assumptions such as the discount rate and revenue growth, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street while still leaning on expectations for solid demand and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Royal Caribbean reflects a generally constructive tone, with most updates pointing to confidence in the company’s ability to execute on demand trends, pricing and capacity additions, even as some firms fine tune targets around shorter term Caribbean and geopolitical considerations.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Sustained Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts have nudged Royal Caribbean Cruises' target higher to $376, reflecting tweaks to slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger projected revenue growth and margins, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions supported by recent research that points to ongoing cruise demand and double digit revenue expectations into fiscal 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean points to an increasingly constructive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting supportive demand data, even as some acknowledge near term headwinds in specific regions such as the Caribbean.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07
RCL: Future Profitability And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has been raised to $425.00 from $414.78, with analysts pointing to stronger projected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth expectations are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions signaling how closely the stock is being tracked.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 21
RCL: Elevated Expectations And Caribbean Yield Pressures Will Restrain Share Upside
Analysts have lifted their aggregate price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, reflecting a move from about $245 to roughly $286 as they factor in updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms revisiting their price targets and near term views.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 06
RCL: 2026 Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $31 to $362, citing updated research that reflects slightly lower growth assumptions alongside firmer profit margin expectations and a broadly higher set of Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23
RCL: Strong Demand And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets higher on Royal Caribbean Cruises, with our fair value estimate moving from US$411.61 to about US$414.78 as they weighed stronger cruise demand data alongside mixed views on yields and costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises points to a split tape, but the more optimistic voices highlight demand strength, supportive spend data, and confidence in the company’s ability to execute through near term headwinds.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 09
RCL: Softer Revenue Yields And 2026 EPS Guidance Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $23 to reflect a combination of slightly higher required returns, a modestly lower assumed profit margin and valuation multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and earnings visibility following recent Q3 commentary and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Royal Caribbean point to a more cautious tone, even as analysts continue to engage with the story following Q3 results and the release of 2026 guidance.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 25
RCL: Share Repurchases And Efficient Fleet Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises to about $411.61 from $420, citing slightly slower expected revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins, and a higher discount rate, even as they still see robust long term EPS expansion supported by the company's hardware advantages. Analyst Commentary Despite the modest recalibration in price targets, bullish analysts continue to emphasize Royal Caribbean's structural advantages, disciplined capacity growth, and strong earnings trajectory through the back half of the decade.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 11
RCL: Reset 2026 Guidance Will Unlock Upside From Conservative Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged down their Royal Caribbean Cruises price target by about $5 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and more conservative long term earnings and yield assumptions, even as they still expect robust EPS growth through 2028. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Royal Caribbean Cruises following the latest earnings update, trimming price targets but generally maintaining expectations for solid medium term growth and balance sheet progress.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27
RCL: Upside Will Emerge As 2026 Guidance Resets Market Expectations
Royal Caribbean’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $337 to $333, as analysts cite more cautious outlooks on future yield growth and mixed booking trends. This comes despite continued recognition of the company’s long-term strengths.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 13
RCL: Earnings Upside Will Emerge As Conservative 2026 Guidance Resets Expectations
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, trimming it from approximately $344 to $337. They cite a slightly higher discount rate, marginally slower revenue growth and profit margin projections, as well as recent indications of softer yield momentum in upcoming quarters.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 29
Earnings Momentum Will Recover As New Vessel Deliveries Accelerate Through 2028
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has shifted downward by $11.78 to $344.09, as analysts cite conservative earnings guidance, softer-than-expected revenue yield trends, and mixed forward booking indicators. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights both confidence in the company’s execution and caution around its future earnings trajectory.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 19
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Analysts have raised Royal Caribbean Cruises' price target to $355.87, citing strong forward demand, robust pricing power, industry-leading margins, and accretive land-based initiatives, while recent share gains leave some caution on tactical positioning. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong forward demand and robust pricing power driving significant upward EPS revisions for Royal Caribbean through 2027/2028.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Despite a less attractive near-term tactical setup following a sector rally, analysts cite strong demand, robust pricing, and superior margins as drivers for Royal Caribbean's long-term EPS and market share growth, resulting in the consensus price target remaining unchanged at $351.65. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong forward demand, robust pricing, and optionality from land-based projects as drivers for increased price targets.분석 기사 • Jul 16
An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate is US$604 Current...분석 기사 • Jul 04
Investors Appear Satisfied With Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s (NYSE:RCL) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%
Despite an already strong run, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. ( NYSE:RCL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Royal Caribbean Cruises' Selloff Is Finally Here - Upgrade To Buy
