Alaska Air Group, Inc.

NYSE:ALK 株式レポート

時価総額：US$4.4b

Alaska Air Group 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

Alaska Air Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間80.8%と6.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に15.6% 81.9%なると予測されています。

主要情報

80.8%

収益成長率

81.91%

EPS成長率

Airlines 収益成長14.4%
収益成長率6.9%
将来の株主資本利益率15.57%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日19 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 05

ALK: Fuel And Demand Resilience Will Support Margins And Fair Value Upside

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group by about $2.46 per share to $84.53. This reflects a series of mixed price target revisions, including several cuts tied to fuel cost concerns and more cautious assumptions for revenue growth, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Seeking Alpha • May 02

Challenges Surge For Alaska Airlines

Summary Alaska Airlines faces strategic headwinds, including challenging integration of Hawaiian Airlines, high fuel costs, and fierce competition from larger legacy carriers. ALK's cost advantage is eroding due to fuel price spikes and fleet complexity from the Hawaiian merger, threatening its historical efficiency. Expansion into international markets via Hawaiian and new 787s aims to offset Seattle competitor Delta's global strengths, but profitability and network synergy remain uncertain. Citi Research's double downgrade of ALK will pressure shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 21

ALK: Fuel Cost Uncertainty And 2025 Demand Outlook Will Shape Repricing

Analysts have lowered the Alaska Air Group fair value estimate by $1.50 to $41.00 as they recalibrate price targets in response to updated fuel cost assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and refreshed P/E inputs across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mixed backdrop, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and reassessing their assumptions on fuel, margins, and earnings power.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Fuel Risk Reset Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group to $42.50 from $60.00 after updating assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Alaska Air Group, with several firms revisiting their price targets and assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 23

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And Capacity Discipline Will Support Upside

The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been adjusted slightly higher, reflecting a fair value estimate change from $86.64 to $86.98, as analysts update their views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions following mixed but generally constructive recent research commentary on the airline sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of price target increases and reductions, with bullish analysts still highlighting potential upside tied to execution, demand trends, and the balance between costs and pricing.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 09

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Alaska Air Group by $9 to $54, reflecting higher assumed fuel costs and more cautious expectations for margin expansion, even as some research points to supportive demand and a relatively constructive setup into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of caution on costs and optimism on demand, with price targets moving in both directions as firms refresh their models for fuel and 2026 guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 23

ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been revised higher by about $5.60, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around demand trends, margin expectations, and a higher forward P/E multiple supported by recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group has leaned positive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets into the high US$60s to US$70 range.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Q4 Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their blended price targets on Alaska Air Group into the high US$60s, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue and profit margins. These revisions are supported by improving demand expectations and an outlook that Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance could reset expectations versus current consensus.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Route Expansion Will Shape Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alaska Air Group to US$60 from about US$51.37, citing expectations for stronger demand in late 2025, a constructive airline setup into 2026, and more supportive assumptions on revenue growth and future P/E, even with more conservative profit margin inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has clustered around higher price targets in the US$65 to US$70 range, with several firms updating their views as part of Q4 earnings previews and broader airline sector outlooks.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11

ALK: Multi Year Route Expansion And Fuel Costs Will Shape Outlook

The Analyst Price Target for Alaska Air Group has been revised from US$49.00 to about US$51.37, as analysts point to recent target hikes and a more constructive multi year outlook supported by expectations around brand loyalty, diverse revenue streams, and updated earnings estimates into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has centered on updated price targets and fresh earnings previews through 2026.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 17

ALK: Technology Driven Merchandising Will Support Future Upside Despite Fuel Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Alaska Air Group slightly lower to approximately $65.47 from about $65.71, reflecting modestly improved long term revenue growth and margin assumptions, offset by a lower valuation multiple and discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Alaska Air Group highlight a mixed but generally constructive outlook, with price target changes reflecting shifting views on earnings power, fuel cost exposure, and the broader airline demand backdrop.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 03

ALK: Premium Seats And Loyalty Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly lifted their consolidated price target for Alaska Air Group to about $65. The move reflects updated estimates following recent quarterly results, shifting fuel cost assumptions, and growing conviction in the carrier's long term earnings power amid strengthening corporate demand and loyalty driven initiatives.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 19

ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And Loyalty Program Growth Will Drive Future Strength

