United Parcel Service（UPS）株式概要
ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（United Parcel Service, Inc. 詳細
UPS Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 451 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$95.21
FV
12.2% 割高 内在価値ディスカウント1.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
3.9k
users have viewed this narrative11users have liked this narrative
2users have commented on this narrative
55users have followed this narrative
United Parcel Service, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$106.87 |
| 52週高値 | US$122.41 |
| 52週安値 | US$82.00 |
| ベータ | 1.04 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | -3.42% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 6.99% |
| 1年変化 | 23.15% |
| 3年間の変化 | -40.81% |
| 5年間の変化 | -43.93% |
| IPOからの変化 | 56.87% |
最新ニュース
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 29
UPS: Amazon Volume Reductions And Parcel Cycle Risks Will Pressure Margins
The updated analyst price target for United Parcel Service reflects a modest fair value shift to about $85, supported by recent research citing better than expected Q2 results, progress on margin improvements in U.S. Domestic operations, and cost savings from the Amazon volume reduction initiative, which analysts expect to support profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service points to a mixed set of views.Seeking Alpha • Jul 28
UPS Q2: Trapped By Its Costs
Summary UPS remains a hold as restructuring and cost-cutting have yet to restore historical margins, despite Q2 top- and bottom-line beats. Q2 saw revenue of $22.8B and adjusted EPS of $1.76, but incremental revenue is not translating into meaningful profit growth. Shedding the Amazon contract and Driver Choice Program are positives, yet cost per piece inflation and weak margin leverage persist. A forward PE of 14x appears justified given the tepid margin outlook; risk remains from oil prices and lack of margin improvement. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 29
UPS: Amazon Volume Reductions And Parcel Cycle Risks Will Pressure Margins
The updated analyst price target for United Parcel Service reflects a modest fair value shift to about $85, supported by recent research citing better than expected Q2 results, progress on margin improvements in U.S. Domestic operations, and cost savings from the Amazon volume reduction initiative, which analysts expect to support profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service points to a mixed set of views.Seeking Alpha • Jul 28
UPS Q2: Trapped By Its Costs
Summary UPS remains a hold as restructuring and cost-cutting have yet to restore historical margins, despite Q2 top- and bottom-line beats. Q2 saw revenue of $22.8B and adjusted EPS of $1.76, but incremental revenue is not translating into meaningful profit growth. Shedding the Amazon contract and Driver Choice Program are positives, yet cost per piece inflation and weak margin leverage persist. A forward PE of 14x appears justified given the tepid margin outlook; risk remains from oil prices and lack of margin improvement. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 22
UPS: Transformation Efforts And AI Adoption Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to the consensus price target for United Parcel Service, with a net change of $1. This reflects a mix of recent raises and cuts as research teams reassess revenue growth, profitability assumptions and future P/E expectations.分析記事 • Jun 16
United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Valuation After Customer Focused US$500m Tariff Refund Plan
United Parcel Service (UPS) is in focus after seeking a US$500 million tariff refund and publicly committing to return those funds to customers within approximately one to three months once received. See our latest analysis for United Parcel Service. UPS shares have picked up momentum recently, with a 10.0% 1 month share price return and 11.3% 3 month share price return supporting a 15.1% 1 year total shareholder return, despite a weaker 3 and 5 year total shareholder record. Recent headlines...ナラティブ更新 • Jun 06
UPS: Margin Headwinds And Facility Closures Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory
Analysts trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $1.88 to $82.69. This reflects a mix of recent target cuts and raises as they factor in revised growth, margin expectations, and a slightly lower assumed future P/E multiple.
ナラティブ更新 • May 23
UPS: Heavy Asset Network Will Support 2026 Outlook Despite Near Term Earnings Pressure
Narrative Update The analyst price target for United Parcel Service has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect a modest $0.26 reduction in fair value, as analysts balance recent target cuts tied to near term earnings pressure with higher targets that emphasize the long lived value of the company's global delivery network and physical infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service reflects a split view, with some firms trimming price targets on near term earnings pressure and others marking targets higher on the value of the physical network and long term positioning.分析記事 • May 05
There May Be Reason For Hope In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Disappointing Earnings
The market for United Parcel Service, Inc.'s ( NYSE:UPS ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings...ナラティブ更新 • May 03
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Framework Balance Long Term Potential
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the UPS fair value estimate to about $113.15, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims as they factor in updated revenue growth, margin expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of modest target cuts and small upward revisions, which largely offset each other and line up with the fair value estimate adjustment to about $113.15.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 18
UPS: Physical Network Strength Will Support Earnings Recovery Beyond Near Term Pressure
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for United Parcel Service to $135 from $122, reflecting updated views on the company as research commentary highlights both increased optimism around its physical network assets and ongoing caution about near term earnings pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of caution on near term earnings and growing interest in the company’s long term asset base and execution plans.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 04
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Inflection Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have made only modest tweaks to their UPS outlook, trimming the average price target by a few dollars to about $113. Near term earnings pressure, highlighted by more cautious firms, is balanced by others who see long term value in UPS's heavy asset network and multi year earnings potential.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 21
UPS: Union Pushback And Job Cuts Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory
Analysts have trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $0.50, while modestly adjusting assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. This reflects mixed Street signals that include a recent $6 cut to a $112 price target at BofA, alongside a series of upward revisions from other firms citing the resilience of physical transport networks.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 07
UPS: Network Assets And 2026 Framework Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Our updated UPS narrative reflects a slight trim in the fair value estimate to about $113 per share, as analysts weigh a mix of new price targets that range from BofA's cut to $112 on softer near term expectations to multiple upward revisions tied to UPS's physical network assets and its commentary on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a split tape, with some analysts trimming near term expectations while others are leaning into the long term value of the network and management's 2026 framework.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 20
UPS: Labor Disputes And Fleet Disruptions Will Pressure Margins And Sentiment
The analyst fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been lifted from about $80.28 to roughly $85.08 as analysts factor in higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refine outlooks for earnings, margins, and sector conditions through 2026.分析記事 • Feb 09
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.64
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) will pay a dividend of $1.64 on the 5th of March. This makes the dividend...ナラティブ更新 • Feb 06
UPS: MD-11 Grounding And Margin Execution Will Shape Medium-Term Outlook
Analysts have lifted their UPS fair value estimate from US$100.50 to about US$113.18. This reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, margin trends, and future P/E multiples, as seen in a wave of recent price target increases across the Street.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 23
UPS: Rising Cost And Safety Pressures Will Challenge Recent Margin Optimism
Narrative Update: United Parcel Service (UPS) The analyst price target for UPS has been revised slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $80 per share. Analysts point to recent price target increases across several firms, improving margin expectations and cost initiatives, while also factoring in more conservative revenue growth and a higher future P/E assumption.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 09
UPS: Rally Risks Ahead As Amazon Volume Decline And Cost Execution Concerns Build
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for United Parcel Service higher to align with recent Street price target increases in the US$105 to US$126 range, citing updated views on revenue growth, margins, and 2026 sector conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service reflects a mixed tone, with several firms lifting price targets into a tighter US$105 to US$126 band while at least one is stepping back on rating and others highlighting execution and growth risks into 2026.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 26
UPS: Cost Efficiencies And Yield Improvements Will Support Earnings Recovery Ahead
Analysts nudged their average price target for United Parcel Service modestly higher to about $119, reflecting confidence that solid Q3 execution, ongoing cost takeouts, and improved domestic yield performance can support resilient margins and a cyclical earnings trough in 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts framed the Q3 beat and reinstated guidance as an important inflection point, arguing that the combination of structural cost reductions and better pricing power is starting to flow more visibly into earnings.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 12
UPS: Margin And Cost Efficiencies Will Drive Earnings Recovery Ahead
The updated fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been reduced by about $10 to $122 per share, as analysts temper revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite acknowledging improving margins, cost efficiencies, and a more credible transformation outlook following a solid Q3 earnings beat and higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to the latest Q3 results, citing a solid earnings beat, reinstated guidance, and meaningful progress on cost initiatives as support for higher valuation.分析記事 • Oct 31
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 21%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. It was...分析記事 • Oct 21
Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: How UPS plans to cut costs and automate its way back to profitability, why Paradigm Biopharma could soar if its osteoarthritis drug wins FDA approval, and how Barrick Mining offers a hedge against U.S. fiscal chaosナラティブ更新 • Oct 18
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have lowered their price target for United Parcel Service, reducing it from approximately $101.43 to $100.50 per share. They cited persistent cost pressures and a cautious outlook for freight demand stabilization.
新しいナラティブ • Oct 17
Finding The True Value Of A Logistics Powerhouse
Our initial price target for United Parcel Service is set at $95.21. We believe in a cautious approach in our analysis as UPS has been clouded with sustainability issues, higher costs, and internal headwinds.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 04
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
The analyst price target for United Parcel Service was reduced to approximately $101.43 from $103.30, as analysts cited sustained cost pressures, weaker volume trends, and ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broad reassessment of United Parcel Service's outlook as analysts evaluate both the company's near-term challenges and longer-term positioning.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 19
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have modestly reduced United Parcel Service’s price target to $103.30 due to immediate volume declines from new import restrictions, persistent cost headwinds, and weak small-business and Amazon volumes, partially offset by longer-term confidence in its core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent executive orders suspending de minimis access for U.S. imports have caused an immediate fall in shipment volumes, leading to near-term volume and cost pressures.Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