Summary RCL has had the much needed correction from recent heights, with it triggering the cheaper valuations and richer double digits upside potential. Combined with the growing net yields, expanding profit margins, and healthier balance sheet, we believe that the company is well positioned to outperform moving forward. With many of its cruise/ travel peers still reporting excellent performance metrics, we believe that RCL is likely to deliver a beat and raise earnings call in FQ1'25. We shall further discuss why we are finally upgrading the stock to a Buy here, significantly aided by the moderating CBOE Volatility Index, lower short interest, and robust bullish support at the 200 DMA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 05
Royal Caribbean: Margin Expansion Will Drive Shares Higher
Summary Royal Caribbean will continue to grow revenue in 2025 while costs per APCD/berth will likely decline, resulting in significant margin expansion. I calculate Royal Caribbean's cruise pricing increased 3.9% in Q4 and industry sources suggest pricing is now 5.0% above year-ago levels. Based on the quarterly seasonality of 2024 earnings, first quarter earnings of $2.60 per share should translate into full year earnings of $17.36 per share. Royal Caribbean's history of exceeding full year earnings guidance suggests $2.00 to $3.00 EPS upside is possible in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 19
Royal Caribbean Cruises: This Company Is Built To Withstand A Slowdown
Summary Royal Caribbean's strong recovery post-COVID, with a 203% total return over three years, demonstrates robust demand and effective management. The company’s Q4 earnings beat expectations, with $2.52 per share and strong booking numbers at higher pricing, despite rising cruise costs. Royal Caribbean's financial health is solid, with improved debt ratios, strong liquidity, and increasing cash flow, positioning it well for future growth. The cruise market's expected 12.9% compound growth rate through 2030 and RCL's premium brand status make it undervalued at 17.69x forward GAAP earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 10
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Fade The Rally - Consumer Spending Trends May Reverse Soon
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises has had an eye-watering rally as consumer spending trends remain robust across commerce/ e-commerce/ retail/ travel, with the same sentiments reiterated by numerous market leaders. Despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook, RCL continues to report growing top/ bottom-lines and increasing deposits, significantly aided by the raised prices and growing capacity. Even so, it is undeniable that the stock is now trading at a notable premium, with the pulled forward upside potential triggering a minimal margin of safety. If anything, FY2025 may bring forth a tougher YoY comparison and impacted consumer affordability, attributed to the potentially higher for longer inflationary pressure. This is also why we believe that RCL's growth derived from price hikes is unlikely to be replicated ahead, with it contributing to its incrementally tougher future growth opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Why You Should Disembark
Summary I am giving Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. a sell rating. RCL has a stellar high-quality earnings and a solid annual free cash flow. The company suffers from poor short-term liquidity and has substantial amounts of long-term debt and capital expenditures eating into its cash flow. Using a discounted cash flow model taking annual free cash flow as the primary metric, Royal Caribbean is overvalued by 227% from its current intrinsic value of $70.48. Though the company is a major player in a rapidly growing industry, my valuation model has already taken a lofty 34.6% growth rate over the next five years into account. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 01
Royal Caribbean: No Significant Upside Despite Factoring In Generous Assumptions
Summary RCL posted yet another strong quarter and posted a 17.45% y/y revenue growth. Operating margins expanded by 298bps to 33.46%. However, net income margin deteriorated due to higher interest expenses. The company raised guidance and expects a strong FY2024. Net yields are expected to grow 11.4%. Capacity will increase by 7.8%. Cruise costs per APCD will only grow 4.25%. RCL is well-positioned to continue enjoying industry-related tailwinds. Moreover, RCL's growth initiatives such as fleet expansion and investments in private islands will help increase the company's revenue capacity. Despite factoring in generous assumptions, valuation analysis suggests that market participants have already fully priced in the company's potential, suggesting that investors will be better off putting their capital elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 19
Royal Caribbean: Let Your Winners Run - Downgrade To Hold
Summary Market trends continue to point to durable cruise demand, with Cruise Lines International Association already projecting robust growth in passengers and capacity through 2027. These developments naturally trigger RCL's raised FY2024 guidance along with the raised consensus forward estimates, with it implying that the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic is behind us. If anything, the company continues to report improved balance sheet health attributed to the richer adj EBITDA margins, despite the new fleet deliveries. Even so, with RCL already charting triple digit 1Y gains, it is undeniable that the stock is trading at a premium compared to historical trends and its peers. We urge investors to not chase the rally at these heights, while recommending traders to take most of their gains upon the reversal of the stock price trend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha주주 수익률
| RCL | US Hospitality | US 시장 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 11.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| 1Y | 8.7% | -5.1% | 28.2% |
수익률 대 산업: RCL은 지난 1년 동안 -5.1%의 수익을 기록한 US Hospitality 산업보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.
수익률 대 시장: RCL은 지난 1년 동안 28.2%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.
주가 변동성
| RCL volatility | |
|---|---|
| RCL Average Weekly Movement | 7.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
안정적인 주가: RCL는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.
시간에 따른 변동성: RCL의 주간 변동성(7%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.
회사 소개
| 설립 | 직원 수 | CEO | 웹사이트 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1968 | 107,975 | Jason Liberty | www.rclinvestor.com |
로얄캐리비안크루즈는 전 세계 크루즈 회사로 운영되고 있습니다. 이 회사는 다양한 여정으로 구성된 로얄캐리비안 인터내셔널, 셀러브리티 크루즈, 실베시 크루즈 브랜드로 크루즈를 운영합니다. 2025년 12월 31일 현재 69척의 선박을 운영하고 있습니다.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. 기초 지표 요약
| RCL 기초 통계 | |
|---|---|
| 시가총액 | US$76.34b |
| 순이익 (TTM) | US$4.48b |
| 매출 (TTM) | US$18.39b |
17.0x
주가수익비율(P/E)4.2x
주가매출비율(P/S)RCL는 고평가되어 있습니까?
공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기순이익 및 매출
| RCL 손익계산서 (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| 매출 | US$18.39b |
| 매출원가 | US$9.03b |
| 총이익 | US$9.36b |
| 기타 비용 | US$4.88b |
| 순이익 | US$4.48b |
최근 보고된 실적
Mar 31, 2026
다음 실적 발표일
해당 없음
| 주당순이익(EPS) | 16.70 |
| 총이익률 | 50.91% |
| 순이익률 | 24.36% |
| 부채/자본 비율 | 209.0% |
RCL의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?
과거 실적 및 비교 보기| Royal Caribbean Cruises 배당 일정 | |
|---|---|
| 배당락일 | Jun 03 2026 |
| 배당 지급일 | Jul 02 2026 |
| 배당락일까지 남은 일수 | 2 days |
| 배당 지급일까지 남은 일수 | 31 days |
RCL는 안정적으로 배당을 지급합니까?
RCL 배당 기록 및 벤치마크 보기기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/06/01 08:03 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.는 47명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 24명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |