Alaska Air Group, Inc.

NYSE:ALK 株式レポート

時価総額：US$4.9b

Alaska Air Group 過去の業績

過去 基準チェック /16

Alaska Air Groupは、平均年間39.3%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Airlines業界の収益は、年間 成長しています。収益は、平均年間45.9% 21%収益成長率で 成長しています。 Alaska Air Groupの自己資本利益率は2%であり、純利益率は0.5%です。

主要情報

39.28%

収益成長率

39.79%

EPS成長率

Airlines 業界の成長0.092%
収益成長率20.97%
株主資本利益率1.96%
ネット・マージン0.51%
前回の決算情報31 Mar 2026

最近の業績更新

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 05

ALK: Fuel And Demand Resilience Will Support Margins And Fair Value Upside

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group by about $2.46 per share to $84.53. This reflects a series of mixed price target revisions, including several cuts tied to fuel cost concerns and more cautious assumptions for revenue growth, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Seeking Alpha • May 02

Challenges Surge For Alaska Airlines

Summary Alaska Airlines faces strategic headwinds, including challenging integration of Hawaiian Airlines, high fuel costs, and fierce competition from larger legacy carriers. ALK's cost advantage is eroding due to fuel price spikes and fleet complexity from the Hawaiian merger, threatening its historical efficiency. Expansion into international markets via Hawaiian and new 787s aims to offset Seattle competitor Delta's global strengths, but profitability and network synergy remain uncertain. Citi Research's double downgrade of ALK will pressure shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 21

ALK: Fuel Cost Uncertainty And 2025 Demand Outlook Will Shape Repricing

Analysts have lowered the Alaska Air Group fair value estimate by $1.50 to $41.00 as they recalibrate price targets in response to updated fuel cost assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and refreshed P/E inputs across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mixed backdrop, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and reassessing their assumptions on fuel, margins, and earnings power.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Fuel Risk Reset Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group to $42.50 from $60.00 after updating assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Alaska Air Group, with several firms revisiting their price targets and assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 23

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And Capacity Discipline Will Support Upside

The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been adjusted slightly higher, reflecting a fair value estimate change from $86.64 to $86.98, as analysts update their views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions following mixed but generally constructive recent research commentary on the airline sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of price target increases and reductions, with bullish analysts still highlighting potential upside tied to execution, demand trends, and the balance between costs and pricing.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 09

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Alaska Air Group by $9 to $54, reflecting higher assumed fuel costs and more cautious expectations for margin expansion, even as some research points to supportive demand and a relatively constructive setup into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of caution on costs and optimism on demand, with price targets moving in both directions as firms refresh their models for fuel and 2026 guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 23

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been revised higher by about $5.60, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around demand trends, margin expectations, and a higher forward P/E multiple supported by recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group has leaned positive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets into the high US$60s to US$70 range.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Q4 Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their blended price targets on Alaska Air Group into the high US$60s, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue and profit margins. These revisions are supported by improving demand expectations and an outlook that Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance could reset expectations versus current consensus.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Route Expansion Will Shape Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alaska Air Group to US$60 from about US$51.37, citing expectations for stronger demand in late 2025, a constructive airline setup into 2026, and more supportive assumptions on revenue growth and future P/E, even with more conservative profit margin inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has clustered around higher price targets in the US$65 to US$70 range, with several firms updating their views as part of Q4 earnings previews and broader airline sector outlooks.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11

ALK: Multi Year Route Expansion And Fuel Costs Will Shape Outlook

The Analyst Price Target for Alaska Air Group has been revised from US$49.00 to about US$51.37, as analysts point to recent target hikes and a more constructive multi year outlook supported by expectations around brand loyalty, diverse revenue streams, and updated earnings estimates into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has centered on updated price targets and fresh earnings previews through 2026.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 17

ALK: Technology Driven Merchandising Will Support Future Upside Despite Fuel Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Alaska Air Group slightly lower to approximately $65.47 from about $65.71, reflecting modestly improved long term revenue growth and margin assumptions, offset by a lower valuation multiple and discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Alaska Air Group highlight a mixed but generally constructive outlook, with price target changes reflecting shifting views on earnings power, fuel cost exposure, and the broader airline demand backdrop.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 03

ALK: Premium Seats And Loyalty Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly lifted their consolidated price target for Alaska Air Group to about $65. The move reflects updated estimates following recent quarterly results, shifting fuel cost assumptions, and growing conviction in the carrier's long term earnings power amid strengthening corporate demand and loyalty driven initiatives.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 19

ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And Loyalty Program Growth Will Drive Future Strength

Alaska Air Group's analyst price target was revised slightly downward, from $67 to approximately $66.79, as analysts weighed recent earnings results, evolving sector dynamics, and the impact of higher costs on updated forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlighted Alaska Air's potential for earnings growth.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01

ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And International Routes Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group from $68.93 to $67.00. This reflects a cautious outlook, as recent Street research points to higher fuel costs, more challenging earnings forecasts, and ongoing industry headwinds, balanced by select optimism regarding corporate demand and strategic initiatives.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 18

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group was revised slightly downward by $1 to $68.93, as analysts cited factors such as higher jet fuel costs and recent earnings guidance for the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary has reflected both optimism and caution regarding Alaska Air Group’s prospects, based on evolving market dynamics, company-specific developments, and updated earnings guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 04

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Alaska Air Group, now projecting fair value at approximately $69.93 per share compared to the previous estimate of $71.36. They cite updated forecasts that balance ongoing cost headwinds with optimism for long-term growth and competitive positioning.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 18

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alaska Air Group to $71.36, citing strengthening corporate demand, competitive easing, and long-term earnings tailwinds that outweigh near-term cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating corporate demand and easing competitive pressures as key drivers of improved outlook and de-risked near-term performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 03

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have raised Alaska Air Group’s price target modestly—from $65.21 to $66.29—citing improving demand, a favorable competitive environment, and increased confidence in management’s disciplined handling of strategic changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving demand trends and favorable competitive capacity developments, boosting confidence in Alaska Air’s forward earnings outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Alaska Air Group: Shares Plunge Due To Economic Uncertainty

Summary Alaska Air Group's Q1 2025 revenue surged 40.5% due to the Hawaiian Holdings merger, but earnings per share fell short of expectations, causing an 8.1% after-hours stock drop. Despite revenue growth, profitability worsened due to increased operating costs and integration expenses, leading to a larger loss per share compared to the previous year. Management withdrew 2025 guidance due to economic uncertainties but remains optimistic about achieving $400 million in cost synergies from the merger. Given economic concerns and integration challenges, I recommend maintaining a 'hold' rating on Alaska Air Group despite its relatively low valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Alaska Air Group: A High-Flying Bargain

Summary Despite pandemic lows, Alaska Air rebounded strongly, demonstrating resilience and operational excellence, with stock prices recovering and showing no signs of slowing down. Q4 2024 results highlight significant revenue growth, profitability rebound, and effective cost management, positioning Alaska Air as one of the best-run carriers in the industry. Valuation metrics indicate Alaska Air stock is undervalued compared to the broader sector, presenting an attractive opportunity for value investors with potential for substantial upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

Alaska Airlines: Solid Q4 But A Hold For Now

Summary Alaska Air Group posted strong Q4 results, with revenue up 38.4% YoY and EPS beating expectations, despite higher operating expenses and debt from Hawaiian Airlines acquisition. The Hawaiian Airlines purchase offers growth opportunities but presents integration challenges and potential cost concerns, including fleet upgrades and competitive international markets. Alaska Air Group trades in-line with peers; recent share price surge makes it less appealing compared to alternatives like United Airlines. Despite a positive industry outlook, integration challenges and no discount to peers lead to a "hold" rating for Alaska Air Group. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Jan 26

Acquisition Of Hawaiian Airlines Will Unlock Significant Synergies And Expand Global Reach

Integration with Hawaiian Airlines and network expansion are key strategies to boost revenue and earnings growth through synergies and international market reach.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 17

Alaska Airlines Maps A Stronger Future

Summary Alaska Airlines' merger with Hawaiian Airlines completed in September 2024 and aims to enhance connectivity and optimize operations with a near term initial negative impacts on earnings. Alaska's 2025 strategy includes expanding international routes using Hawaiian's widebody aircraft, focusing on Seattle to Asia routes, and improving revenue management systems. The company builds on its earlier plans to minimize its earnings seasonality and reduce its fuel costs. With strong historical performance and strategic initiatives, ALK is likely to meet or exceed 2024 Q4 guidance and achieve robust earnings in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 10

Alaska Airlines Stock Surges 15% On Bullish Outlook

Summary Alaska Airlines' strategic update boosts investor confidence, with the stock rising 14% as the company revises Q4 and FY 2025 guidance upwards. The Accelerate plan aims to regrow margins to 11-13% by 2027, leveraging synergies from the Hawaiian Airlines acquisition and premium cabin retrofits. Multi-year price target for Alaska Airlines is $80.87, indicating 32% upside, factoring in 2026 earnings and expected EBITDA growth of 15% annually. Margin recovery initiatives are crucial to offset elevated costs and achieve pre-pandemic margin levels, presenting significant upside potential for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Alaska Air Group: Post-Hawaiian Perils

Summary Alaska Air Group overpaid for Hawaiian Holdings, acquiring a financially troubled airline with a history of losses since 2020. ALK's valuation is high at 6.7x EV/EBITDAR; integrating Hawaiian's poor performance could compress this multiple, implying a 40% downside to $30/share. Risks to shorting ALK include Alaska's strong historical performance and potential macroeconomic tailwinds, such as favorable regulatory environments and lower fuel costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 26

Alaska Air Group: What Is The Stock Worth After Hawaiian Airlines Takeover?

Summary Alaska Air Group, Inc. acquired Hawaiian Airlines for $1 billion in cash and assumed $0.9 billion in debt, expanding its fleet and route network significantly. The combined fleet now includes Boeing and Airbus aircraft, adding complexity but also new capabilities, especially for long-haul routes and cargo operations. The acquisition enhances Alaska Air's connectivity, adding new Asia Pacific destinations and making Hawaii a major hub, second only to Seattle. The stock price target for Alaska Air has been raised to $51.82, with significant upside potential by 2025-2026, contingent on achieving synergies and improving market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 19

The World Opens To Alaska Airlines With Its Merger Approval

Summary Alaska Airlines completed its acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines and expects to integrate operations while maintaining the Hawaiian brand and ensuring significant operations in Hawaii. The merger is expected to generate $250 million in synergies, with integration costs estimated at twice that amount, enhancing Alaska Air's network and operational efficiency. ALK aims to avoid past merger mistakes by leveraging Hawaiian's assets and expanding its international presence, particularly in Asia and the South Pacific. The merger positions Alaska as a strong mid-tier airline, benefiting from favorable macroeconomic conditions, including lower fuel prices and increased consumer spending. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

収支内訳

Alaska Air Group の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。

収益と収入の歴史

NYSE:ALK 収益、費用、利益 ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益G+A経費研究開発費
31 Mar 2614,402734060
31 Dec 2514,2391004070
30 Sep 2514,1411504180
30 Jun 2513,4473133930
31 Mar 2512,6403613720
31 Dec 2411,7353953490
30 Sep 2410,7543223150
30 Jun 2410,5212253170
31 Mar 2410,4622453140
31 Dec 2310,4262353030
30 Sep 2310,3522593080
30 Jun 2310,3411603060
31 Mar 2310,161593030
31 Dec 229,646582950
30 Sep 229,066542680
30 Jun 228,1912082350
31 Mar 227,0604661980
31 Dec 216,1764781730
30 Sep 215,085131410
30 Jun 213,833-6121160
31 Mar 212,727-1,223790
31 Dec 203,566-1,3241010
30 Sep 204,986-6961600
30 Jun 206,674572130
31 Mar 208,5415332960
31 Dec 198,7817693130
30 Sep 198,6176113170
30 Jun 198,4405063190
31 Mar 198,3084373200
31 Dec 188,2644373260
30 Sep 188,1427293360
30 Jun 188,0407713490
31 Mar 187,9868713630
31 Dec 177,8949603680
30 Sep 177,4767593400
30 Jun 176,9327563060
31 Mar 176,3247232590
31 Dec 165,9257972480
30 Sep 165,7848912130
30 Jun 165,7339092080
31 Mar 165,6768832070
31 Dec 155,5988482110
30 Sep 155,5278052050
30 Jun 155,4777292070

質の高い収益: ALKには$190.0M } という大きな 一回限りの 損失があり、過去 12 か月の財務実績が31st March, 2026に影響を及ぼしています。

利益率の向上: ALKの現在の純利益率 (0.5%)は、昨年(2.9%)よりも低くなっています。

フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較

過去の収益成長分析

収益動向: ALK過去 5 年間で収益を上げており、収益は年間39.3%増加しています。

成長の加速: ALKは過去 1 年間の収益成長がマイナスであったため、5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。

収益対業界: ALKは過去 1 年間で収益成長率がマイナス ( -79.8% ) となったため、 Airlines業界平均 ( 17.2% ) と比較することが困難です。

株主資本利益率

高いROE: ALKの 自己資本利益率 ( 2% ) は 低い とみなされます。

総資産利益率

使用総資本利益率

過去の好業績企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/27 12:38
終値2026/05/27 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Alaska Air Group, Inc. 13 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。29

アナリスト機関
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays