BHP Group 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 2/6
BHP Group 의 수익은 연간 0.04% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 7.2% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 5.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 20.5% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
7.2%
이익 성장률
5.81%
EPS 성장률
| Metals and Mining 이익 성장 | 12.1% |
| 매출 성장률 | -0.03% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 20.55% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 13 Sep 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 03
BHP: Copper Pivot And Jansen Risks Will Shape Future Earnings Mix
BHP Group's analyst fair value has shifted from A$82.27 to A$67.53, with analysts pointing to moderated revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple that is partly balanced by firmer profit margin forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of cautious adjustments and renewed optimism, with several large houses reassessing valuation levels in light of project updates and revised assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 03
BHP: Port Hedland Strike Risk Will Shape Future Iron Ore Upside
BHP Group's updated analyst price target has been revised to A$82.27 from A$57.64, reflecting a higher implied P/E multiple, analyst adjustments for lower revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and recent model updates following Jansen project capex and impairment news. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of cautious revisions and more upbeat reassessments, with price targets clustered across both London and Australian listings.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 20
BHP: Potash Overruns And Impairment Will Restrain Future Project Returns
The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been raised from A$40.94 to A$43.59 as analysts recalibrate their models following a series of mixed price target revisions that reflect updated views on project capex, impairment charges, and sector risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group shows a mix of cautious and supportive views, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as new information on project spending, impairments, and macro risks has emerged.
새로운 내러티브 • Jul 11
Does BHP Have the Metal? More Ore in Store?
At A$47.93 per share, BHP Group (ASX: BHP) appears reasonably valued based on its current operating performance. For the six months to 31 December 2025, BHP reported revenue of US$27.9 billion, underlying EBITDA of US$15.5 billion and underlying attributable profit of US$6.2 billion, with an underlying EBITDA margin of 58.4%.내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 06
BHP: Potash Cost Overruns And Impairment Will Constrain Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been raised from A$38.25 to A$40.94. This change reflects updated assumptions around a slightly less severe revenue decline, a higher profit margin, and a lower future P/E, alongside mixed but generally supportive Street price target revisions in recent months.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 22
BHP: Copper Strength And Jansen Risks Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
The analyst price target for BHP Group has been revised higher to A$61.02 from A$55.62, as analysts incorporate updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate, despite mixed reactions to the Jansen Potash capex increase and related impairment. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group shows a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on long term growth optionality and others highlighting execution risks and valuation constraints after the Jansen Potash updates.분석 기사 • Jun 17
BHP Group (ASX:BHP) Shares Could Be 46% Undervalued After Copper Growth News
BHP Group (ASX:BHP) is back in focus after a series of copper centric developments, including regulatory approval for large Argentine projects and changes to Australian mining agreements, which intersect with rising electrification demand and strong recent copper earnings contributions. See our latest analysis for BHP Group. Against this backdrop of copper focused news, BHP Group’s share price has moved to A$65.19, with strong recent momentum reflected in a 30.15% 90 day share price return...내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 05
BHP: Copper Reliance And China Slowdown Will Drive Future Downside Risk
BHP Group's refreshed fair value estimate has moved from A$53.40 to A$55.62 as analysts factor in updated price targets, modestly higher projected revenue growth, slightly firmer profit margins, and a revised future P/E assumption alongside a small uptick in the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group points to a mixed but generally balanced stance, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess valuation and macro risks.내러티브 업데이트 • May 04
BHP: Commodity Mix And China Ties Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook
BHP Group's analyst price target has moved higher to A$53.40 from A$52.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions along with a modestly higher future P/E, partly supported by recent target increases from major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes reflecting different views on valuation, earnings power and macro exposure.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 19
BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook
The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has shifted slightly lower to A$52.50 from A$53.37, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for higher long term revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, a slightly higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple following a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has been mixed, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while more cautious analysts have trimmed theirs or maintained restrained views.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 05
BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has increased modestly to A$53.37 from A$52.50, reflecting updated assumptions about slightly stronger revenue growth and a refreshed set of mixed but generally constructive price targets from recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism on long term prospects and caution around valuation and execution risks, which helps explain the modest adjustment in the fair value estimate.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 22
BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have adjusted the BHP Group fair value estimate slightly higher to A$52.50. This reflects refreshed price targets that balance updated revenue and margin assumptions with mixed views on commodity exposure and valuation.
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 21
BHP’s value is durability today (iron ore) and optionality tomorrow (copper + potash). Execution and macro demand are the swing factors.
Catalysts 1) Copper demand: electrification + AI-driven power infrastructure The market often frames copper as an “energy transition” commodity, but I see incremental demand coming from AI/data-center power density and grid capex (transmission, distribution, redundancy). This supports a structurally tighter copper market over time.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 05
BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been adjusted slightly higher to A$51.98 from A$51.72. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases across the Street as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and valuation multiples.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 19
BHP: Commodity Cycles And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their BHP Group price target by A$3.54. The change is supported by model updates that incorporate a higher fair value estimate, a small adjustment to the discount rate, a slightly lower revenue growth assumption, a modestly higher profit margin, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.새로운 내러티브 • Feb 18
Copper And Potash Expansion Will Expose Long Term Earnings And Margin Vulnerabilities
Catalysts About BHP Group BHP Group is a diversified mining company with large operations in copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal, uranium, gold and potash. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 05
BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts nudged their BHP Group price targets higher, with the modelled fair value moving from about A$48.99 to A$48.17 as they factored in updated revenue growth, profit margin, P/E and discount rate assumptions aligned with the latest Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BHP Group has been relatively limited in volume, but the available signals point to modest valuation adjustments rather than wholesale changes in conviction.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 22
BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Copper Exposure Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BHP Group from $44.58 to $49.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that align with the recent price target increase of 100 GBp reported in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group has focused on aligning price targets and fair value estimates with updated assumptions for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples, with JPMorgan lifting its price target by 100 GBp. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target and fair value estimate as consistent with updated revenue and margin assumptions, which they view as better reflecting BHP Group's current earnings power.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 07
BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Liabilities And Copper Projects Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group to £21.00 from £22.00, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while maintaining a neutral overall stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has focused on fine tuning valuation assumptions rather than shifting the overall stance, with the latest move being a trim in the price target while keeping a neutral rating.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14
BHP: Commodity Cycles And Legal Liabilities Will Shape Future Performance Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group slightly, from 2,200 GBp to 2,100 GBp, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and only incremental changes to long term revenue growth, margins, and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on BHP Group is balanced, with the latest adjustment to the price target framed more as a fine tuning of assumptions than a fundamental change in outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 30
BHP: Sector Volatility And Legal Risks Will Influence Performance Outlook
Analysts have slightly increased their target fair value for BHP Group, raising it from $44.73 to $45.21. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and valuation outlook as the reasons for this adjustment.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 16
BHP: Mixed Market Signals And Legal Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance
BHP Group’s analyst fair value target has increased modestly from $43.95 to $44.73. Analysts are factoring in revised financial assumptions and recent price target adjustments, despite mixed short-term sentiment.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01
BHP: Earnings Outlook Will Balance Inflation Risks And China Demand Uncertainty
BHP Group’s analyst price target was recently lowered by £1.00 to £21.00 per share. Analysts cite softer assumptions for profit margin and revenue growth as factors contributing to their revised outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 17
Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance
BHP Group's analyst price target has been raised from 2,160 GBp to 2,200 GBp. Analysts cite improvements in projected profit margins and a more favorable revenue outlook as supporting factors for a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity on BHP Group reflects a mix of renewed optimism and lingering caution regarding the company's outlook, following updated earnings and operational guidance.분석 기사 • Oct 16
It's Unlikely That BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year
Key Insights BHP Group will host its Annual General Meeting on 23rd of October CEO Mike Henry's total compensation...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03
Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance
The analyst price target for BHP Group has been raised from A$42.33 to A$43.51, as analysts cite resilient financial performance and a stable margin outlook despite ongoing cost pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent reports reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts covering BHP Group.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 17
Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance
BHP Group's consensus price target was trimmed to A$42.33 as analysts cite valuation concerns amid reduced free cash flow yields, persistent cost pressures, and project execution risks, with the revision reflecting a more cautious outlook despite recent strong results. Analyst Commentary Mixed analyst sentiment with several downgrades to Neutral/Market Perform, citing valuation concerns after the recent share rally and reduced free cash flow yields.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27
Expanding Copper Production And Potash Entry Will Diversify Portfolio, But Analysts Forecast Earnings Decline
Consensus analyst reasoning reflects cautious optimism for BHP Group, as improved underlying fiscal results and modest upgrades to revenue forecasts are tempered by ongoing execution risks, cost inflation, and less compelling valuation following a share price rally—resulting in a moderate increase in the analyst price target from A$41.44 to A$42.94. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts pointed to execution risk related to significant cost overruns (“cost blow out”) at Jansen Stage 1, weighing on future outlook.
새로운 내러티브 • Feb 11
Focus On Copper And Potash Expansion Will Shape Future Success
BHP's strategic investments in copper and potash aim to align with long-term demand trends, potentially boosting future revenue growth.새로운 내러티브 • Jan 30
Upcoming Potash And Copper Projects Will Strengthen Global Market Position
BHP's investments in potash and copper, combined with operational excellence, promise long-term revenue and margin growth through strategic developments and increasing global demand.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 58,417 | 13,529 | 13,160 | 22,190 | 15 |
| 6/30/2028 | 57,039 | 13,064 | 12,512 | 21,764 | 19 |
| 6/30/2027 | 57,770 | 12,819 | 11,431 | 21,962 | 17 |
| 6/30/2026 | 58,760 | 9,833 | 11,521 | 21,778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 56,374 | 10,038 | 10,708 | 20,763 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 53,988 | 10,243 | 9,895 | 19,747 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 52,625 | 9,631 | 9,397 | 19,220 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 51,262 | 9,019 | 8,898 | 18,692 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 52,432 | 10,203 | 9,631 | 19,395 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 53,602 | 11,386 | 10,364 | 20,098 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 54,630 | 9,642 | 10,878 | 20,382 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 55,658 | 7,897 | 11,392 | 20,665 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 55,362 | 7,644 | 11,704 | 20,740 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 55,065 | 7,391 | 12,015 | 20,815 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 54,441 | 10,156 | 11,817 | 19,758 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 53,817 | 12,921 | 11,618 | 18,701 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 56,878 | 15,576 | 15,513 | 22,184 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 60,564 | 18,231 | 19,407 | 25,667 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 62,988 | 19,238 | 22,735 | 28,921 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 65,098 | 20,245 | 26,063 | 32,174 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 64,657 | 18,089 | 25,722 | 31,658 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 63,903 | 15,932 | 25,381 | 31,142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 60,579 | 13,731 | 23,406 | 29,188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 57,255 | 11,529 | 21,430 | 27,234 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 47,033 | 9,235 | 17,622 | 22,434 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 44,950 | 7,156 | 10,867 | 17,633 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 44,087 | 7,556 | 9,467 | 16,670 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 39,153 | 7,848 | 9,539 | 15,706 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 44,812 | 8,704 | N/A | 16,873 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 45,832 | 9,452 | N/A | 18,039 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 45,060 | 9,047 | N/A | 17,955 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 44,572 | 8,641 | N/A | 17,871 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 43,712 | 8,739 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 43,649 | 8,836 | N/A | 18,392 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 43,518 | 7,731 | N/A | 18,427 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 43,129 | 6,626 | N/A | 18,461 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 42,072 | 5,580 | N/A | 17,456 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 37,687 | 5,005 | N/A | 16,450 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 37,016 | 5,684 | N/A | 16,627 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 35,947 | 6,362 | N/A | 16,804 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 36,682 | 4,189 | N/A | 14,933 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 34,698 | 2,488 | N/A | 13,062 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 33,027 | -1,948 | N/A | 11,844 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 29,005 | -490 | N/A | 10,625 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 33,653 | -6,248 | N/A | 12,379 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 35,936 | -6,111 | N/A | 14,133 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 40,527 | -1,344 | N/A | 16,715 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: BHP 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(7.2%)이 saving rate(3.8%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: BHP 의 연간 수익(7.2%)이 Australian 시장(11.1%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: BHP 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: BHP 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -0.04%).
고성장 매출: BHP 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -0.04%).
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: BHP의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 20.5%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/09/13 04:32 |
| 종가 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/06/30 |
| 연간 수익 | 2026/06/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
BHP Group Limited는 48명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 20명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Ayan Ghosh | Avior Capital Markets |
| Andrew Mcnulty | Barclays |