Raízen 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Raízen (는) 각각 연간 137.2% 및 3.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 131.6% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 -6.3% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
137.2%
이익 성장률
131.56%
EPS 성장률
| Specialty Retail 이익 성장 | 18.3% |
| 매출 성장률 | 3.7% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | -6.28% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 10 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 14
RAIZ4: Index Removals And Compressed Margins Will Shape Balanced Repricing
Analysts have reduced the Raízen price target from R$0.75 to R$0.50 as they now factor in a lower profit margin, a very high forward P/E of about 18x, and updated assumptions for revenue growth and discount rates. What's in the News Raízen has been dropped from the S&P Global BMI Index, removing the stock from a broad global benchmark that many index funds track (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 29
RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$2.84, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep their fair value view broadly in line with prior estimates.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 14
RAIZ4: Argentine Asset Sale Prospects Will Drive Future Undervalued Upside
Raízen's updated analyst price target has shifted to reflect changes in estimated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E assumption. Analysts point to these revised inputs as the key drivers of their refreshed outlook in R$ terms.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 31
RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentina Asset Sale Prospects Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target to R$1.24 from R$1.58, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower fair value estimate, a small change in discount rate, a slightly softer profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E of 63.19x versus 80.35x previously. What's in the News Raízen has been dropped from the S&P Global BMI Index, removing the stock from a broad global benchmark followed by many institutional investors (Index constituent change).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 17
RAIZ4: Index Removals And Asset Sale Talks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$1.58 from R$1.83, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they see as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News Raízen has been removed from the Brazil IBRX Index, reducing its presence in a broad benchmark followed by local equity investors (index announcement).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 03
RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Undervalued Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target from R$4.19 to R$3.94, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, with sources indicating negotiations have advanced significantly and a potential deal value expected to exceed US$1b, although no binding agreement has been signed and the deal could still fall through (sources familiar with the talks).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Stronger Long Term Repricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.25 to R$1.75 per share, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, although sources say the deal still carries execution risk and may take weeks to sign, if it proceeds at all (Bloomberg, sources familiar with the talks).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 02
RAIZ4: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.92 to R$1.83 as updated assumptions for a lower discount rate, higher revenue growth, a much thinner profit margin, and a substantially higher future P/E are reflected in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from R$1.92 to R$1.83 per share.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 19
RAIZ4: Higher Margins And Lower Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Raízen slightly lower, trimming it by a small amount in currency terms as they factor in modestly higher projected profit margins alongside a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value per share is unchanged at 1.91923.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05
RAIZ4: Higher Revenue Assumptions And P/E Rerating Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Raízen, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth at 80.27% and a future P/E of 2.99. Together, these factors imply a recalibration of expected cash flows and valuation in currency terms.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 15
RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on Raízen slightly, reducing fair value from approximately $1.98 to $1.92. They are factoring in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 01
RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside
Raízen’s analyst price target has been modestly adjusted upward to $1.98. Analysts cite incremental changes in profitability and underlying risk assumptions as the key drivers behind the revised valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 17
RAIZ4: Revenue Momentum And Index Shift Will Drive Further Upside
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Raízen, citing improved revenue growth expectations. However, this is offset by a higher discount rate and marginally lower profit margin forecasts.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01
RAIZ4: Lower Discount Rate And Asset Reshuffle Will Unlock Future Upside
Analysts have revised Raízen's fair value estimate downward by approximately R$0.18. They cite updated projections for revenue growth and a reduced discount rate in their latest evaluation.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 17
Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Raízen to R$2.16 from R$2.20, citing minor adjustments in profit margin and forward price-to-earnings estimates. Overall growth projections remain steady.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03
Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels
Analysts have revised their price target for Raízen downward from $2.38 to $2.20. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin projections, but also factor in a significantly reduced estimated price-to-earnings ratio for the company's future outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 02
Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels
Raízen’s fair value estimate has been revised downward, primarily reflecting a moderate contraction in its future P/E multiple while top-line growth expectations remain flat, resulting in a new analyst price target of R$2.40. What's in the News Raízen S.A. added to Brazil Small Cap Index.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 19
Potential Rise In Ethanol Blending Mandates And Efficiency Measures Will Strengthen Future Performance
Despite notable improvements in Raízen's net profit margin and consensus revenue growth forecasts, the consensus Analyst Price Target has been revised downward from R$2.80 to R$2.63. What's in the News Raízen S.A. announced a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting to be held remotely in Brazil.