Alaska Air Group's analyst price target was revised slightly downward, from $67 to approximately $66.79, as analysts weighed recent earnings results, evolving sector dynamics, and the impact of higher costs on updated forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlighted Alaska Air's potential for earnings growth.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01

ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And International Routes Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group from $68.93 to $67.00. This reflects a cautious outlook, as recent Street research points to higher fuel costs, more challenging earnings forecasts, and ongoing industry headwinds, balanced by select optimism regarding corporate demand and strategic initiatives.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 18

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group was revised slightly downward by $1 to $68.93, as analysts cited factors such as higher jet fuel costs and recent earnings guidance for the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary has reflected both optimism and caution regarding Alaska Air Group’s prospects, based on evolving market dynamics, company-specific developments, and updated earnings guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 04

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Alaska Air Group, now projecting fair value at approximately $69.93 per share compared to the previous estimate of $71.36. They cite updated forecasts that balance ongoing cost headwinds with optimism for long-term growth and competitive positioning.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 18

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alaska Air Group to $71.36, citing strengthening corporate demand, competitive easing, and long-term earnings tailwinds that outweigh near-term cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating corporate demand and easing competitive pressures as key drivers of improved outlook and de-risked near-term performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 03

Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Analysts have raised Alaska Air Group’s price target modestly—from $65.21 to $66.29—citing improving demand, a favorable competitive environment, and increased confidence in management’s disciplined handling of strategic changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving demand trends and favorable competitive capacity developments, boosting confidence in Alaska Air’s forward earnings outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Alaska Air Group: Shares Plunge Due To Economic Uncertainty

Summary Alaska Air Group's Q1 2025 revenue surged 40.5% due to the Hawaiian Holdings merger, but earnings per share fell short of expectations, causing an 8.1% after-hours stock drop. Despite revenue growth, profitability worsened due to increased operating costs and integration expenses, leading to a larger loss per share compared to the previous year. Management withdrew 2025 guidance due to economic uncertainties but remains optimistic about achieving $400 million in cost synergies from the merger. Given economic concerns and integration challenges, I recommend maintaining a 'hold' rating on Alaska Air Group despite its relatively low valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Alaska Air Group: A High-Flying Bargain

Summary Despite pandemic lows, Alaska Air rebounded strongly, demonstrating resilience and operational excellence, with stock prices recovering and showing no signs of slowing down. Q4 2024 results highlight significant revenue growth, profitability rebound, and effective cost management, positioning Alaska Air as one of the best-run carriers in the industry. Valuation metrics indicate Alaska Air stock is undervalued compared to the broader sector, presenting an attractive opportunity for value investors with potential for substantial upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

Alaska Airlines: Solid Q4 But A Hold For Now

Summary Alaska Air Group posted strong Q4 results, with revenue up 38.4% YoY and EPS beating expectations, despite higher operating expenses and debt from Hawaiian Airlines acquisition. The Hawaiian Airlines purchase offers growth opportunities but presents integration challenges and potential cost concerns, including fleet upgrades and competitive international markets. Alaska Air Group trades in-line with peers; recent share price surge makes it less appealing compared to alternatives like United Airlines. Despite a positive industry outlook, integration challenges and no discount to peers lead to a "hold" rating for Alaska Air Group. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Jan 26

Acquisition Of Hawaiian Airlines Will Unlock Significant Synergies And Expand Global Reach

Integration with Hawaiian Airlines and network expansion are key strategies to boost revenue and earnings growth through synergies and international market reach.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 17

Alaska Airlines Maps A Stronger Future

Summary Alaska Airlines' merger with Hawaiian Airlines completed in September 2024 and aims to enhance connectivity and optimize operations with a near term initial negative impacts on earnings. Alaska's 2025 strategy includes expanding international routes using Hawaiian's widebody aircraft, focusing on Seattle to Asia routes, and improving revenue management systems. The company builds on its earlier plans to minimize its earnings seasonality and reduce its fuel costs. With strong historical performance and strategic initiatives, ALK is likely to meet or exceed 2024 Q4 guidance and achieve robust earnings in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 10

Alaska Airlines Stock Surges 15% On Bullish Outlook

Summary Alaska Airlines' strategic update boosts investor confidence, with the stock rising 14% as the company revises Q4 and FY 2025 guidance upwards. The Accelerate plan aims to regrow margins to 11-13% by 2027, leveraging synergies from the Hawaiian Airlines acquisition and premium cabin retrofits. Multi-year price target for Alaska Airlines is $80.87, indicating 32% upside, factoring in 2026 earnings and expected EBITDA growth of 15% annually. Margin recovery initiatives are crucial to offset elevated costs and achieve pre-pandemic margin levels, presenting significant upside potential for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Alaska Air Group: Post-Hawaiian Perils

Summary Alaska Air Group overpaid for Hawaiian Holdings, acquiring a financially troubled airline with a history of losses since 2020. ALK's valuation is high at 6.7x EV/EBITDAR; integrating Hawaiian's poor performance could compress this multiple, implying a 40% downside to $30/share. Risks to shorting ALK include Alaska's strong historical performance and potential macroeconomic tailwinds, such as favorable regulatory environments and lower fuel costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 26

Alaska Air Group: What Is The Stock Worth After Hawaiian Airlines Takeover?

Summary Alaska Air Group, Inc. acquired Hawaiian Airlines for $1 billion in cash and assumed $0.9 billion in debt, expanding its fleet and route network significantly. The combined fleet now includes Boeing and Airbus aircraft, adding complexity but also new capabilities, especially for long-haul routes and cargo operations. The acquisition enhances Alaska Air's connectivity, adding new Asia Pacific destinations and making Hawaii a major hub, second only to Seattle. The stock price target for Alaska Air has been raised to $51.82, with significant upside potential by 2025-2026, contingent on achieving synergies and improving market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 19

The World Opens To Alaska Airlines With Its Merger Approval

Summary Alaska Airlines completed its acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines and expects to integrate operations while maintaining the Hawaiian brand and ensuring significant operations in Hawaii. The merger is expected to generate $250 million in synergies, with integration costs estimated at twice that amount, enhancing Alaska Air's network and operational efficiency. ALK aims to avoid past merger mistakes by leveraging Hawaiian's assets and expanding its international presence, particularly in Asia and the South Pacific. The merger positions Alaska as a strong mid-tier airline, benefiting from favorable macroeconomic conditions, including lower fuel prices and increased consumer spending. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:ALK - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202817,7538799192,4607
12/31/202716,7036705341,91713
12/31/202615,761-84-3691,17113
3/31/202614,40273-4771,211N/A
12/31/202514,239100-3391,249N/A
9/30/202514,141150-541,338N/A
6/30/202513,447313-81,427N/A
3/31/202512,6403612001,631N/A
12/31/202411,7353951831,464N/A
9/30/202410,754322-2181,137N/A
6/30/202410,521225-3571,090N/A
3/31/202410,462245-3381,120N/A
12/31/202310,426235-4441,050N/A
9/30/202310,352259-6031,112N/A
6/30/202310,341160-6581,015N/A
3/31/202310,16159-1541,353N/A
12/31/20229,64658-2531,418N/A
9/30/20229,066544891,538N/A
6/30/20228,1912084361,258N/A
3/31/20227,0604665971,150N/A
12/31/20216,1764787381,030N/A
9/30/20215,08513343551N/A
6/30/20213,833-612296452N/A
3/31/20212,727-1,223-230-100N/A
12/31/20203,566-1,324-456-234N/A
9/30/20204,986-69684457N/A
6/30/20206,674574791,010N/A
3/31/20208,5415335871,287N/A
12/31/20198,781769N/A1,722N/A
9/30/20198,617611N/A1,590N/A
6/30/20198,440506N/A1,502N/A
3/31/20198,308437N/A1,357N/A
12/31/20188,264437N/A1,195N/A
9/30/20188,142729N/A1,219N/A
6/30/20188,040771N/A1,232N/A
3/31/20187,986871N/A1,426N/A
12/31/20177,894960N/A1,590N/A
9/30/20177,476759N/A1,537N/A
6/30/20176,932756N/A1,571N/A
3/31/20176,324723N/A1,331N/A
12/31/20165,925797N/A1,386N/A
9/30/20165,784891N/A1,561N/A
6/30/20165,733909N/A1,594N/A
3/31/20165,676883N/A1,595N/A
12/31/20155,598848N/A1,584N/A
9/30/20155,527805N/A1,367N/A
6/30/20155,477729N/A1,284N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: ALKの予測収益成長率 (年間80.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: ALKの収益 ( 80.8% ) はUS市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: ALKの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: ALKの収益 ( 6.9% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: ALKの収益 ( 6.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: ALKの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 15.6 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/21 03:38
終値2026/05/21 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Alaska Air Group, Inc. 13 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。29

アナリスト機関
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays