United Parcel Service（UPS）株式概要
ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（United Parcel Service, Inc. 詳細
UPS Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$95.21
FV
3.8% 割高 内在価値ディスカウント1.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
3.8k
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United Parcel Service, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$98.87 |
| 52週高値 | US$122.41 |
| 52週安値 | US$82.00 |
| ベータ | 1.05 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | -7.69% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | -14.43% |
| 1年変化 | 3.15% |
| 3年間の変化 | -41.05% |
| 5年間の変化 | -53.76% |
| IPOからの変化 | 45.13% |
最新ニュース
Seeking Alpha • May 05
UPS: Great Dividend Yield, But Concerns Are Mounting
Summary UPS faces significant headwinds as Amazon becomes a direct logistics competitor and volume from Amazon is intentionally reduced. Q1 results were weak, with domestic revenue down 2.3% and supply chain solutions down 6.5%, making full-year guidance appear unachievable. A robust 6.8% dividend yield is financially secure, but persistent capital erosion undermines the total return profile. At 13.5x earnings and lacking growth or a clear catalyst, UPS's valuation is fair but not compelling until enterprise growth accelerates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • May 05
There May Be Reason For Hope In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Disappointing Earnings
The market for United Parcel Service, Inc.'s ( NYSE:UPS ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings...
ナラティブの更新 • May 03
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Framework Balance Long Term Potential
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the UPS fair value estimate to about $113.15, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims as they factor in updated revenue growth, margin expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of modest target cuts and small upward revisions, which largely offset each other and line up with the fair value estimate adjustment to about $113.15.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 05
UPS: Great Dividend Yield, But Concerns Are Mounting
Summary UPS faces significant headwinds as Amazon becomes a direct logistics competitor and volume from Amazon is intentionally reduced. Q1 results were weak, with domestic revenue down 2.3% and supply chain solutions down 6.5%, making full-year guidance appear unachievable. A robust 6.8% dividend yield is financially secure, but persistent capital erosion undermines the total return profile. At 13.5x earnings and lacking growth or a clear catalyst, UPS's valuation is fair but not compelling until enterprise growth accelerates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • May 05
There May Be Reason For Hope In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Disappointing Earnings
The market for United Parcel Service, Inc.'s ( NYSE:UPS ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings...ナラティブの更新 • May 03
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Framework Balance Long Term Potential
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the UPS fair value estimate to about $113.15, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims as they factor in updated revenue growth, margin expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of modest target cuts and small upward revisions, which largely offset each other and line up with the fair value estimate adjustment to about $113.15.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 19
United Parcel Service (UPS): The Great Amazon Glide-Down and the Inflection to Industrial Logistics
United Parcel Service (UPS) , the world’s largest package delivery titan, enters Sunday, April 19, 2026 , in the final stages of its most aggressive structural reorganization in over a century. Trading at $105.06 USD following a 1.17% gain over the past month, the stock is currently attempting to stabilize as it approaches its Q1 2026 earnings release on Tuesday, April 28.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 18
UPS: Physical Network Strength Will Support Earnings Recovery Beyond Near Term Pressure
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for United Parcel Service to $135 from $122, reflecting updated views on the company as research commentary highlights both increased optimism around its physical network assets and ongoing caution about near term earnings pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of caution on near term earnings and growing interest in the company’s long term asset base and execution plans.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 04
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Inflection Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have made only modest tweaks to their UPS outlook, trimming the average price target by a few dollars to about $113. Near term earnings pressure, highlighted by more cautious firms, is balanced by others who see long term value in UPS's heavy asset network and multi year earnings potential.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 21
UPS: Union Pushback And Job Cuts Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory
Analysts have trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $0.50, while modestly adjusting assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. This reflects mixed Street signals that include a recent $6 cut to a $112 price target at BofA, alongside a series of upward revisions from other firms citing the resilience of physical transport networks.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 07
UPS: Network Assets And 2026 Framework Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Our updated UPS narrative reflects a slight trim in the fair value estimate to about $113 per share, as analysts weigh a mix of new price targets that range from BofA's cut to $112 on softer near term expectations to multiple upward revisions tied to UPS's physical network assets and its commentary on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a split tape, with some analysts trimming near term expectations while others are leaning into the long term value of the network and management's 2026 framework.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 20