새로운 내러티브 • Dec 13
Operational Efficiency, E2G Expansion, And Refinery Modernization To Drive Profitability Growth In Renewable Energy
Raízen's focus on operational efficiency, increasing E2G production, and asset optimization aims to boost revenue, profitability, and margins significantly.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 267,811 | 487 | -342 | 7,494 | 2 |
| 3/31/2028 | 243,902 | -34 | 900 | 6,975 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 237,262 | -1,443 | -464 | 4,941 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 225,490 | -6,163 | -7,194 | -5,887 | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 232,247 | -22,257 | -7,298 | 2,477 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 238,727 | -9,293 | -6,191 | 4,096 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 251,727 | -7,153 | -6,856 | 4,087 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 255,268 | -4,257 | -5,241 | 6,216 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 251,226 | -2,599 | 2,538 | 14,620 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 242,846 | 771 | 3,904 | 16,223 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 229,392 | 933 | 6,531 | 18,762 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 220,454 | 521 | 9,345 | 21,421 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 221,737 | 3,993 | 5,121 | 16,375 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 223,614 | 3,388 | 4,778 | 15,897 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 228,396 | 2,527 | 2,106 | 12,905 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 245,832 | 2,441 | 2,399 | 13,056 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 244,358 | 96 | 263 | 9,634 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 239,379 | 1,308 | 154 | 8,746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 223,481 | 2,900 | 458 | 8,168 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 191,270 | 3,149 | 7,671 | 13,914 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 164,279 | 3,340 | 1,184 | 4,777 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 133,988 | 2,353 | 358 | 2,040 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 107,904 | 2,130 | 3,654 | 4,413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 89,415 | 996 | 2,202 | 2,732 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 86,452 | 690 | 2,086 | 2,576 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 88,068 | 1,661 | 2,670 | 3,241 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 91,372 | 1,447 | 1,417 | 2,070 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 100,941 | 2,056 | 2,695 | 3,449 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 100,578 | 2,487 | 3,811 | 4,494 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 98,942 | 1,610 | N/A | 4,562 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 94,451 | 1,681 | N/A | 4,569 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 88,951 | 1,654 | N/A | 3,750 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 85,268 | 1,470 | N/A | 2,482 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 79,565 | 1,415 | N/A | 1,625 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 76,949 | 1,515 | N/A | 1,643 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 74,586 | 1,607 | N/A | 2,334 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 72,789 | 1,450 | N/A | 1,876 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 71,363 | 1,535 | N/A | 1,547 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 70,234 | 1,641 | N/A | 1,729 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 69,449 | 1,599 | N/A | 1,490 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 68,143 | 1,556 | N/A | 1,761 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 67,113 | 1,510 | N/A | 2,205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 65,429 | 1,240 | N/A | 1,966 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 63,743 | 1,164 | N/A | 1,814 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 61,413 | 1,321 | N/A | 2,641 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 59,199 | 1,245 | N/A | 2,466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 57,894 | 1,182 | N/A | 2,197 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: RAIZ4 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(12.4%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: RAIZ4 (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: RAIZ4 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: RAIZ4 의 수익(연간 3.7%)이 BR 시장(연간 6.5%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: RAIZ4 의 수익(연간 3.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: RAIZ4는 3년 뒤에도 수익성이 없을 것으로 전망됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/26 01:30 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/25 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/03/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Raízen S.A.는 20명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 9명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Daniel Cobucci | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |
| Isabella Simonato | BofA Global Research |
| Vicente Falanga Neto | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |