Trend Micro Incorporated

TSE:4704 주식 리포트

시가총액: JP¥688.3b

Trend Micro 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 2/6

Trend Micro (는) 각각 연간 9.4% 및 5.2% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.3% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 34.1% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

9.4%

이익 성장률

10.31%

EPS 성장률

Software 이익 성장15.5%
매출 성장률5.2%
향후 자기자본이익률34.13%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트21 Apr 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Nov 16
Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Recent updates

4704: AI Governance And Consumer Rebrand Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,068.75 to ¥6,231.25, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Trend Micro is rebranding its consumer business as TrendLife, with a focus on protecting everyday digital activity as AI tools become more common in households, and plans to roll out its Kaleida AI companion for families to the public later in 2026 (Key Developments).

4704: AI Governance Expansion Will Support Future Upside For Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,256.25 to ¥7,068.75, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as they refresh their valuation work. What's in the News TrendAI, described as an enterprise AI security leader within Trend Micro, introduced the TrendAI Agentic Governance Gateway to give organizations visibility and control over autonomous AI agent interactions across data, tools, and environments, with capabilities such as policy enforcement, human oversight, simulation of governance decisions, and lifecycle management delivered through the TrendAI Vision One platform (Key Developments).

4704: Buybacks And AI Security Expansion Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Trend Micro higher from about ¥7,161 to roughly ¥7,256. This reflects small model tweaks to fair value, discount rate, and assumed future P/E rather than any major shift in the underlying outlook.

4704: Buybacks And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro by about ¥400. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, while keeping expected future P/E broadly similar.

4704: Buybacks And Higher 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Trend Micro price target higher from ¥7,343.75 to roughly ¥7,583.33, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of ¥301,500 million, operating income of ¥56,400 million, net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥36,600 million, and net income per share of ¥280.07.

4704: AI Cybersecurity Outlook And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro to ¥7,343.75 from ¥7,464.29, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting on November 12, 2025 approved a share repurchase of common stock, setting the framework for subsequent buyback activity (Key Developments).

4704: AI Security And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from ¥7,950 to about ¥7,464, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board approved a share repurchase plan on November 12, 2025, authorizing the buyback of 1,670,000 shares, or 1.27% of share capital, for ¥10,000 million.

4704: AI Security Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Slightly Lower Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have reduced their price target for Trend Micro from ¥8,416.67 to ¥7,950, citing slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025 to consider and approve a repurchase of common shares, following authorization of a buyback plan that covers up to 1,670,000 shares (1.27% of share capital) for ¥10,000m through December 23, 2025 (Board Meeting, Buyback Transaction Announcements).

4704: Expanding AI Security And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update on Trend Micro Analyst Price Target Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Trend Micro, cutting estimated fair value from approximately ¥9,150 to about ¥8,417. They are factoring in slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower long term profit margins, and a more conservative future price to earnings multiple, while revenue growth expectations remain stable.

4704: Expanding AI Security Solutions Will Drive Future Equity Performance

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Trend Micro from ¥9,250 to ¥9,150. This change reflects modest adjustments in the discount rate and financial projections.

4704: Expanded AI Offerings And New Partnerships Will Drive Profits Higher

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Trend Micro to ¥9,250. This change reflects improved expectations for both revenue growth and profit margins.

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Nov 16
Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

4704: AI Integration And Data Center Security Will Drive Robust Momentum

Narrative Update on Trend Micro: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have maintained their price target for Trend Micro at ¥9,250. This reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s fundamentals without a significant shift in projected financial metrics.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Trend Micro, decreasing it from ¥9,371 to ¥9,250. They cited minor adjustments in valuation models and updated financial projections.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have revised their price target for Trend Micro downward to approximately ¥9,371, a decrease of about ¥557. They cited slightly lower growth and profit margin projections as the reason for this adjustment.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Trend Micro's consensus price target has been revised downward, primarily reflecting slightly softer revenue growth forecasts, with fair value lowered from ¥10,371 to ¥9,834. What's in the News Announced new agentic AI-powered SIEM designed to automate setup, cut alert noise, and enhance security with multi-source analytics, rapid onboarding, extended data retention, and integration with digital twin technology for proactive risk mitigation in complex environments.

Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

Aug 09
Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Jul 22
Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704)

Apr 25
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704)

Trend Micro (TSE:4704) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Mar 10
Trend Micro (TSE:4704) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704) Price Target To JP¥9,407

Feb 20
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704) Price Target To JP¥9,407

Market Participants Recognise Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

Feb 13
Market Participants Recognise Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher
User avatar

Unleashing Growth Through Subscription Shift And Global Expansion Strategy

Subscription model transition improves revenue stability and predicts higher margins, boosting recurring revenue growth.

Trend Micro Incorporated Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 14
Trend Micro Incorporated Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Oct 06
Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) 29% Share Price Surge

Sep 07
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) 29% Share Price Surge

Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Mar 19
Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 36% Above Its Share Price

Feb 29
Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 36% Above Its Share Price

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

TSE:4704 - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (JPY Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/2028326,41446,48757,956N/A8
12/31/2027308,29240,59254,623N/A9
12/31/2026294,07637,00936,605N/A9
12/31/2025275,98434,523N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2025272,73334,88241,18164,302N/A
6/30/2025272,01330,79930,53454,127N/A
3/31/2025274,20832,46224,93649,270N/A
12/31/2024272,63834,35821,84146,781N/A
9/30/2024267,62424,34317,54744,911N/A
6/30/2024263,68916,77022,89051,166N/A
3/31/2024255,91815,11126,03254,051N/A
12/31/2023248,69110,73130,86657,227N/A
9/30/2023245,42014,15733,96557,143N/A
6/30/2023238,02926,73731,72254,148N/A
3/31/2023232,07227,68635,53657,137N/A
12/31/2022223,79529,84335,92456,903N/A
9/30/2022213,27941,18938,35859,694N/A
6/30/2022204,33236,82640,29560,426N/A
3/31/2022196,19238,09437,61657,369N/A
12/31/2021190,35938,36736,48055,267N/A
9/30/2021186,21233,59337,96155,448N/A
6/30/2021181,57928,28240,96756,743N/A
3/31/2021176,53026,84745,40859,002N/A
12/31/2020174,06126,90442,47054,310N/A
9/30/2020171,29124,60441,54152,161N/A
6/30/2020169,54629,42642,98553,063N/A
3/31/2020167,84829,90837,83248,305N/A
12/31/2019165,19527,94634,41745,109N/A
9/30/2019163,36729,627N/A46,157N/A
6/30/2019162,38028,491N/A44,682N/A
3/31/2019161,88928,628N/A47,030N/A
12/31/2018160,41028,314N/A49,959N/A
9/30/2018159,00526,186N/A51,461N/A
6/30/2018155,66227,784N/A49,710N/A
3/31/2018151,55426,846N/A49,607N/A
12/31/2017148,81125,691N/A46,915N/A
9/30/2017147,47431,453N/A45,314N/A
6/30/2017141,65627,414N/A42,192N/A
3/31/2017137,32424,417N/A37,828N/A
12/31/2016131,93624,651N/A33,510N/A
9/30/2016124,96218,004N/A29,009N/A
6/30/2016124,56819,603N/A29,221N/A
3/31/2016124,28621,594N/A30,266N/A
12/31/2015124,31721,435N/A30,490N/A
9/30/2015122,86322,957N/A31,236N/A
6/30/2015120,54821,983N/A30,824N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: 4704 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(9.4%)이 saving rate(0.7%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: 4704 의 연간 수익(9.4%)이 JP 시장(10%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: 4704 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: 4704 의 수익(연간 5.2%)이 JP 시장(연간 6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: 4704 의 수익(연간 5.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: 4704의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 34.1%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/05 19:23
종가2026/05/01 00:00
수익2025/12/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Trend Micro Incorporated는 17명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 9명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Hideo NodaCLSA
Sukshith ShettyCrispIdea
Deepkumar ShahCrispIdea