UPS: Recession Risk Might Already Be Reflected In The Stock Price
Summary UPS is currently undervalued, trading below its intrinsic value, making it a "Buy" despite potential short-term declines due to recession risks. Fourth-quarter results showed growth, but full-year 2024 results were disappointing, with a slight revenue increase and declines in operating profit and EPS. UPS's dividend yield is attractive at nearly 7%, but the high payout ratio raises concerns about its sustainability in the long term. Long-term growth potential exists through international expansion and healthcare logistics, but near-term economic uncertainties may impact performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha新しいナラティブ • Apr 08
Network Reconfiguration And Healthcare Expansion Will Drive Efficiency
UPS's efficiency initiatives and network reconfiguration are expected to drive significant cost savings, expanding margins and improving earnings.Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
UPS: The Company Is Being Hit From Multiple Angles
Summary Distinguishing between short-term trends and long-term patterns is challenging, especially post-Covid-19 as industries return to pre-pandemic growth cycles. The mail delivery industry, including UPS, saw significant revenue increases due to the e-commerce boom during the Covid-19 lockdowns. UPS plans to invest $3.5 billion this year in AI and technology to drive long-term margins down, despite higher labor costs. UPS has implemented a 5.9% price increase, raising questions about whether competitors will follow suit. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
UPS Cuts Amazon Deal: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain
Summary UPS's decision to cut Amazon's volume by 50% by mid-2026 is a strategic move to enhance profitability and focus on higher-margin business. Though short-term revenue will dip, UPS expects significant margin expansion, targeting a 12% U.S. operating margin by Q4 2026. Strategic cost reductions, including facility closures and network resizing, will align UPS's operations with its new business mix. UPS aims to grow in high-margin areas like SMBs and healthcare logistics, projecting substantial market share gains and revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
UPS: One Of The Easiest Shorts In 2025
Summary I believe the stock is in a tailspin and its downward momentum will not slow down in 2025, despite the aggressive pivot toward higher margin logistics customers (SMB, B2B, healthcare). I anticipate that cost-cutting measures, including the $1 billion in savings, the layoffs, and facility consolidations will improve margins in the long-term but won’t reverse investor sentiment within 12 months. I caution that any hype from potential humanoid deployments could lift sentiment, but I don’t expect such announcements before EoY, considering the company's cost-cutting plans and its Union. I maintain a strong sell rating for UPS, expecting the share price to test the $85 level before the end of the year. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Wall Street Lunch: GDP Falls Short Of Consensus
Summary U.S. GDP growth slowed to 2.1% in Q4, with consumer and government spending offset by a decline in investment and rising inflation. UPS reached a deal with Amazon to reduce volume by over 50% by 2026, potentially benefiting UPS's margins. Comcast saw declines in broadband and video subscribers, overshadowing its dividend increase and new $15 billion stock buyback program. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 24
UPS Looks To Be Nearing Turnaround Territory
Summary United Parcel Service, Inc. has struggled with revenue and profit declines, underperforming the S&P 500, but UPS stock is nearing a potential “buy” range. Despite recent challenges, UPS' U.S. Domestic Package segment shows signs of improvement, driven by increased e-commerce activity and higher business-to-consumer volumes. The International Package segment and Supply Chain Solutions have mixed results, with the latter showing growth due to the MNX Global Logistics acquisition. While UPS may see a turnaround, FedEx currently presents a more compelling investment opportunity, with better valuation and growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha株主還元
| UPS | US Logistics | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.3% | -1.0% | 2.4% |
| 1Y | 23.2% | 29.1% | 19.6% |
業界別リターン: UPS過去 1 年間で29.1 % の収益を上げたUS Logistics業界を下回りました。
リターン対市場: UPS過去 1 年間で19.6 % の収益を上げたUS市場を上回りました。
価格変動
| UPS volatility | |
|---|---|
| UPS Average Weekly Movement | 4.5% |
| Logistics Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
安定した株価: UPS 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: UPSの 週次ボラティリティ ( 5% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1907 | 460,000 | Carol Tome | www.ups.com |
ユナイテッド・パーセル・サービス（United Parcel Service, Inc.米国内パッケージと国際パッケージの2つのセグメントで事業を展開している。米国内パッケージ部門は、航空および地上サービスを通じて、速達書簡、書類、小包、パレット貨物の時間指定配達サービスを提供している。国際パッケージ部門は、ヨーロッパ、中東、アフリカ、カナダ、中南米、アジアで小口貨物サービスを提供している。同社は、1日および時間指定の保証付き国際輸送サービス、1日指定のサービス、国境を越えた地上での小包配送、緊急でない貨物の契約専用、eコマース・ソリューション、国境を越えた貨物、および緊急貨物やパレット貨物の国際サービスを提供している。また、国際航空・海上貨物輸送、コントラクト・ロジスティクス、通関・保険、郵便サービス、ヘルスケア・ロジスティクス、配送、ポストセールス・サービスも提供している。は1907 年に設立され、ジョージア州アトランタに本社を置いている。
United Parcel Service, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| UPS 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$90.84b |
| 収益（TTM） | US$4.57b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$89.93b |
19.9x
PER（株価収益率1.0x
P/SレシオUPS は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| UPS 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$89.93b |
| 売上原価 | US$70.85b |
| 売上総利益 | US$19.08b |
| その他の費用 | US$14.51b |
| 収益 | US$4.57b |
直近の収益報告
Jun 30, 2026
次回決算日
Oct 27, 2026
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 5.38 |
| グロス・マージン | 21.22% |
| 純利益率 | 5.08% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 162.2% |
UPS の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る配当金
6.1%
現在の配当利回り61%
配当性向企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/08/04 04:05 |
| 終値 | 2026/08/03 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/06/30 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
United Parcel Service, Inc. 25 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。43
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Andrew Kaplowitz | Barclays |