First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FWRG 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$699.1m

First Watch Restaurant Group 과거 순이익 실적

과거 기준 점검 4/6

First Watch Restaurant Group은 연평균 45.8%의 비율로 수입이 증가해 온 반면, Hospitality 산업은 수입이 31.2% 증가했습니다. 매출은 연평균 18.4%의 비율로 증가했습니다. First Watch Restaurant Group의 자기자본이익률은 2.8%이고 순이익률은 1.4%입니다.

핵심 정보

45.78%

순이익 성장률

48.63%

주당순이익(EPS) 성장률

Hospitality 산업 성장률19.52%
매출 성장률18.43%
자기자본이익률2.80%
순이익률1.38%
최근 순이익 업데이트29 Mar 2026

최근 과거 실적 업데이트

분석 기사 May 12

First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...

Recent updates

분석 기사 May 12

First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...
내러티브 업데이트 May 10

FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Support Long Term Upside

The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced by roughly $1. Analysts attribute this change to slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to the projected future P/E multiple, while profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.
Seeking Alpha May 09

First Watch Restaurant: Eggs Got Cheaper, The Stock Didn't

Summary First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. delivered positive same-store sales and margin expansion, but growth is increasingly reliant on new restaurant openings rather than organic traffic. FWRG's premium positioning is a double-edged sword amid macro headwinds, with average check growth offsetting declining traffic and mix; comps rose 2.8% despite traffic falling ~2%. Restaurant-level margins benefited from egg price deflation, but normalized margins (18–19%) are expected until organic top-line growth improves; FCF was modestly positive, with net debt at ~$229M. I maintain a Hold rating on FWRG stock, with a medium-term price target of $14–$17, as current valuation offers limited upside and macro risks could erode returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 25

FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for First Watch Restaurant Group by about $0.17 to $19.33 as they factor in slower same-restaurant sales growth and softer recent EBITDA results, while still highlighting long term plans for unit expansion and brand awareness initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture, with most firms trimming price targets while still highlighting First Watch Restaurant Group's long term expansion plans and brand building efforts.
새로운 내러티브 Apr 18

Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential

Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a daytime-focused full service restaurant concept across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 10

FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And Marketing Initiatives Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group is now set at $19.50, reflecting a modest recalibration as analysts balance reduced same-store sales and EBITDA expectations with continued unit growth, geographic expansion, and ongoing marketing and menu initiatives that they see as supportive for the brand. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with many firms trimming price targets while still expressing confidence in First Watch Restaurant Group's long term growth potential and unit expansion.
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 27

FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And New Store Economics Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised to $19.50. Analysts cite recent same-store sales and EBITDA estimate adjustments, along with ongoing unit growth, digital and paid marketing efforts, and new store economics as key factors in their updated views.
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 12

FWRG: Unit Expansion And New Store Openings Will Drive Future Upside

Our updated narrative price target for First Watch Restaurant Group edges down from about $19.91 to $19.50 per share, as analysts generally trim targets across the sector on softer recent EBITDA and same-store sales expectations. They still point to unit growth, menu and marketing initiatives, and what they view as mispricing as key supports for the long term story.
내러티브 업데이트 Feb 26

FWRG: Long Term Unit Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised lower to about $19.91 from $22, as analysts factor in slower expected same-restaurant sales growth, softer recent EBITDA results, and more conservative assumptions for margins and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of lower price targets for First Watch Restaurant Group, with most analysts pointing to softer adjusted EBITDA, more modest same restaurant sales expectations, and reduced pricing assumptions.
새로운 내러티브 Feb 25

Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch

Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a growing, full service daytime dining concept focused on breakfast, brunch and lunch across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
분석 기사 Nov 08

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 25%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a good week for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders, because the company has just...
분석 기사 Jul 31

First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...
분석 기사 Jul 04

Here's Why First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
분석 기사 Jun 13

Market Cool On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Revenues

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a...
분석 기사 May 09

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

There's been a notable change in appetite for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shares in the week...
분석 기사 May 07

Calculating The Fair Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Key Insights First Watch Restaurant Group's estimated fair value is US$14.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
분석 기사 Apr 19

First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
분석 기사 Apr 03

Is First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Seeking Alpha Mar 16

First Watch Restaurant: Why Daytime Meals Aren't My Bet For Q1

Summary First Watch's traffic and same-store sales are declining, with breakfast seeing the steepest drop, raising concerns about its premium positioning and value-per-dollar equation. Despite revenue growth driven by new openings, First Watch faces negative free cash flow and increasing debt, complicating its financial stability and ability to return capital to shareholders. FWRG stock is not cheap, trading at high multiples with a PEG ratio that doesn't justify its growth prospects, making it a hold rather than a buy. Economic uncertainties, including fears of stagflation and tariffs, further cloud the outlook for consumer discretionary stocks like First Watch, suggesting caution before investing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Mar 12

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

While First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...
분석 기사 Feb 19

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) 25% Share Price Surge

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price...
Seeking Alpha Jan 21

First Watch Restaurant: A Dull Morning In Q4 Overshadowed By Other Family Dining Competitors

Summary First Watch is a unique, fast-growing family dining chain with a focus on breakfast, brunch, and lunch, avoiding discounts and maintaining high unit-level margins. Despite industry recovery, First Watch's same-store sales fell 0.3% in Q4 FY 2024, with traffic declining 3% year-over-year, raising concerns about future growth. The chain's valuation appears stretched, trading at a P/E of 41.67, significantly above the industry median, making it potentially overvalued compared to peers. I recommend waiting for a better entry point around $15-$14, considering ongoing traffic declines and competitive pressures in the family dining sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Dec 11

When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...
Seeking Alpha Nov 18

First Watch Restaurant: Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines

Summary First Watch Restaurant Group maintains its stance against value promotions, focusing on targeted advertising, resulting in a 1.9% year-over-year decline in comparable sales due to lower traffic. The company is aggressively expanding by acquiring franchises and opening new restaurants, aiming for 10% net year-over-year growth and a long-term goal of 2,200 locations. Hurricanes in key operating areas significantly impacted Q4 traffic, but recovery is expected as headwinds subside, with a focus on improving on-premise sales. Despite high-growth potential, First Watch's valuation appears inflated; a more appropriate price target is $16, leading to a 'Hold' rating amid current macroeconomic pressures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Nov 12

Market Participants Recognise First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...
분석 기사 Oct 18

Investors Will Want First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Growth In ROCE To Persist

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
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새로운 내러티브 Sep 16

Tech-Driven Efficiency And Expansion Fuel Restaurant Chain's Robust Growth Outlook

Implementation of technology and analytics is poised to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer engagement, impacting revenue growth positively.
Seeking Alpha Sep 14

First Watch Restaurant: A Non-Traditional Recipe For Dealing With Traffic

Summary First Watch's strategy of avoiding value promotions in a price-sensitive market is risky, potentially leading to negative comparable sales in Q3 and Q4. The company’s focus on menu innovations and premium pricing has helped maintain resilience, but hasn't fully offset declining traffic and average check growth. Recent acquisitions and debt levels are manageable, but continued high capital expenditures and economic risks could increase financial risk in the medium term. Despite strong growth and operational improvements, First Watch's current stock price appears overvalued, leading to a 'Hold' recommendation with a target price of $13.50 to $14.50. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Sep 04

Why We're Not Concerned About First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.2x First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) may be sending...
분석 기사 Aug 09

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share...
Seeking Alpha Jul 03

First Watch Restaurant: The Price For Maintaining Pricing

Summary Some restaurants refuse to enter promotional environments, maintaining profitability through differentiation strategies and menu rotations. First Watch, a daytime concept restaurant, faces a drop in traffic due to not entering promotional environments, focusing on perceived value and menu items to attract guests. Valuation of First Watch using multiples and DCF models suggests a target price lower than the current stock price, recommending a "Hold" for the company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Jul 02

First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...
분석 기사 May 21

First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG...
분석 기사 May 10

These 4 Measures Indicate That First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Seeking Alpha May 09

First Watch Restaurant: Traffic Slowdown Doesn't Disturb The Growth Story

Summary First Watch Restaurant reported healthy revenue growth in Q1, but weaker year-over-year profitability as restaurant traffic slowed down in the industry in the quarter. The company slightly lowered the 2024 outlook in anticipation of a continuation in weaker-than-anticipated restaurant traffic. The long-term growth story still stands, and First Watch continues to heavily invest into new restaurants in 2024 with 44 to 48 new company-owned restaurants. The valuation now reflects First Watch's prospects fairly with my financial estimates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

매출 및 비용 세부 내역

First Watch Restaurant Group가 돈을 벌고 사용하는 방법. 최근 발표된 LTM 실적 기준.


순이익 및 매출 추이

NasdaqGS:FWRG 매출, 비용 및 순이익 (USD Millions)
날짜매출순이익일반관리비연구개발비
29 Mar 261,271181500
28 Dec 251,223191390
28 Sep 251,16951380
29 Jun 251,10541310
30 Mar 251,056111240
29 Dec 241,016191210
29 Sep 24997211190
30 Jun 24965241160
31 Mar 24923231140
31 Dec 23892251090
24 Sep 23833221000
25 Jun 2380017960
26 Mar 2376812940
25 Dec 227307880
25 Sep 227073880
26 Jun 226783820
27 Mar 226475750
26 Dec 21601-2680
26 Sep 21548-5630
27 Jun 21490-16570
28 Mar 21403-36510
27 Dec 20342-50500
29 Dec 19436-45610
30 Dec 18350-12380

양질의 수익: FWRG는 $5.7M 규모의 큰 일회성 손실이 있어 29th March, 2026까지 지난 12개월 재무 결과에 영향을 미쳤습니다.

이익 마진 증가: FWRG의 현재 순 이익률 (1.4%)은 지난해 (1%)보다 높습니다.


잉여현금흐름 대비 순이익 분석


과거 순이익 성장 분석

수익추이: FWRG는 지난 5년 동안 흑자전환하며 연평균 45.8%의 수익 성장을 기록했습니다.

성장 가속화: 지난 1년간 FWRG 의 수익 증가율(60.2%)은 연간 평균(45.8%)을 초과합니다.

수익 대 산업: FWRG의 지난 1년 수익 증가율(60.2%)은 Hospitality 업계의 24.3%를 상회했습니다.


자기자본이익률

높은 ROE: FWRG의 자본 수익률(2.8%)은 낮음으로 평가됩니다.


총자산이익률


투하자본수익률


우수한 과거 실적 기업을 찾아보세요

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/22 11:58
종가2026/05/22 00:00
수익2026/03/29
연간 수익2025/12/28

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.는 14명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 11명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

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