UPS: Labor Disputes And Fleet Disruptions Will Pressure Margins And Sentiment
The analyst fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been lifted from about $80.28 to roughly $85.08 as analysts factor in higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refine outlooks for earnings, margins, and sector conditions through 2026.分析記事 • Feb 09
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.64
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) will pay a dividend of $1.64 on the 5th of March. This makes the dividend...ナラティブの更新 • Feb 06
UPS: MD-11 Grounding And Margin Execution Will Shape Medium-Term Outlook
Analysts have lifted their UPS fair value estimate from US$100.50 to about US$113.18. This reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, margin trends, and future P/E multiples, as seen in a wave of recent price target increases across the Street.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 23
UPS: Rising Cost And Safety Pressures Will Challenge Recent Margin Optimism
Narrative Update: United Parcel Service (UPS) The analyst price target for UPS has been revised slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $80 per share. Analysts point to recent price target increases across several firms, improving margin expectations and cost initiatives, while also factoring in more conservative revenue growth and a higher future P/E assumption.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09
UPS: Rally Risks Ahead As Amazon Volume Decline And Cost Execution Concerns Build
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for United Parcel Service higher to align with recent Street price target increases in the US$105 to US$126 range, citing updated views on revenue growth, margins, and 2026 sector conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service reflects a mixed tone, with several firms lifting price targets into a tighter US$105 to US$126 band while at least one is stepping back on rating and others highlighting execution and growth risks into 2026.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 26
UPS: Cost Efficiencies And Yield Improvements Will Support Earnings Recovery Ahead
Analysts nudged their average price target for United Parcel Service modestly higher to about $119, reflecting confidence that solid Q3 execution, ongoing cost takeouts, and improved domestic yield performance can support resilient margins and a cyclical earnings trough in 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts framed the Q3 beat and reinstated guidance as an important inflection point, arguing that the combination of structural cost reductions and better pricing power is starting to flow more visibly into earnings.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 12
UPS: Margin And Cost Efficiencies Will Drive Earnings Recovery Ahead
The updated fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been reduced by about $10 to $122 per share, as analysts temper revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite acknowledging improving margins, cost efficiencies, and a more credible transformation outlook following a solid Q3 earnings beat and higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to the latest Q3 results, citing a solid earnings beat, reinstated guidance, and meaningful progress on cost initiatives as support for higher valuation.分析記事 • Oct 31
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 21%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. It was...分析記事 • Oct 21
Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: How UPS plans to cut costs and automate its way back to profitability, why Paradigm Biopharma could soar if its osteoarthritis drug wins FDA approval, and how Barrick Mining offers a hedge against U.S. fiscal chaosナラティブの更新 • Oct 18
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have lowered their price target for United Parcel Service, reducing it from approximately $101.43 to $100.50 per share. They cited persistent cost pressures and a cautious outlook for freight demand stabilization.
新しいナラティブ • Oct 17
Finding The True Value Of A Logistics Powerhouse
Our initial price target for United Parcel Service is set at $95.21. We believe in a cautious approach in our analysis as UPS has been clouded with sustainability issues, higher costs, and internal headwinds.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 04
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
The analyst price target for United Parcel Service was reduced to approximately $101.43 from $103.30, as analysts cited sustained cost pressures, weaker volume trends, and ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broad reassessment of United Parcel Service's outlook as analysts evaluate both the company's near-term challenges and longer-term positioning.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 19
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have modestly reduced United Parcel Service’s price target to $103.30 due to immediate volume declines from new import restrictions, persistent cost headwinds, and weak small-business and Amazon volumes, partially offset by longer-term confidence in its core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent executive orders suspending de minimis access for U.S. imports have caused an immediate fall in shipment volumes, leading to near-term volume and cost pressures.分析記事 • Jul 31
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$106 Price Target
There's been a notable change in appetite for United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) shares in the week since its...分析記事 • Jun 24
United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...分析記事 • May 27
Are Investors Undervaluing United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) By 41%?
Key Insights United Parcel Service's estimated fair value is US$163 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
UPS: Recession Risk Might Already Be Reflected In The Stock Price
Summary UPS is currently undervalued, trading below its intrinsic value, making it a "Buy" despite potential short-term declines due to recession risks. Fourth-quarter results showed growth, but full-year 2024 results were disappointing, with a slight revenue increase and declines in operating profit and EPS. UPS's dividend yield is attractive at nearly 7%, but the high payout ratio raises concerns about its sustainability in the long term. Long-term growth potential exists through international expansion and healthcare logistics, but near-term economic uncertainties may impact performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha新しいナラティブ • Apr 08
Network Reconfiguration And Healthcare Expansion Will Drive Efficiency
UPS's efficiency initiatives and network reconfiguration are expected to drive significant cost savings, expanding margins and improving earnings.Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
UPS: The Company Is Being Hit From Multiple Angles
Summary Distinguishing between short-term trends and long-term patterns is challenging, especially post-Covid-19 as industries return to pre-pandemic growth cycles. The mail delivery industry, including UPS, saw significant revenue increases due to the e-commerce boom during the Covid-19 lockdowns. UPS plans to invest $3.5 billion this year in AI and technology to drive long-term margins down, despite higher labor costs. UPS has implemented a 5.9% price increase, raising questions about whether competitors will follow suit. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
UPS Cuts Amazon Deal: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain
Summary UPS's decision to cut Amazon's volume by 50% by mid-2026 is a strategic move to enhance profitability and focus on higher-margin business. Though short-term revenue will dip, UPS expects significant margin expansion, targeting a 12% U.S. operating margin by Q4 2026. Strategic cost reductions, including facility closures and network resizing, will align UPS's operations with its new business mix. UPS aims to grow in high-margin areas like SMBs and healthcare logistics, projecting substantial market share gains and revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
UPS: One Of The Easiest Shorts In 2025
Summary I believe the stock is in a tailspin and its downward momentum will not slow down in 2025, despite the aggressive pivot toward higher margin logistics customers (SMB, B2B, healthcare). I anticipate that cost-cutting measures, including the $1 billion in savings, the layoffs, and facility consolidations will improve margins in the long-term but won’t reverse investor sentiment within 12 months. I caution that any hype from potential humanoid deployments could lift sentiment, but I don’t expect such announcements before EoY, considering the company's cost-cutting plans and its Union. I maintain a strong sell rating for UPS, expecting the share price to test the $85 level before the end of the year. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Wall Street Lunch: GDP Falls Short Of Consensus
Summary U.S. GDP growth slowed to 2.1% in Q4, with consumer and government spending offset by a decline in investment and rising inflation. UPS reached a deal with Amazon to reduce volume by over 50% by 2026, potentially benefiting UPS's margins. Comcast saw declines in broadband and video subscribers, overshadowing its dividend increase and new $15 billion stock buyback program. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 24
UPS Looks To Be Nearing Turnaround Territory
Summary United Parcel Service, Inc. has struggled with revenue and profit declines, underperforming the S&P 500, but UPS stock is nearing a potential “buy” range. Despite recent challenges, UPS' U.S. Domestic Package segment shows signs of improvement, driven by increased e-commerce activity and higher business-to-consumer volumes. The International Package segment and Supply Chain Solutions have mixed results, with the latter showing growth due to the MNX Global Logistics acquisition. While UPS may see a turnaround, FedEx currently presents a more compelling investment opportunity, with better valuation and growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 24
UPS: The Whole Package For Value Investors
