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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 7.37%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
R$2.20
60.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
R$0.87
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1Y
-70.6%
7D
-10.3%

Analysts have revised their price target for Raízen downward from $2.38 to $2.20. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin projections, but also factor in a significantly reduced estimated price-to-earnings ratio for the company's future outlook.

What's in the News

  • Fomento Econ mico Mexicano, S.A. de C.V. and Raízen, S.A. have agreed to terminate their joint venture in Brazil known as Grupo N s. FEMSA will retain all OXXO stores, while Raízen will hold all Shell Select stores. The agreement is cash-neutral and divides assets and liabilities between the two companies as outlined in the final terms. (Key Developments)
  • Raízen S.A. has been added to the Brazil Small Cap Index. (Key Developments)
  • Raízen S.A. has been removed from the Brazil Mid-Large Cap Index. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased from R$2.38 to R$2.20.
  • Discount Rate remains unchanged at 27.29%.
  • Revenue Growth outlook has shifted from a decline of 13.5% to projected growth of 3.6%.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast has increased significantly, rising from 0.25% to 5.80%.
  • Future P/E ratio has fallen sharply from 81.7x to 3.2x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.