Rumo 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Rumo (는) 각각 연간 31.7% 및 3% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 32.6% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 14.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
31.7%
이익 성장률
32.59%
EPS 성장률
| Transportation 이익 성장 | 32.8% |
| 매출 성장률 | 3.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 14.89% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 18 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 09
RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Lower P/E Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their Rumo fair value estimate from R$15.27 to R$14.64, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted margin forecasts, and a new future P/E of 17.07x. What's in the News Rumo S.A. set an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 21
RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy Will Support Stronger Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Rumo slightly from R$19.93 to R$19.67, reflecting updated views on modestly different revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions while keeping future P/E expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Rumo plans an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 07
RAIL3: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Eventually Support Richer Earnings Multiple
Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$25.00 to R$24.00, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher revenue growth expectations with a lower projected profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen Despite Ongoing Freight Price Pressure
Analysts have reset their price target on Rumo to R$19.93 from R$21.84, reflecting updated expectations for freight price pressure and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, signaling a balanced view on risk and reward at current levels.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure And Execution Will Shape A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from roughly R$16.50 to about R$15.27, aligning their updated price target with expectations for continued freight price pressure highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent updates around Rumo suggest that, while coverage is active again, the tone remains cautious.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 21
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Eventually Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Rumo's analyst price target has been reiterated at R$25.00, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while still flagging near term freight price pressure as a key watchpoint. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, highlighting that freight pricing remains a near term pressure point.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 06
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Set Up Future P/E Repricing Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$27.00 to R$25.00, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E, as well as recent Street research that highlights continued pressure on freight prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but watchful stance on Rumo, with JPMorgan resuming coverage at Neutral and a R$20 price target.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Discipline Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo The analyst price target for Rumo has been updated to R$20, with analysts citing freight price pressures and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Rumo has centered on freight pricing pressure and how that filters through to earnings expectations, valuation assumptions, and price targets.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 08
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Pressure Will Set Up Potential Upside Reassessment
Narrative Update on Rumo Our analyst price target for Rumo moves from R$31.70 to R$27.00, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and ongoing pressure on freight prices highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rumo has been cautious on near term freight pricing, yet the new R$27.00 target remains above the R$20 reference from JPMorgan, which signals some residual optimism around the company’s ability to execute on its plan over time.분석 기사 • Dec 22
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 22
RAIL3 Stronger Profit Margins Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Rumo to R$16.50, reflecting higher expected profitability and a slightly improved valuation multiple despite slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at R$16.50, indicating no revision to the intrinsic price target.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 08
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize
Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.분석 기사 • Nov 16
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...분석 기사 • Oct 29
Is Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 14
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 30
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.분석 기사 • Aug 14
The Strong Earnings Posted By Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
BOVESPA:RAIL3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Rumo's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Rumo...분석 기사 • Aug 04
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...분석 기사 • Jul 14
The Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Look Promising
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...분석 기사 • Jun 01
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
새로운 내러티브 • Dec 02
Decisive Expansion In Mato Grosso And Infrastructure Investments Set To Boost Revenue Growth
Expansion projects and infrastructure investments are set to boost transported volumes and yields, driving long-term revenue growth.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 15,374 | 2,640 | 1,353 | 4,865 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 15,128 | 2,405 | -484 | 5,524 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 14,733 | 1,776 | -1,773 | 4,607 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 14,163 | 1,040 | 1,085 | 7,190 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 13,848 | 847 | 1,045 | 7,142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 13,961 | 374 | 544 | 7,060 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,894 | 645 | 819 | 7,328 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,757 | -1,428 | 1,185 | 7,475 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,936 | -959 | 2,172 | 7,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 13,089 | -696 | 2,204 | 7,036 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,512 | -896 | 2,378 | 6,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,700 | 1,015 | 2,196 | 5,925 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,938 | 720 | 1,761 | 5,451 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,542 | 962 | 2,054 | 5,263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,317 | 788 | 2,065 | 5,033 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 10,019 | 655 | 1,793 | 4,747 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,842 | 515 | 2,113 | 4,831 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,134 | -111 | 2,070 | 4,748 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,149 | -367 | 1,180 | 4,026 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,900 | -88 | 724 | 3,932 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,440 | 151 | -113 | 3,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,589 | 536 | -555 | 3,195 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,676 | 650 | -60 | 3,614 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,289 | 742 | -45 | 3,310 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 6,966 | 297 | -73 | 2,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,968 | 496 | 649 | 3,196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,976 | 699 | 930 | 3,175 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,876 | 479 | 1,067 | 3,028 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,088 | 778 | N/A | 3,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,070 | 711 | N/A | 3,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,887 | 570 | N/A | 3,022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,823 | 350 | N/A | 2,924 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,585 | 264 | N/A | 2,705 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,530 | 75 | N/A | 2,592 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,302 | -75 | N/A | 2,325 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,144 | -71 | N/A | 2,067 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,946 | -261 | N/A | 2,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,230 | -619 | N/A | 1,649 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,802 | -884 | N/A | 1,550 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,492 | -1,037 | N/A | 1,432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 4,312 | -1,063 | N/A | 1,213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,487 | -994 | N/A | 1,591 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,418 | -968 | N/A | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,325 | -1,221 | N/A | 1,536 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,149 | -1,177 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,910 | -2,800 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,708 | -2,631 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: RAIL3 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(31.7%)이 saving rate(12.4%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: RAIL3 의 연간 수익(31.7%)이 BR 시장(12.5%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: RAIL3 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: RAIL3 의 수익(연간 3%)이 BR 시장(연간 6.5%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: RAIL3 의 수익(연간 3%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: RAIL3의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 14.9%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/22 11:30 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Rumo S.A.는 23명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 14명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Mauro Suarez | Alliance Global Partners |
| Daniel Spilberg | Barclays |
| Rogério Araújo | BofA Global Research |