Summary UPS, a global leader in small-parcel delivery, leverages scale and network advantages for higher margins and efficiency, presenting a unique value investment opportunity. Recent automation and consolidation initiatives have boosted productivity, with Q3 results showing revenue and profit growth, despite negative investor sentiment due to inflation and tariff concerns. UPS's acquisition of Estafeta and investments in healthcare logistics strengthen its competitive moat, with significant future revenue and profit growth potential. With a strong balance sheet, undervalued stock, and a dividend yield over 5%, UPS has many characteristics value investors appreciate, while analysts expect ~$10 in EPS by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 15
UPS Is An Excellent Company
Summary UPS has shown strong earnings and revenue growth, with a P/E ratio under 20 and double-digit YoY EPS growth, indicating a low valuation. The company is enhancing its logistics, particularly in healthcare, leveraging its scale to provide premium services and boost shareholder returns. UPS generates robust cash flow, supporting a nearly 5% dividend yield, though its payout ratio is around 100% based on a 5% FCF yield, limiting share repurchases. The main risk is limited growth opportunities in an established industry, with potential threats from companies like Amazon building their own logistics networks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
UPS: How I'm Grabbing More Yield
Summary UPS is in my dividend stock portfolio, and carries a nearly 5% yield. This article details my investment process, as UPS is a typical case of how to get the yield and total return I aim for, tactical management is helpful. I discuss how I navigate this and the other stocks I follow, using a combination of charting and known events (ex-date and earnings date), as well as proprietary factors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 21
UPS Q3 Earnings Preview: Volume Mix And Recent Acquisitions Should Be In Focus
Summary United Parcel Service, Inc. is expected to release Q3 earnings on October 24, with a key focus on volume mix and impact from recent port strikes. Q2 results were disappointing with revenue and EPS misses; Q3 revenue and EPS are expected to show modest y/y growth. UPS stock has a history of post-earnings declines; caution is advised, especially given its track record of missing revenue estimates. Despite recent acquisitions, UPS remains overvalued; I recommend trimming existing stakes and maintaining a SELL rating ahead of the earnings release. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha株主還元
| UPS | US Logistics | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.4% | 2.3% | -0.3% |
| 1Y | 3.2% | 34.3% | 26.7% |
業界別リターン: UPS過去 1 年間で34.3 % の収益を上げたUS Logistics業界を下回りました。
リターン対市場: UPSは、過去 1 年間で26.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| UPS volatility | |
|---|---|
| UPS Average Weekly Movement | 4.8% |
| Logistics Industry Average Movement | 9.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
安定した株価: UPS 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: UPSの 週次ボラティリティ ( 5% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1907 | 350,625 | Carol Tome | www.ups.com |
ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（United Parcel Service, Inc.米国内パッケージと国際パッケージの2つのセグメントで事業を展開している。米国内パッケージ部門は、航空および地上サービスを通じて、速達書簡、書類、小包、パレット貨物の時間指定配達サービスを提供している。国際パッケージ部門は、ヨーロッパ、中東、アフリカ、カナダ、中南米、アジアで小口貨物サービスを提供している。同社は、1日および時間指定の保証付き国際輸送サービス、1日指定のサービス、国境を越えた地上での小包配送、緊急でない貨物の契約専用、eコマース・ソリューション、国境を越えた貨物、および緊急貨物やパレット貨物の国際サービスを提供している。また、国際航空・海上貨物輸送、コントラクト・ロジスティクス、通関・保険、郵便サービス、ヘルスケア・ロジスティクス、配送、ポストセールス・サービスも提供している。は1907 年に設立され、ジョージア州アトランタに本社を置いている。
United Parcel Service, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| UPS 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$82.31b |
| 収益（TTM） | US$5.25b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$88.32b |
16.0x
PER（株価収益率1.0x
P/SレシオUPS は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| UPS 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$88.32b |
| 売上原価 | US$68.49b |
| 売上総利益 | US$19.83b |
| その他の費用 | US$14.58b |
| 収益 | US$5.25b |
直近の収益報告
Mar 31, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 6.18 |
| グロス・マージン | 22.45% |
| 純利益率 | 5.94% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 147.6% |
UPS の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る| United Parcel Service 配当日 | |
|---|---|
| 配当落ち日 | May 18 2026 |
| 配当支払日 | Jun 04 2026 |
| 配当落ちまでの日数 | 4 days |
| 配当支払日までの日数 | 13 days |
UPS 配当は確実ですか？
UPS 配当履歴とベンチマークを見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/20 20:51 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
United Parcel Service, Inc. 23 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。45
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |